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Ohio State 62 at Maryland 3

MD
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.5MD 1.4%Tyler Durbin 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 48 - HOME 3 · Q3 12:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:22 · Tyler Durbin 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior−31.7Home team on offense−42.1Score differential−18.2Garbage-time factor−9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:03: Adam Greene 23 Yd Field Goal — MD win probability +0.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:21: Curtis Samuel 36 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:08: J.T. Barrett 1 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:10: Dontre Wilson 8 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:49: Tyler Durbin 45 Yd Field Goal — MD win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 13 of 14OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:37MD 4th & 14 at MD 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38MD 4th & 10 at MD 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:14OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:46MD 4th & 1 at OSU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:03MD 4th & 6 at OSU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14MD 4th & 10 at MD 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:43MD 4th & 1 at MD 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:40OSU 4th & 3 at MD 32, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:00MD 4th & 17 at MD 18, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:49OSU 4th & 15 at MD 27, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:20MD 4th & 1 at MD 49, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:22OSU 4th & 10 at MD 17, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:55MD 4th & 2 at MD 48, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:30MD 4th & 1 at OSU 47, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:15MD 4th & 5 at OSU 38, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:04OSU 4th & 14 at OSU 37, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:26MD 4th & 10 at MD 21, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:11MD 4th & 23 at MD 15, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:46OSU 4th & 22 at OSU 35, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:24MD 4th & 8 at MD 24, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:28OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:29OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:21OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:08OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:08OSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:10OSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:43OSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:30OSU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:1795% → 95%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
4.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+15
4.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
5.0%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
5.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+15
5.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 15 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
5.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 22 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
5.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 11 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
5.5%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
5.3%
Curtis Samuel 2 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:226% → 6%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
5.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 14
OWN 23
0
5.6%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
5.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+11
5.6%
Wade Lees punt for 44 yds , Curtis Samuel returns for 11 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:5594% → 95%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
5.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+28
5.7%
Mike Weber run for 28 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
5.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 16 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.4%
J.T. Barrett 4 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:226% → 6%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
5.5%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
5.6%
Perry Hills sacked by Raekwon McMillan for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+2
5.6%
Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
5.7%
Wade Lees punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2095% → 94%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
5.5%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-7
5.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Cavon Walker and Azubuike Ukandu for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
5.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
5.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 46 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for no gain to the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6FG
15 plays · 76 yds · 3:576% → 7%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
5.9%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+9
6.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 9 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
6.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+19
6.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 19 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
6.4%
D.J. Moore run for 2 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
6.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Ty Johnson for 7 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
6.5%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+2
6.6%
Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+37
6.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 37 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
6.6%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the OhSt 2Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
6.6%
Caleb Rowe run for 1 yd to the OhSt 1Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
6.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 6Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
7.1%
Adam Greene 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:1493% → 95%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
7.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+9
7.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
7.1%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
7.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
4.8%
Curtis Samuel 36 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:466% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
5.5%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to D.J. Moore for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-3
5.6%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
5.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
5.5%
Wade Lees punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:4295% → 97%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
4.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 15 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
4.8%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
4.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 8 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
4.7%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+16
4.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 16 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
4.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
4.7%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
4.6%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.7%
J.T. Barrett 1 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:163% → 3%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
2.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
2.6%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 12 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
2.6%
Caleb Rowe sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+10
2.4%
Caleb Rowe run for 10 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+6
2.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 6 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
2.5%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5697% → 97%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
2.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
2.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+2
2.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.3%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Marshon Lattimore return for no gain to the OhSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:5497% → 98%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
2.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
2.6%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
2.5%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
2.7%
Mike Weber run for 23 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
2.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+15
2.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 15 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Mary 5Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.2%
Curtis Samuel 5 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:053% → 2%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.3%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
2.3%
Caleb Rowe sacked by Jerome Baker for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
2.3%
Wade Lees punt for 47 yds, downed at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:3598% → 99%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
2.0%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
1.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 13 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+33
1.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 33 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.5%
Dontre Wilson 8 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:301% → 1%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.1%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
1.0%
Wes Brown run for 2 yards to the Mary 24 Wes Brown fumbled, forced by Raekwon McMillan, recovered by OhSt Jalyn Holmes , return for 2 yds to the Mary 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:1699% → 98%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-13
1.3%
Demario McCall run for 2 yds to the Mary 20 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 23
OPP 35
+8
1.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Demario McCall for 8 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
1.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 15
OPP 27
+45
1.9%
Tyler Durbin 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:131% → 1%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.8%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.0%
Ty Johnson run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
1.0%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
1.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 6 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
1.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
0.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
1.0%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+32
1.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Demario McCall for 32 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
1.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
1.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
1.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
1.4%
Tyler Durbin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Wes Brown for 15 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
0.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+4
0.7%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+9
0.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 9 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
0.7%
Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, downed at the OhSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:4999% → 100%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 6 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+5
0.9%
Dontre Wilson run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30 Dontre Wilson fumbled, recovered by OhSt Parris Campbell for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
0.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 11 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
0.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 1
50
+4
0.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 4 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
0.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
0.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+30
0.7%
Parris Campbell run for 22 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (8 Yards) to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
0.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Corey Smith for 5 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.5%
Demario McCall 3 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 5:070% → 0%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
0.3%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
0.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jake Funk for 13 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.3%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 4
50
0
0.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 4
50
+3
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jake Funk for 3 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 4 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+6
0.2%
Wes Brown run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+1
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 1 yd to the OhSt 38Similar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 5
OPP 38
-3
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Malik Harrison for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.4%
Demario McCall run for 6 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-5
0.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-5
0.3%
Joe Burrow sacked by Jesse Aniebonam and Kingsley Opara for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
0.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Austin MackSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
0.4%
Cameron Johnston punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
0.2%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+3
0.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jake Funk for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
0.1%
Wade Lees punt for 47 yds, downed at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:35100% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.3%
Demario McCall run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+28
0.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to K.J. Hill for 28 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
0.3%
Demario McCall run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+8
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Demario McCall for 8 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
0.2%
Demario McCall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+25
0.2%
Binjimen Victor 25 Yd pass from Joe Burrow (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · -16 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.1%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+11
0.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 11 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
0.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-8
0.1%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 18
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 18
OWN 20
-5
0.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Jonathon Cooper for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 23
OWN 15
0
0.1%
Wade Lees punt for 38 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
0.2%
Demario McCall run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 7
50
-15
0.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 22
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 22
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 22
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for no gain to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
0.1%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Wade Lees punt for 41 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
0.2%
Demario McCall run for 3 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
0.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to K.J. Hill for 7 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
0.1%
Demario McCall run for 10 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
0.1%
Demario McCall run for 8 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+9
0.1%
Demario McCall run for 9 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
0.1%
Demario McCall run for 1 yd to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
0.1%
Demario McCall run for 1 yd to the Mary 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:21
Curtis Samuel 36 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)
-2.4
TD · Q2 11:08
J.T. Barrett 1 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)
-1.9
FG · Q1 2:03
Adam Greene 23 Yd Field Goal
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com