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PUR

Purdue 34 at Illinois 31

ILL
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:08 · Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dionte Taylor at the Illin 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 165Pregame prior+2.7Home team on offense−2.7Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Time remaining−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:07: David Blough pass complete to Malik Kimbrough for 45 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +11.2 pts (now 50%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:20: Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +16.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:34: Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chayce Crouch pass for Two-Point Conversion) — ILL win probability +35.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:55: Richie Worship run for 8 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +27.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: J.D. Dellinger 28 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +32.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 8PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58ILL 4th & 1 at PUR 1, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.3%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.5%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:58PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:10ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56ILL 4th & 5 at PUR 29, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:29ILL 4th & 6 at PUR 16, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 43, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:05PUR 4th & 1 at ILL 36, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−4.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:40ILL 4th & 3 at PUR 48, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:20PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 49, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:38PUR 4th & 1 at ILL 20, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%−3.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−13.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:55ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:08PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−3.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:18ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−5.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 2:02PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:59PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:11ILL Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:07PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:20ILL Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:34ILL Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    74.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:55PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
72.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 6 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
72.4%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
72.4%
Blough, David pass complete to Lankford-Johnso for 6 yards to the PUR38 (Barton,Taylor), PENALTY ILL offside defense (Nelson,Patrick) 5 yards to the PUR37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 37
-4
72.4%
David Blough run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
72.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
72.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brian Lankford-JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
72.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2FG
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:1672% → 72%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
71.9%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 6 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+21
71.9%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 21 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+46
72.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 46 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
72.3%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.2%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.1%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+20
71.9%
Chase McLaughlin 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
71.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
71.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 9 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
71.6%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
71.5%
David Blough pass complete to Malik Kimbrough for 1 yd to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
71.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
71.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+4
72.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 16 , Darius Mosely returns for 4 yds to the Illin 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
71.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 11 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
71.5%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Justin HardeeSimilar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
71.4%
Chayce Crouch run for 5 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
71.3%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
71.1%
Ryan Frain punt for 17 yds, downed at the Illin 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:4529% → 34%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
70.8%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 16 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
70.5%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
70.4%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+4
70.7%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
70.4%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 7 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
70.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
70.7%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
70.4%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 2 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
66.2%
David Blough run for 9 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0669% → 69%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
68.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 12 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
68.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 14 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
69.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
69.4%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner, broken up by Brandon RobertsSimilar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+4
68.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+47
68.9%
Chase McLaughlin 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 4:5732% → 43%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
67.6%
Bilal Marshall run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
67.6%
Bilal Marshall run for 8 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
67.5%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
67.4%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
66.6%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+11
66.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 11 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
65.9%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+18
65.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 18 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
65.2%
Richie Worship run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 32Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+32
56.9%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 32 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:4859% → 69%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
59.0%
Corbin,Reggie rush for 2 yards to the ILL25 (Replogle, Jake;Clark, Leroy), PENALTY ILL illegal formation 5 yards to the ILL18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
58.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Justin HardeeSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+7
58.8%
Chayce Crouch run for 7 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+12
58.2%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 12 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
59.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 3 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+15
59.2%
Lunt,Wes pass incomplete to Grant,Zach, PENALTY PUR roughing passer (Ezechukwu) 15 yards to the PUR45, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
61.3%
Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+2
61.3%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
62.2%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
62.3%
Chayce Crouch run for 6 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
62.3%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+26
68.7%
Chayce Crouch run for 26 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0437% → 50%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
63.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+26
63.9%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 26 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
61.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
61.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+45
50.0%
David Blough pass complete to Malik Kimbrough for 45 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:3853% → 56%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
52.6%
Chayce Crouch run for 11 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
54.3%
Chayce Crouch run for 15 yds to the ILLINOIS 39 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+29
55.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 29 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
56.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+2
56.8%
Chayce Crouch run for 2 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
51.2%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik Turner, broken up by Markus BaileySimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
56.2%
