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PUR

Purdue 7 at Maryland 50

MD
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:28 · Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds , William Likely returns for 5 yds to the Prdue 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense+6.8Score differential+1.8Pregame prior+18.1Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:59: Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 11 yds for a TD, (Caleb Rowe pass to Kenneth Goins Jr. for Two-Point Conversion) — MD win probability +2.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:35: Lorenzo Harrison run for 62 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +5.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:08: Ty Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +8.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:11: Perry Hills run for 11 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +4.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:27: Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) PURDUE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — MD win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 4 at MD 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57PUR 4th & 16 at MD 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:17MD 4th & 1 at MD 39, up 8
    Close callPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:28PUR 4th & 20 at PUR 4, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:54PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 32, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:54PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 31, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:54MD 4th & 14 at MD 11, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:02PUR 4th & 10 at MD 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:53MD 4th & 26 at MD 4, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.6
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:36PUR 4th & 5 at MD 42, down 29
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:43PUR 4th & 16 at MD 19, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:22PUR 4th & 16 at MD 40, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:40MD 4th & 3 at MD 16, up 36
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:30PUR 4th & 4 at MD 4, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:04PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 46, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:52MD 4th & 1 at PUR 37, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:55MD 4th & 8 at MD 44, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:50PUR 4th & 14 at MD 14, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:59MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:35MD Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:08MD Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:11MD Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27MD Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:30PUR Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:10MD Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:12MD Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
74.6%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+8
74.6%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
74.6%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
74.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+2
74.6%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 2 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
74.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 32 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
74.1%
Teldrick Morgan run for 7 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
74.1%
Trey Edmunds run for no gain to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+4
74.0%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Markus Bailey return for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1627% → 27%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
73.4%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-1
73.4%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 17Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+5
73.5%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Young, PENALTY UMD offside (Braglio, R.) 5 yards to the UMD12, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
73.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-6
73.4%
David Blough sacked by Jesse Aniebonam and Shane Cockerille for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 16
OPP 18
0
73.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 16
OPP 18
+35
73.4%
J.D. Dellinger 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5873% → 76%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
73.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 20 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.6%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
73.7%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 3 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+30
73.7%
Perry Hills run for 30 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
74.0%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 13 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
76.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 11 yds for a TD, (Caleb Rowe pass to Kenneth Goins Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2124% → 24%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
75.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 12 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
75.5%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+7
75.7%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-5
75.5%
Blough, David pass complete to Marshall, Bilal for 10 yards to the PUR48 (Likely, W.), PENALTY PUR illegal formation 5 yards to the PUR33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
76.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
76.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, downed at the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
76.2%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
76.7%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
76.4%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
76.1%
Wade Lees punt for 44 yds, downed at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3224% → 23%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
76.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+7
76.5%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 7 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-5
76.5%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+10
76.7%
David Blough run for 10 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
76.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
76.4%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
76.9%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+46
77.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 46 yds , William Likely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 1:1177% → 82%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
76.5%
Hills, P. sacked for no gain to the UMD21 (Wilson, Eddy), PENALTY PUR face mask (Wilson, Eddy) 15 yards to the UMD36, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.9%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 2 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+62
82.3%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 62 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
81.3%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+1
81.3%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 10
OWN 14
-10
81.4%
David Blough sacked by Roman Braglio for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 4Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 20
OWN 4
+5
81.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds , William Likely returns for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:3083% → 91%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
83.3%
Perry Hills run for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
83.4%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+9
83.2%
Teldrick Morgan run for 9 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
83.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
83.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 15 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
91.4%
Ty Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 8 yds · 1:0911% → 10%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
89.4%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
89.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
89.1%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+2
89.5%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
89.3%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
89.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Alvin Hill PURDUE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
89.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 8
OWN 36
-5
89.9%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Leroy Clark) to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 54 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
91.8%
Hills, P. rush for 17 yards to the UMD32, out-of-bounds (Parker, C.J.), PENALTY UMD holding (Moore, B.) 7 yards to the UMD8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+2
91.8%
Trey Edmunds run for 2 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
91.8%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to DJ Turner MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 15
OWN 10
-5
91.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 5Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+6
91.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Lorenzo Harrison for 6 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 14
OWN 11
0
91.1%
Wade Lees punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
90.2%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Yancey, De, PENALTY UMD offside (Aniebonam, J.) 5 yards to the UMD40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 5
OPP 40
-6
89.9%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the Mary 36 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (Markell Jones) to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 11
OPP 46
0
90.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+6
90.4%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 6 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-5
90.3%
David Blough sacked by Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
90.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 36 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:5894% → 98%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+56
93.5%
Ty Johnson run for 56 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
93.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 16 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
93.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 9 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-1
93.8%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+2
94.0%
Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
94.3%
Perry Hills sacked by Eddy Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-4
94.6%
Perry Hills sacked by Brandon Roberts for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+5
94.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside (Eddy Wilson) to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
98.2%
Perry Hills run for 11 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-16
98.5%
Perry Hills sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 16 yards to the Mary 4Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 26
OWN 4
+3
98.3%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 47 , Malik Kimbrough returns for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.5%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
98.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+2
98.5%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
98.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 5 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-5
98.9%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 13 Perry Hills fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jake ReplogleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-11
98.6%
David Blough sacked by Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 11 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 21
OPP 24
+5
98.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 5 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 16
OPP 19
0
98.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 16
OPP 19
0
98.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey PURDUE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:0299% → 100%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.1%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-11
99.2%
Perry Hills sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 11 yards to the Mary 19Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 21
OWN 19
+76
99.1%
Ty Johnson run for 76 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 10Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.2%
Perry Hills run for 5 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) PURDUE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
99.5%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 23 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.5%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+12
99.5%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 12 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
99.4%
David Blough sacked by Roman Braglio for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 16
OPP 40
0
99.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron Posey, broken up by Melvin KeihnSimilar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
99.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.6%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 3 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+4
99.6%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 4 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
99.6%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 16 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
99.6%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Malik Kimbrough at the Prdue 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
14 plays · 55 yds · 4:330% → 0%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 12 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
99.7%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Young, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Hill, A.) 15 yards to the UMD28, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.6%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+9
99.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 9 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
99.6%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.6%
David Yancey run for 2 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-7
99.6%
David Blough sacked by Azubuike Ukandu for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+15
99.8%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Yancey, De, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Jackson, J.) 15 yards to the UMD8, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.8%
Richie Worship run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 5 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 4 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Ty Johnson run for 7 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 4 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+48
99.8%
Ty Johnson run for 48 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
99.9%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 11 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Tario FullerSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 43 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by Mary Tyrrell Pigrome , return for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 12 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 14 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jake Funk for 9 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted Alvin Hill return for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
99.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (William Likely) to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
DJ Turner run for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 3
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Wade Lees punt for 37 yds, downed at the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29DOWNS
12 plays · 67 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 8 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 15 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Terrance Landers, broken up by Tino EllisSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+26
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 26 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 14 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar run for 13 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-14
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete PURDUE Penalty, intentional grounding (Elijah Sindelar) to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by Josh WoodsSimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Sindelar sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UMD25 (Jones, M.;Egbuaba, N.), PENALTY UMD offside (Boulware, Q.) 5 yards to the UMD14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 8 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:08
Ty Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q2 13:35
Lorenzo Harrison run for 62 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 0:11
Perry Hills run for 11 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com