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Howard 13 at Maryland 52

MD
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:56 · Dakota Labofsky punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior+30.6Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+27.5Blowout margin+15.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Garbage-time factor+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:21: Ty Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:41: Lorenzo Harrison run for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — HOW win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 5HOW made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:13HOW 4th & 4 at HOW 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:35HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13HOW 4th & 2 at HOW 35, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:16HOW 4th & 14 at HOW 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:36HOW 4th & 8 at HOW 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:16MD 4th & 6 at MD 42, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:33MD 4th & 10 at MD 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:22HOW 4th & 22 at HOW 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:24HOW 4th & 3 at HOW 37, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:23MD 4th & 2 at HOW 46, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:56HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 39, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:17MD 4th & 4 at HOW 19, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:56MD 4th & 7 at HOW 25, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:54HOW 4th & 4 at HOW 36, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 6HOW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:13MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:49MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:21MD Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:41MD Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27MD Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:04HOW Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:33MD Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:14HOW Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
William Parker run for no gain to the Howrd 26 William Parker fumbled, forced by Kingsley Opara, recovered by Howrd Nathan LewisSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.7%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Guy Lemonier Jr. for 2 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen AverySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 29 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.7%
Perry Hills run for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+14
99.7%
Ty Johnson run for 14 yds to the Howrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 7 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+29
99.7%
Trey Edmunds run for 29 yds to the Howrd 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Trey Edmunds run for no gain to the Howrd 2Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Anthony Philyaw run for 4 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Anthony Philyaw run for 2 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Justin ChaneySimilar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+24
99.6%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MARYLAND 40 HOWARD Penalty, illegal motion (Joseff Banks) to the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.6%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
99.6%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+12
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 12 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 3 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
99.6%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+15
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 15 yds to the Howrd 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 11 yds to the Howrd 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.6%
Trey Edmunds run for 2 yds to the Howrd 3Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Trey Edmunds run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 5PUNT TD
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:081% → 0%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.5%
Jason Collins run for 7 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+1
99.5%
Anthony Philyaw run for 1 yd to the Howrd 29Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-8
99.5%
Jason Collins sacked by Jesse Aniebonam and Kingsley Opara for a loss of 8 yards to the Howrd 21Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+13
99.6%
Dakota Labofsky punt blocked by Ty Johnson blocked by Ty Johnson Trey Edmunds return for 13 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.6%
Jason Collins pass complete to Jalen Avery for 5 yds to the Howrd 32Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
William Parker run for 4 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-1
99.6%
William Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 35Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 19 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.6%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+16
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Lorenzo Harrison for 16 yds to the Howrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 8 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
99.6%
William Likely run for 2 yds to the Howrd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 4 yds to the Howrd 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
99.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 1 yd to the Howrd 21Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
Ty Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Anthony Philyaw run for no gain to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-4
99.8%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 20Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Jason Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 31 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.8%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
99.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 12 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-3
99.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 38Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+14
99.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Trey Edmunds for 14 yds to the Howrd 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 3 yds to the Howrd 21Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+11
99.8%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 11 yds to the Howrd 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.7%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Jalen Avery run for 9 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-3
99.8%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 26Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 8 yds to the Howrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Anthony Philyaw run for 3 yds to the Howrd 37Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 8 yds to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.8%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 9 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Kalen Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Kalen Johnson run for no gain to the Howrd 47 Kalen Johnson fumbled, recovered by Howrd Kalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 51 yds, downed at the Mary 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+36
99.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 36 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Jake Funk for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+8
99.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 8 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to DeAndre LaneSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jalen Avery at the Howrd 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
William Parker run for 8 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 2
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
William Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 29Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for 7 yds to the Howrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Trey Edmunds run for 11 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Trey EdmundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to DeAndre LaneSimilar
Q3 14:33
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to DeAndre Lane, broken up by Devin RollinsSimilar
Q3 14:33
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+39
99.9%
Wade Lees punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MARYLAND 35 HOWARD Penalty, Offensive holding (Julian Blair) to the Howrd 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for 3 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for 14 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 41Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-10
99.9%
COLLINS,Jason rush for 3 yards to the HOW44, out-of-bounds, PENALTY HOW holding (HUTCHINS,Aaron) 10 yards to the HOW31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 21
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Jason Collins pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 15 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (Nathan Lewis) to the Howrd 41Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-11
99.9%
Jason Collins sacked by Jalen Brooks for a loss of 11 yards to the Howrd 30Similar
Q3 14:22
4TH & 22
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-10
99.9%
Harrison, L. rush for 2 yards to the UMD46, out-of-bounds (BANKS,Joseff), PENALTY UMD holding (Morgan, T.) 10 yards to the UMD34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+10
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 10 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+25
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 25 yds to the Howrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 34Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+25
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 25 yds to the Howrd 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q3 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for 9 yds to the Howrd 39Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for no gain to the Howrd 39Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-2
99.9%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 37Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 14 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 10 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the Howrd 46Similar
Q3 5:23
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Wade Lees punt for 40 yds , Jalen Avery returns for 2 yds to the Howrd 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
99.9%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Guy Lemonier Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 7Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+4
100.0%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 4 yds to the Howrd 11Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+28
100.0%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Guy Lemonier Jr. for 28 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen AverySimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Robert MercerSimilar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Robert MercerSimilar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+25
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 25 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 5 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+22
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 7 yds to the Howrd 40 for a 1ST down HOWARD Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Howrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for no gain to the Howrd 19Similar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
99.9%
Adam Greene 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 20TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Anthony Philyaw run for 8 yds to the Howrd 35Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Anthony Philyaw run for 2 yds to the Howrd 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
100.0%
Anthony Philyaw run for 9 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Guy Lemonier Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Anthony Philyaw run for 1 yd to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+8
100.0%
Da'Vaun Johnson run for 8 yds to the Mary 39 MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Da'Vaun Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
100.0%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Anthony Philyaw for 19 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
100.0%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 17 yds for a TD MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Dakota Labofsky PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Lorenzo Harrison run for no gain to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+16
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to DJ Turner for 16 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
100.0%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 6 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+15
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 15 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 7
OPP 25
-5
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Ghafona Iduwe for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 30Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Howrd 27Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 2 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Carlton Rainey run for 2 yds to the Howrd 32Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Jason Collins pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 4 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jason Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Dakota Labofsky punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
100.0%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 12 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
100.0%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 18 yds to the Howrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+29
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 29 yds to the Howrd 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Howrd 1Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 24TD
17 plays · 74 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
William Parker run for no gain to the Howrd 26Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
William Parker run for 3 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+30
100.0%
Jason Collins pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for 30 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Jason Collins pass incomplete to Jequez Ezzard, broken up by Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
100.0%
Jason Collins pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 14 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Jason Collins pass incomplete to Kyle Anthony, broken up by Antwaine RichardsonSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-15
100.0%
COLLINS,Jason pass incomplete to EZZARD,JaQuez, PENALTY HOW illegal block (LEWIS,Nathan) 15 yards to the UMD42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 25
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Jason Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 25
OPP 42
+15
100.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Quarvez Boulware) to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
100.0%
Jason Collins pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 14 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Jason Collins pass incomplete to Kyle AnthonySimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
100.0%
Jason Collins pass complete to Robert Mercer for 12 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
William Parker run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (Howard Warren) to the Mary 6Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Jason Collins pass complete to Kyle Anthony for 6 yds for a TD, (Dakota Labofsky KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:21
Ty Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 8:41
Lorenzo Harrison run for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com