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IOWA

Iowa 49 at Purdue 35

PUR
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:38 · David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−42.2Pregame prior−12.1Score differential−21.8Garbage-time factor−8.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:20: C.J. Beathard run for 15 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:09: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 42 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:18: Akrum Wadley run for 75 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:06: David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 53 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +3.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:36: David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 54 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +4.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:52PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:04PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:32PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:59PUR 4th & 17 at IOWA 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 36, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:53IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:38PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:44IOWA 4th & 26 at PUR 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:05PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 48, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:40IOWA 4th & 4 at PUR 42, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:45PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:22IOWA 4th & 5 at PUR 33, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.1
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:55PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 20, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:40IOWA 4th & 1 at PUR 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:22IOWA 4th & 11 at PUR 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 5IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:57IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:20IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:09IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:48IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:29PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:18IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:06PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:07IOWA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:40PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:36PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:44IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:17PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:4319% → 20%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.7%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
18.8%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
19.1%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
19.2%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+4
19.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+4
19.7%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 4 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+11
20.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 33 yds , Desmond King returns for 11 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:4780% → 81%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
20.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 28 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
20.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
20.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+12
20.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 12 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
20.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+22
20.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 22 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:3620% → 20%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.0%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
20.0%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
19.8%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
19.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Connor Keane at the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:2080% → 82%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
19.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
19.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
19.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
19.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
19.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+6
20.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
20.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 12 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
20.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+9
20.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 9 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
20.4%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
20.3%
IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 17Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
0
20.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+2
20.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
17.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 15 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3819% → 18%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.5%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
18.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
18.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
18.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:1982% → 86%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
17.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 8 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
17.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
13.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 42 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2814% → 14%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
13.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
13.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
13.4%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
13.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q2 14:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
13.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 56 yds , Desmond King returns for no gain to the Iowa 32 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:2286% → 84%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
13.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+3
13.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+18
20.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 18 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
19.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
19.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+6
17.3%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
16.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+12
17.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
16.5%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+5
16.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
16.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 27 yds, downed at the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:5615% → 14%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
14.5%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
14.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+14
14.0%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 14 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
15.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
15.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron Posey for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
14.6%
David Blough sacked by TEAM for a loss of 15 yards to the PURDUE 45 PURDUE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 25
OWN 45
+8
14.5%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 8 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 17
OPP 47
0
14.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
14.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4285% → 91%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
15.3%
Jerminic Smith run for 45 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
14.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
14.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
11.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
11.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 9 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
9.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:5613% → 14%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
13.3%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 38 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
14.6%
Richie Worship run for 5 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+1
14.3%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
14.7%
Bilal Marshall run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
13.7%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 25 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
7.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 75 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 32 yds · 1:117% → 3%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
6.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 4 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+7
6.3%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
6.8%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+16
6.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 16 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
4.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
4.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+2
4.1%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 36
-3
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:5294% → 96%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
4.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
4.7%
C.J. Beathard run for no gain to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
4.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
3.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
3.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-8
3.5%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
3.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Kimbrough at the Prdue 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:324% → 8%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
4.1%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+5
3.9%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 5 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
3.9%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
3.7%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+10
4.0%
Blough, David pass incomplete, PENALTY IOWA holding 10 yards to the PURDUE35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.0%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
3.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 12 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
7.5%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 53 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
7 plays · 91 yds · 1:5395% → 98%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+67
5.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 67 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
4.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 10 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
4.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
3.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Noah Fant for 5 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:024% → 3%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.5%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
2.9%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
3.1%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
3.0%
David Blough run for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
10 plays · -6 yds · 3:1698% → 99%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
1.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
1.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
1.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
1.8%
Daniels Jr., LeShun rush for 1 yard to the PURDUE23, PENALTY IOWA holding (Daniels, James) 10 yards to the PURDUE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 20
OPP 34
-12
1.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by TEAM for a loss of 12 yards to the Prdue 46 IOWA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 32
OPP 46
+4
1.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 28
OPP 42
+7
1.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 7 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 21
OPP 35
-5
1.4%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 26
OPP 40
0
1.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:341% → 1%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
1.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+8
1.1%
David Blough run for 8 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+21
1.2%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 21 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
1.1%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+7
1.2%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.9%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-3
0.9%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
0.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
0.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Malik KimbroughSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.4%
Toks Akinribade run for 1 yd to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
0.4%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Austin Kelly for 5 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
0.3%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Ronald NashSimilar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
0.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:520% → 3%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
0.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
0.3%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 15 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+33
0.3%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 33 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
0.3%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
0.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
0.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+3
0.2%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
2.7%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 7 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
0.9%
Toks Akinribade run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 13
OPP 41
-2
0.8%
Toks Akinribade run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+10
0.7%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 10 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
0.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 0:381% → 6%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
1.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
1.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+26
1.2%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 26 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
5.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 54 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 10 yds · 2:5897% → 99%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
3.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+2
3.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
2.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
2.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
2.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
1.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
1.4%
C.J. Beathard run for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 6
OPP 33
-5
1.5%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
1.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25INT TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:341% → 0%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
1.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
1.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+14
1.1%
David Blough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+41
0.3%
Desmond King 41 Yd Interception Return (Keith Duncan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:240% → 1%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.3%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Richie Worship for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.3%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 5 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
0.3%
David Blough pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 3 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+18
0.3%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 18 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+37
1.2%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 37 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:36
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 54 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q2 1:18
Akrum Wadley run for 75 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q1 0:09
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 42 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com