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MICH

Michigan 27 at Ohio State 30

OSU
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:36 · Kenny Allen punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 167Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense−12.3Garbage-time factor−5.5Score differential−4.5Time remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:06: Mike Weber 1 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +23.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. FG · Q4 0:01: Tyler Durbin 23 Yd Field Goal — OSU win probability +36.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +35.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Curtis Samuel run for 15 yds for a TD — OSU win probability +49.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:36MICH 4th & 3 at OSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:11OSU 4th & 9 at MICH 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:28OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:31MICH 4th & 10 at OSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:27OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:03MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:32OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:41MICH 4th & 17 at MICH 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−2.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:10OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:06OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 19, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:47OSU 4th & 16 at MICH 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:04MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:03OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−3.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:32MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−8.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:27OSU 4th & 1 at MICH 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−1.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−18.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:01OSU 4th & 2 at MICH 2, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−22.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:36MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 26, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:01OSU 4th & 5 at MICH 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−12.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−34.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:03OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:06MICH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:37MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:06OSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1334% → 34%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
66.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+6
66.1%
Jabrill Peppers run for 6 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
66.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 14 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.0%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
65.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jake Butt) to the Mich 46Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+8
65.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
65.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
65.7%
Kenny Allen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:1966% → 66%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
65.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 14 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
65.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+15
65.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 15 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
66.0%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
66.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
50
+10
66.3%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Brown, Noah, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Stribling, Channing) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
66.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 19 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
66.5%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Mich 20Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+1
66.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 1 yd to the Mich 19Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-1
66.1%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Channing Stribling for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 20Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
65.7%
Tyler Durbin 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:0535% → 35%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
65.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 2 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+21
65.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 21 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
64.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+2
64.3%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
64.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
65.0%
Kenny Allen punt for 40 yds, downed at the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2265% → 64%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
65.0%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
64.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 4 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-4
64.3%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ryan Glasgow for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
64.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:5336% → 39%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
64.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 9 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
63.4%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
63.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
63.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 9 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
62.6%
Khalid Hill run for 2 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
62.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 22 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
62.0%
Jehu Chesson run for 9 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+1
61.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
61.7%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
61.6%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
62.0%
Jabrill Peppers run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 10Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
61.3%
Kenny Allen 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5562% → 61%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
62.0%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
61.7%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
60.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+5
60.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 50 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 5 yds to the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1439% → 39%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
60.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 4 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
59.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 2 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
59.9%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
61.1%
Kenny Allen punt for 55 yds, downed at the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:2361% → 59%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
61.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
60.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+9
60.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 9 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
60.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 11 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
60.8%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 21Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
60.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to A.J. AlexanderSimilar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
59.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
58.7%
Cameron Johnston punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:4542% → 41%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
58.3%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 41Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
57.4%
Jabrill Peppers run for 2 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-10
57.3%
Wilton Speight sacked by Jerome Baker for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 33Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
59.0%
Kenny Allen punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2258% → 55%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
57.6%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
57.9%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
56.9%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+5
55.7%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Running Into Kicker (Mike McCray) to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
57.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
57.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
56.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
55.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 60 yds, downed at the Mich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
66.2%
Malik Hooker 16 Yd Interception Return (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
15 plays · 55 yds · 3:3937% → 49%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
63.4%
Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
64.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 4 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
63.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 11 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
62.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+5
62.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+6
61.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
60.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 19 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
63.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Dre'Mont Jones) to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.3%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.0%
Khalid Hill run for no gain to the OhSt 1Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.6%
Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
55.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:0556% → 57%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
56.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
55.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 10 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
56.5%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Jabrill Peppers return for 11 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:1349% → 51%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
51.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 11 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
50.0%
Chris Evans run for 7 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+1
49.8%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the OhSt 23Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+16
50.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 16 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
49.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
49.0%
Wilton Speight run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 2 Wilton Speight fumbled, recovered by OhSt Davon HamiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5453% → 51%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
53.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
53.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+10
51.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 10 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
53.3%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
53.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+3
51.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 3 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+3
50.6%
Cameron Johnston run for 3 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2354% → 68%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
46.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+1
45.9%
Jabrill Peppers run for 1 yd to the OhSt 17Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+8
47.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the OhSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
45.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the OhSt 8Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
32.5%
Khalid Hill 8 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 2:4033% → 28%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
32.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
33.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
32.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
34.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+13
33.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
35.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-6
34.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 40Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
30.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q3 3:47
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
28.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0870% → 72%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
29.6%
Henry Poggi run for 4 yds to the Mich 16Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
29.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+1
30.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 16 yds to the Mich 32 MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Mason Cole) to the Mich 17Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+13
29.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 13 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
27.2%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 26Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+22
28.4%
Wilton Speight pass intercepted Jerome Baker return for 22 yds to the Mich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:2432% → 55%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
32.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Maurice Hurst) to the Mich 8Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 5
OPP 8
+4
32.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (4 Yards) to the Mich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
31.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Mich 1Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.2%
Mike Weber 1 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5255% → 56%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
45.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
42.3%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
42.5%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
43.4%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
41.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
44.3%
Kenny Allen punt for 43 yds, downed at the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4946% → 40%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
46.0%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 15Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+5
45.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 20
-5
41.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Mike McCray for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 15Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
40.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2562% → 59%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
37.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Henry PoggiSimilar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
38.0%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-6
40.0%
Wilton Speight sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+2
40.9%
Kenny Allen punt for 33 yds , Curtis Samuel returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:2742% → 41%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+41
41.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 41 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
49.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-1
48.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Taco Charlton and Maurice Hurst for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 16Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
45.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Mich 13Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+4
43.2%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
48.7%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Mich 6Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
48.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
45.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Mich 2Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
40.7%
Tyler Durbin 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1469% → 69%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
31.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 22Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
31.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
28.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
30.9%
Kenny Allen punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26DOWNS
16 plays · 77 yds · 5:2936% → 60%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-6
35.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 12Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+9
34.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+15
32.2%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Samuel, Curtis, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hill, Delano) 15 yards to the OHIOST36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
36.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
35.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
38.4%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
40.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 16 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
41.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+10
40.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
40.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 14 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
40.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Prince) to the Mich 13Similar
Q4 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-4
40.1%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 17Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-1
32.7%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+13
20.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 13 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
59.5%
Tyler Durbin 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+18
64.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 18 yds to the Mich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 29TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 50%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
80.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 9 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
79.3%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+9
83.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
79.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Khalid HillSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.9%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the OhSt 5Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 30FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Jehu Chesson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
40.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the OhSt 19Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
43.0%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant PerrySimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
27.8%
Kenny Allen 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 31TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 85%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
41.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Mich 20Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-4
41.3%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ben Gedeon for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 24Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+8
32.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 8 yds to the Mich 16Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
34.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
84.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 15 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Curtis Samuel run for 15 yds for a TD
+49.9
FG · Q4 0:01
Tyler Durbin 23 Yd Field Goal
+36.6
TD · OT 0:00
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
-35.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com