Chase McLaughlin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:2347% → 53%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
53.1%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
52.7%
David Blough pass complete to David Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
51.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
52.5%
David Blough pass complete to David Yancey for 9 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+33
46.8%
David Blough pass intercepted Hardy Nickerson return for 33 yds to the Illin 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
56.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
57.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
57.3%
Chayce Crouch run for 2 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
56.4%
Ryan Frain punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:0048% → 49%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
52.4%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 4 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+5
52.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+1
52.8%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
51.7%
ILLINOIS Penalty, offside defense (Chunky Clements) to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+15
50.8%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Young, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Dunlap,Jaylen) 15 yards to the PUR39, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
49.8%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 16 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
49.0%
Richie Worship run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
49.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+10
50.5%
David Blough run for 10 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
51.1%
Richie Worship run for no gain to the Illin 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
51.5%
Crouch,Chayce pass incomplete to Grant,Zach, PENALTY PUR holding (Roberts) 10 yards to the ILL45, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
53.7%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+1
55.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
54.3%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Justin Hardee, broken up by Da'Wan HunteSimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
52.2%
Ryan Frain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Malik Kimbrough at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0051% → 53%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
48.8%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+24
48.4%
Richie Worship run for 24 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
46.4%
David Blough pass complete to Malik Kimbrough for 5 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
45.9%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
47.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 36 yds , Dionte Taylor returns for no gain to the Illin 14 Dionte Taylor fumbled, recovered by IllinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 3:0349% → 72%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
48.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+24
48.5%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 24 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
51.6%
Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 1
50
+6
53.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+38
53.2%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 38 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
54.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.8%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:4237% → 48%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
63.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Stanley Green) to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
61.5%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 8 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
61.1%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for no gain to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+9
61.5%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
59.7%
Bilal Marshall pass complete to David Blough for 8 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
59.7%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Illin 20Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
61.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
52.5%
J.D. Dellinger 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0455% → 88%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.6%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+30
55.2%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 30 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
59.8%
Kendrick Foster run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+11
59.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 11 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
61.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
61.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 0
+10
52.1%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Tyler White for 7 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, roughing passer (Eddy Wilson) to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
87.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chayce Crouch pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:3919% → 52%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
80.7%
David Blough run for 7 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+17
78.9%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 17 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
77.9%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 15 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
76.2%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 9 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+13
75.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 13 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
48.0%
Richie Worship run for 8 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 56%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
59.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 21Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
59.5%
Corbin,Reggie rush for 18 yards to the ILL39 (Bailey, Markus), PENALTY ILL holding (Allegretti,N.) 10 yards to the ILL11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+3
59.3%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+11
57.2%
Chayce Crouch run for 11 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q4 9:55
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Ryan Frain punt for 44 yds, downed at the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
52.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
50.0%
David Blough run for 7 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
49.1%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
48.6%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
51.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to David YanceySimilar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
55.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dionte Taylor at the Illin 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
57.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Zach Grant, broken up by Antonio BlackmonSimilar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
57.5%
Chayce Crouch run for 4 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+7
55.5%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 7 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.2%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Tyler White) to the Illin 20Similar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
57.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
57.5%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
55.5%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik Turner ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+7
53.7%
Ryan Frain punt for 53 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0050% → 56%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
50.1%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
46.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Richie WorshipSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+15
48.4%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Yancey, De, PENALTY ILL targeting (Phillips,C.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
50
0
43.9%
David Blough pass intercepted Hardy Nickerson return for no gain to the Illin 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:2162% → 65%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
62.3%
Chayce Crouch run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
63.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
63.2%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Zach Grant for 9 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+7
65.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+41
65.3%
Chase McLaughlin 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
64.7%
Chayce Crouch run for 14 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
64.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Prdue 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
64.7%
Chayce Crouch run for no gain to the Prdue 7 Chayce Crouch fumbled, forced by Gelen Robinson, recovered by Prdue Leroy ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 89%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
40.5%
Richie Worship run for 6 yds to the Illin 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+8
40.5%
Richie Worship run for 8 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
40.5%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Illin 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-1
40.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 11Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+28
11.4%
J.D. Dellinger 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:34
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chayce Crouch pass for Two-Point Conversion)
+35.8
FG · OT 0:00
J.D. Dellinger 28 yd FG GOOD
-32.3
TD · Q4 9:55
Richie Worship run for 8 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
-27.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com