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NDSU

North Dakota State 23 at Iowa 21

IOWA
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:05 · Jackson Koonce punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior+22.6Home team on offense+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:06: King Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cam Pedersen KICK) — NDSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 37%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:12: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 9 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +13.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:41: Easton Stick pass complete to Chase Morlock for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — NDSU win probability +25.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:05: Timeout NO DAKOTA ST, clock 00:05 — IOWA win probability +12.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Cam Pedersen 37 yd FG GOOD — NDSU win probability +61.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7NDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:02NDSU 4th & 24 at IOWA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19NDSU 4th & 2 at IOWA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:03IOWA 4th & 3 at NDSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:33NDSU 4th & 6 at IOWA 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.6%−0.4
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:05NDSU 4th & 1 at NDSU 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:09IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45NDSU 4th & 18 at NDSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:08IOWA 4th & 22 at IOWA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−3.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:47NDSU 4th & 11 at IOWA 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:20IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45NDSU 4th & 2 at IOWA 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−10.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:53IOWA 4th & 20 at IOWA 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−15.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NDSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:26NDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:03IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:05IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:06NDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:12IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:41NDSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:4814% → 16%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
85.6%
Easton Stick pass complete to Connor Wentz for 23 yds to the NDkSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
85.5%
King Frazier run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+8
85.3%
King Frazier run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
85.0%
Darrius Shepherd run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+6
84.7%
Easton Stick run for 6 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.5%
Lance Dunn run for no gain to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-16
84.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the Iowa 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NDkSt Easton StickSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 26
OPP 43
+2
84.4%
Easton Stick pass complete to Darrius Shepherd for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 24
OPP 41
0
84.2%
Jackson Koonce punt for 39 yds, downed at the Iowa 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5884% → 84%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
84.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
84.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 2Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
83.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 10
OWN 2
0
83.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eric Perkins at the Iowa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 3INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:4417% → 18%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.3%
Easton Stick pass incomplete to Darrius ShepherdSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
83.2%
King Frazier run for 8 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
83.0%
Lance Dunn run for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+3
82.9%
Easton Stick run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
82.2%
Lance Dunn run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
81.9%
King Frazier run for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+5
81.9%
Easton Stick pass intercepted Brandon Snyder return for 5 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4INT TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:3482% → 78%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
82.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 6 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+7
82.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
82.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-5
82.1%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+1
81.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 1 yd to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+21
77.8%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted for a TD Mj Stumpf return for 21 yds for a TD, (Cam Pedersen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5778% → 80%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
78.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
77.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
77.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 15 yds to the NDkSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
77.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 48Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
77.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 7 yds to the NDkSt 41Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
77.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
76.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 7 yds to the NDkSt 30Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
76.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+30
80.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 30 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:2221% → 23%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
79.2%
Easton Stick run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDkSt 21Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
79.1%
King Frazier run for no gain to the NDkSt 21Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+24
79.3%
Easton Stick pass complete to Bruce Anderson for 24 yds to the NDkSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
77.3%
Easton Stick pass complete to Bruce Anderson for 14 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
76.7%
Easton Stick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
76.6%
Lance Dunn run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
76.4%
Easton Stick pass incomplete to Rj UrzendowskiSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
77.0%
Jackson Koonce punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 0:5579% → 85%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+51
78.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 51 yds George Kittle fumbled, forced by Robbie Grimsley, recovered by Iowa Jerminic Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
80.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 18 yds to the NDkSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
84.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 14 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4917% → 18%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
82.9%
Easton Stick pass complete to Darrius Shepherd for 14 yds to the NDkSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.1%
King Frazier run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 40Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+5
81.9%
Lance Dunn run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 45Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
81.4%
Easton Stick pass complete to Lance Dunn for 2 yds to the NDkSt 47Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
81.8%
Jackson Koonce punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4683% → 82%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
83.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
82.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
