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IOWA

Iowa 14 at Minnesota 7

MINN
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:04 · Ryan Santoso punt for 41 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Home team on offense+4.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.4Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:17: Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +20.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:42: Mitch Leidner pass incomplete — MINN win probability +7.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:28: Akrum Wadley run for 54 yds for a TD, (L. Daniels Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion) — IOWA win probability +47.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:39: Mitch Leidner pass incomplete — MINN win probability +7.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:30: LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 46 — IOWA win probability +9.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:57IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:00MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:58IOWA 4th & 1 at MINN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:08IOWA 4th & 11 at MINN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:51MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:32IOWA 4th & 4 at MINN 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:32MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:57IOWA 4th & 4 at MINN 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−1.0
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10IOWA 4th & 7 at MINN 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−9.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:17IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−4.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:04MINN 4th & 3 at IOWA 41, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.0%−3.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:52MINN 4th & 4 at MINN 20, up 1
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:42MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 40, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:49MINN 4th & 7 at MINN 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−3.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:28MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:59IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 40, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:48MINN 4th & 15 at IOWA 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−1.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−3.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 6:17MINN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:28IOWA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.6%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brian SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
48.8%
Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
48.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+14
48.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 46 yds , Desmond King returns for 14 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
49.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 38Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+6
49.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 6 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
49.0%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Myrick at the Minn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
49.4%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Desmond KingSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
49.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
49.3%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Josey JewellSimilar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+22
49.2%
Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds , Desmond King returns for 22 yds to the Minn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:5051% → 50%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
49.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 4 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
49.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Minn 38Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
49.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 4 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
49.3%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
49.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-5
48.9%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
49.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George Kittle, broken up by Jalen MyrickSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+1
49.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 1 yd to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
50.1%
Miguel Recinos 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
50.3%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
50.9%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
50.9%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Iowa 48 Rodney Smith fumbled, forced by Bo Bower, recovered by Iowa Brandon SnyderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
49.4%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted KiAnte Hardin return for 31 yds to the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
50.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-10
51.2%
Brooks, Shannon rush for 15 yards to the IOWA46 (Bower, Bo), PENALTY MINN holding (Wright, G) 10 yards to the MINN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-5
50.3%
MINNESOTA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 17
OWN 24
-2
50.3%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 22Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 19
OWN 22
+11
49.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 11 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+7
49.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 38 yds , Desmond King returns for 7 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:2750% → 52%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
50.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
49.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 9 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
49.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+2
49.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 7
50
+12
49.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jay Scheel for 12 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
49.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 31 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
48.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Minn 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
48.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Minn 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarron, broken up by Damarius TravisSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
48.2%
Keith Duncan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
49.5%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+1
49.2%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
48.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brian SmithSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+3
48.2%
Ryan Santoso punt for 55 yds , Desmond King returns for 3 yds to the Iowa 37 IOWA Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 54 yds · 0:0051% → 52%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
49.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+12
49.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
48.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 6 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
48.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+16
49.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 16 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
47.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
47.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+11
47.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 11 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
47.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
47.1%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
47.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jay Scheel, broken up by Ray BufordSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
48.4%
C.J. Beathard punt for 36 yds, downed at the Minn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11INT
13 plays · 50 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
47.4%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 4Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+7
47.3%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+4
46.5%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
47.7%
Brooks, Shannon rush for loss of 3 yards to the MINN12 (Jewell, Josey;Hesse, Parker), PENALTY MINN personal foul (Pirsig, Jonah) 8 yards to the MINN7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 18
OWN 7
+3
47.4%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
47.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete, broken up by Faith EkakitieSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+15
46.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 15 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
47.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 9 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
49.7%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
49.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brian Smith for 15 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky, broken up by Kevin WardSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
50.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+7
48.4%
Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Manny Rugamba return for 7 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
43.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-15
43.5%
Beathard, C.J. pass complete to Kittle, George for 7 yards to the MINN46 (Myrick, Jalen), PENALTY IOWA personal foul (Wadley, Akrum) 15 yards to the IOWA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 20
OWN 32
-2
46.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:5055% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
45.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 21 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
42.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 8 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
42.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
42.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
42.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 11 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
41.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 14 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
41.8%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+4
42.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Noah Fant for 4 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
43.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
37.5%
Keith Duncan 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:5343% → 65%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
43.2%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
43.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
50
+8
43.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
44.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brian Smith for 22 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
46.2%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
46.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
44.3%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
64.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0042% → 38%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
56.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-12
58.4%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Winston DeLattiboudere and Andrew Stelter for a loss of 12 yards to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
61.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Myrick at the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
62.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 12 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
63.8%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
63.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
63.2%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
61.0%
Ryan Santoso punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:5741% → 41%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
58.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
58.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 9 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
57.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 11 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
56.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+9
57.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 9 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-5
57.1%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
59.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 38 yds, downed at the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
60.5%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
60.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 6 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
58.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 4
OWN 20
+8
57.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 45 yds , Desmond King returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 28 MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
55.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+13
54.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 13 yds Riley McCarron fumbled, forced by Nick Rallis, recovered by Minn Winston DeLattiboudereSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
61.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
62.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+5
59.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 33 yds , Desmond King returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21INT
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:1641% → 42%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
58.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
59.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete, broken up by Steven RichardsonSimilar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+15
61.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 15 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
55.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
55.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jay Scheel, broken up by Jonathan CelestinSimilar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+15
56.4%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Jerminic, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Huff, Jacob) 15 yards to the MINN36, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
54.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+4
53.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Minn 27Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
55.2%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
53.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 23Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-4
53.2%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 27 C.J. Beathard fumbled, recovered by Iowa C.J. BeathardSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 13
OPP 27
0
57.9%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted Kamal Martin return for no gain to the Minn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
64.3%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
63.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Nate WozniakSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-5
61.9%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 15Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+9
61.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 9 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
61.2%
Ryan Santoso punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
13.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 54 yds for a TD, (L. Daniels Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0022% → 19%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Jared Weyler) to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
21.2%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-4
20.7%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Anthony Nelson and Nathan Bazata for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
19.8%
Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
18.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds , Desmond King returns for no gain to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5186% → 88%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
13.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
13.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+4
11.4%
C.J. Beathard run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
11.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jalen Myrick at the Minn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
18.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
17.8%
Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Brandon Snyder return for no gain to the Minn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:5791% → 94%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
8.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+1
8.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-6
8.6%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
5.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jalen Myrick at the Minn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 28DOWNS
11 plays · 70 yds · 0:3811% → 10%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
10.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 16 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
11.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 21 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
13.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 15 yds Rashad Still fumbled, forced by Greg Mabin, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
14.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+23
14.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brian Smith for 23 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
20.5%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Shannon BrooksSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
20.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
15.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 15
OPP 18
0
12.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brian SmithSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 15
OPP 18
0
9.5%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brian SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:28
Akrum Wadley run for 54 yds for a TD, (L. Daniels Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion)
-47.5
TD · Q3 6:17
Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)
+20.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:30
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 46
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com