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MUR

Murray State 3 at Illinois 52

ILL
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadMUR aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreMUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:48 · Ryan Frain punt for 46 yds , Malik Golson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+41.5Home team on offense+6.3Score differential+3.1Blowout margin−0.3Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:09: Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — MUR win probability +0.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:36: Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:26: Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:48: Connor Mitchell 34 yd FG GOOD — MUR win probability +3.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:26: Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6MUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 6:20MUR 4th & 15 at MUR 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:13ILL 4th & 10 at MUR 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MUR 4th & 6 at MUR 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:48ILL 4th & 9 at ILL 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:18MUR 4th & 14 at MUR 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:26MUR 4th & 7 at ILL 32, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:48MUR 4th & 15 at ILL 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 43, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:03MUR 4th & 4 at MUR 49, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:51ILL 4th & 3 at MUR 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:51MUR 4th & 19 at MUR 16, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:10MUR 4th & 9 at MUR 15, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:44ILL 4th & 4 at MUR 30, up 46
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:44MUR 4th & 10 at MUR 42, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:56ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 48, up 49
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:09ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:47ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:36ILL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:26ILL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26ILL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:51ILL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:13ILL Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MURDrive 1INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.5%
Mark Dodson run for no gain to the MurrS 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
97.5%
Kd Humphries pass intercepted Julian Hylton return for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 4:1497% → 97%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the MurrS 33Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+10
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
97.4%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 7 yds to the MurrS 16Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the MurrS 16Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+10
97.4%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 10 yds to the MurrS 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the MurrS 5Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the MurrS 5Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 3INT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to L.J. Gainey for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 20Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
96.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 2 yds to the MurrS 22Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
97.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MurrS 27Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
97.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 8 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Kd Humphries pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.9%
Kd Humphries run for 5 yds to the MurrS 40Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
96.9%
Kd Humphries pass intercepted Taylor Barton return for no gain to the Illin 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
97.1%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 68 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 21 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
97.0%
Kd Humphries sacked by Tito Odenigbo for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 19Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+12
97.0%
Mark Dodson run for 12 yds to the MurrS 31Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
97.0%
Mark Dodson run for 3 yds to the MurrS 34Similar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
97.0%
STRATTON, Lando punt 50 yards to the ILL16, Mosely,Darius return to the ILL20 (RODRIGUEZ, Sean;RUTLAND, Drew), PENALTY ILL roughing the kicker (Smoot,Dawuane) 5 yards to the MUR39, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Mitch Stults for 4 yds to the MurrS 43Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
96.9%
Mark Dodson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 44Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
97.0%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jordon Gandy for 7 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
96.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Mitch Stults for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 46Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Kd Humphries pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete, broken up by Chris JamesSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 15
OWN 46
+22
97.0%
Landon Stratton punt for 44 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 22 yds to the Illin 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
97.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 13 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
97.1%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the MurrS 48Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
97.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Caleb Reams for 4 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the MurrS 44Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
97.1%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Ryan Frain punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
96.6%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to L.J. GaineySimilar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
96.6%
Demetric Johnson run for no gain to the MurrS 11Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+4
96.6%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Malik Golson for 4 yds to the MurrS 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+53
96.6%
Landon Stratton punt for 43 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 14 ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Darwyn Kelly) to the Illin 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.7%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond CainSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-1
96.7%
Wes Lunt sacked by Jonathan Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 32Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+46
96.6%
Ryan Frain punt for 46 yds , Malik Golson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.4%
Demetric Johnson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 22Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
96.4%
Kd Humphries pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
96.4%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for no gain to the MurrS 22Similar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 9
OWN 22
-5
96.5%
MURRAY ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 17Similar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
96.5%
Landon Stratton punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MurrS 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:5897% → 98%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
96.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 42 Ke'Shawn Vaughn fumbled, recovered by Illin Ke'Shawn VaughnSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+31
96.7%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 31 yds to the MurrS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
96.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the MurrS 10Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+8
96.7%
Lunt,Wes pass incomplete to Davis,Andrew, PENALTY MUR pass interference (WADE, D'Montre) 8 yards to the MUR2, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:102% → 2%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Malik GolsonSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Demetric Johnson run for no gain to the MurrS 20Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
97.9%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 15 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.8%
HUMPHRIES, KD pass complete to MOSS, Jonathan for 3 yards to the MUR38 (Crawford,James), PENALTY ILL offside defense (Smoot,Dawuane) 5 yards to the MUR40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+8