82.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
81.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Eric Perkins at the NDkSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1118% → 17%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
82.1%
Easton Stick run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 32Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+15
81.8%
Easton Stick pass complete to Connor Wentz for 15 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.5%
Easton Stick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
81.0%
Lance Dunn run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 49Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-10
80.9%
Easton Stick sacked by Nathan Bazata for a loss of 10 yards to the NDkSt 39Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
82.9%
Jackson Koonce punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2282% → 81%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
82.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
82.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
81.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
80.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eric Perkins at the NDkSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:4019% → 16%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
80.8%
Easton Stick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
81.1%
Easton Stick run for 14 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
80.2%
Easton Stick run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-8
80.1%
Easton Stick sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the NDkSt 48Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+4
83.9%
Bruce Anderson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
83.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:3783% → 81%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
83.1%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 25Similar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+7
82.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
82.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-9
81.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Greg Menard for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
81.0%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eric Perkins at the NDkSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:5419% → 37%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.4%
Bruce Anderson run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 36Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
81.3%
King Frazier run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 40Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
81.0%
Easton Stick pass complete to Darrius Shepherd for 7 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
79.9%
King Frazier run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 49Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
79.5%
Bruce Anderson run for 10 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
79.2%
King Frazier run for 3 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+35
79.1%
Lance Dunn run for 35 yds to the Iowa 3 Lance Dunn fumbled, forced by Desmond King, recovered by NDkSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
77.5%
Stick, Easton pass incomplete to Jenson, Nate, PENALTY IOWA pass interference 1 yards to the IOWA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NODAKOTAST.Similar
Q3 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.5%
King Frazier run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.1%
King Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cam Pedersen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:4371% → 86%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
71.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
72.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
71.2%
C.J. Beathard run for 4 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+37
72.2%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to George Kittle for 37 yds to the NDkSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
74.3%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the NDkSt 22Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
73.6%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to George Kittle for 8 yds to the NDkSt 14Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+5
72.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
73.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 11Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
73.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 9Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
86.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 9 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:1219% → 16%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
81.0%
King Frazier run for 44 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
79.4%
Easton Stick sacked by Matt Nelson for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+3
80.8%
Easton Stick run for 3 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
81.9%
Easton Stick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+50
83.8%
Cam Pedersen 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:2789% → 88%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
88.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST down NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
89.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 49Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
90.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 5 yds to the NDkSt 44Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-8
90.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
88.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 19TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 8:3114% → 42%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
85.8%
Chase Morlock run for 7 yds to the NDkSt 27Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+9
84.9%
Lance Dunn run for 9 yds to the NDkSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
84.9%
Bruce Anderson run for 16 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
82.6%
Easton Stick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
83.2%
King Frazier run for 10 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
82.3%
Darrius Shepherd run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+6
82.3%
Easton Stick pass complete to Rj Urzendowski for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+6
82.2%
King Frazier run for 6 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.7%
Lance Dunn run for 2 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
83.5%
King Frazier run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+3
85.3%
Lance Dunn run for 3 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+3
86.6%
King Frazier run for 3 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
83.4%
Chase Morlock run for 6 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+1
83.8%
Lance Dunn run for 1 yd to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
57.9%
Easton Stick pass complete to Chase Morlock for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:3770% → 69%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
70.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+1
70.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-9
67.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Robbie Grimsley for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 22Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 20
OWN 22
0
69.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Eric Perkins at the NDkSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDSUDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:4435% → 95%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
65.1%
Easton Stick run for 29 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
57.5%
Easton Stick pass complete to Rj Urzendowski for 10 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
55.3%
Chase Morlock run for 4 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
54.4%
Chase Morlock run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+37
5.1%
Cam Pedersen 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Cam Pedersen 37 yd FG GOOD
-61.6
TD · Q4 3:41
Easton Stick pass complete to Chase Morlock for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-25.9
TD · Q3 8:06
King Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cam Pedersen KICK)
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com