97.7%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Tyre Gray for 8 yds to the MurrS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.8%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Malik GolsonSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+17
97.8%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 17 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
97.6%
Kd Humphries sacked by Hardy Nickerson for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+4
97.8%
Kd Humphries run for 4 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
97.8%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jesse BlackburnSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
97.7%
Connor Mitchell 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 2:0098% → 99%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Caleb Reams for 5 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
98.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 6 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 1 yd to the Illin 44Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+56
99.3%
Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 13FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:381% → 4%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
99.4%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jensen Feggins for 17 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
99.4%
HUMPHRIES, KD pass complete to GAINEY, L.J. for 4 yards to the MUR40 (Dunlap,Jaylen), PENALTY MUR ineligible downfield on pass (IRBY, Joe) 6 yards to the MUR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 16
OWN 30
+2
99.4%
Demetric Johnson run for 2 yds to the MurrS 32Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 3 yds to the MurrS 35Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+12
99.4%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 12 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.4%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
99.3%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Malik Golson for 30 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.3%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to L.J. GaineySimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.3%
Kd Humphries run for 3 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-8
99.5%
Kd Humphries sacked by Chunky Clements for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 17Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
96.1%
Connor Mitchell 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:2299% → 100%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
98.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 9 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn, broken up by D'Montre WadeSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+56
99.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
99.7%
Demetric Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 32 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+11
99.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Ryan Frain punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Malik Golson at the MurrS 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.5%
Demetric Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 14Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+29
99.5%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Jordon Gandy for 29 yds to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jordon GandySimilar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jesse BlackburnSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.5%
Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 6 yds to the MurrS 49Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Landon Stratton punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:22100% → 100%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Sam Mays for 8 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+19
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Sam Mays for 19 yds to the MurrS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Caleb ReamsSimilar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Andrew Davis for 12 yds to the MurrS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
99.6%
Wes Lunt sacked by Jonathan Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the MurrS 47Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+6
99.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the MurrS 41Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+11
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 11 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 30 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.8%
Kd Humphries sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 9 yards to the MurrS 16Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-1
99.8%
Kd Humphries sacked by Gimel President for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 15Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Kd Humphries run for 1 yd to the MurrS 16Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+58
99.8%
Landon Stratton punt for 48 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 15 ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Darwyn Kelly) to the Illin 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:16100% → 100%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 11 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 19 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+32
99.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 32 yds to the MurrS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
99.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 18Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+2
99.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the MurrS 16Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 13
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Caleb ReamsSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+14
99.9%
Chayce Crouch run for 14 yds to the MurrS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the MurrS 1Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
100.0%
Cameron Birse pass complete to Mitch Stults for 13 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
100.0%
Cameron Birse pass complete to Tyre Gray for 5 yds to the MurrS 19Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 19
-4
100.0%
Cameron Birse sacked by Gimel President for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 15Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Cameron Birse pass incomplete to Tyre GraySimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Landon Stratton punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.9%
Tre Nation run for 12 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Tre Nation run for 5 yds to the MurrS 48Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Austin Roberts for 2 yds to the MurrS 46Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Crouch,Chayce pass complete to Davis,Andrew for 8 yards to the MUR38 (WILLARD, Greg), PENALTY MUR holding (PAIGE, Marico) 10 yards to the MUR36, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Tre Nation run for 1 yd to the MurrS 35Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Tre Nation run for 5 yds to the MurrS 30Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Caleb ReamsSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+48
99.9%
Chase McLaughlin 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Trae Gordon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 27Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
100.0%
HARTZ, Houston pass incomplete to GOLSON, Malik, PENALTY ILL personal foul (Nelson,Patrick) 15 yards to the MUR42, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Trae Gordon run for no gain to the MurrS 42Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Houston Hartz run for 6 yds to the MurrS 48Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-6
100.0%
Houston Hartz pass complete to Trae Gordon for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 42Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Landon Stratton punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 3 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+17
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 17 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
100.0%
Tre Nation run for 4 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Tre Nation run for no gain to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Ryan Frain punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MURDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · -16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Mareio McGraw run for 3 yds to the MurrS 23Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Mareio McGraw run for 3 yds to the MurrS 26Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-6
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 4 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Illin Patrick NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:48
Connor Mitchell 34 yd FG GOOD
-3.3
TD · Q2 9:36
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 4:26
Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com