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OSU

Ohio State 21 at Penn State 24

PSU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-2.3PSU 12.9%Tyler Durbin 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 12 - HOME 0 · Q2 1:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:14 · Tyler Durbin 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior−26.1Home team on offense−13.7Score differential−5.9Garbage-time factor−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:09: Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:10: Curtis Samuel run for 74 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +7.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:32: Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +14.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:33: Tyler Davis 34 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +9.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 4:27: Grant Haley 60 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tyler Davis Kick) — PSU win probability +44.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 11:16PSU 4th & 6 at OSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:56PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:05OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:48PSU 4th & 10 at OSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:38OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:55OSU 4th & 11 at PSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:30PSU 4th & 3 at PSU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:47OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:02PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:52OSU 4th & 2 at PSU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−1.0
    38% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:36PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 33, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:14OSU 4th & 10 at PSU 13, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:53OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 19, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:34PSU 4th & 10 at OSU 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:03OSU 4th & 8 at PSU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:08PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 15, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:52OSU 4th & 8 at PSU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:42OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:27OSU 4th & 7 at PSU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−11.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:02OSU 4th & 23 at OSU 29, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:53OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:09PSU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:10OSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:32PSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:27PSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:1911% → 13%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.0%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
11.2%
Saquon Barkley run for 19 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
11.2%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 49Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+26
11.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 26 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
11.8%
Trace McSorley run for 8 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-4
12.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
12.4%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+46
12.6%
Tyler Davis 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAM Damon Webb return for no gain to the OhSt 21 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0787% → 86%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
12.7%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+2
12.8%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+6
13.0%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
13.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
13.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+8
13.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 8 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
13.7%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by John Reid at the PnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:3814% → 14%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
13.7%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+13
13.8%
Chris Godwin run for 13 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
14.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
14.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Tom PancoastSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
13.9%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
13.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2886% → 85%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.1%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
14.4%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
15.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 54 yds , John Reid returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:0215% → 17%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
15.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+2
15.5%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+27
15.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 27 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
16.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-10
16.7%
Miles Sanders run for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 20
50
+10
16.3%
Trace McSorley run for 10 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 10
OPP 40
-2
16.7%
Blake Gillikin punt for 30 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 8 Dontre Wilson fumbled, recovered by OhSt Gareon ConleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4083% → 82%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
16.8%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 9Similar
Q1 1:31
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+6
17.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 6 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 15
-2
17.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Brandon Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 5
OWN 13
-5
18.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 44 yds , John Reid returns for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 38 John Reid fumbled, recovered by OhSt Terry McLaurinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:3583% → 83%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
16.7%
Mike Weber run for 23 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
16.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
16.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 20Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
16.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+4
17.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 4 yds to the PnSt 16Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
16.8%
Tyler Durbin 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1117% → 18%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
17.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
17.6%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 35Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
17.4%
Trace McSorley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-2
17.7%
Blake Gillikin punt for 45 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3382% → 81%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
17.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
17.8%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+5
18.3%
PENN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
17.9%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
17.9%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
18.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
18.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+4
19.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 54 yds , Gregg Garrity returns for 4 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2219% → 19%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
19.0%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 15Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+13
19.1%
Trace McSorley run for 13 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
19.6%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
19.8%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
19.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
19.0%
Blake Gillikin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:3481% → 85%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
19.5%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
19.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 15 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
18.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+5
19.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 5 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+11
19.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 11 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
18.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 49Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+7
19.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 7 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
18.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+6
19.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 6 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+10
20.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
18.6%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
14.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 26 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5216% → 16%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
15.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
16.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Tom PancoastSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+2
15.6%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
15.6%
Blake Gillikin punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:1884% → 87%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
16.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
16.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+14
16.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 14 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
15.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 19 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
14.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 19 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
14.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
14.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
15.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
12.9%
Tyler Durbin 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 0:5515% → 23%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
14.6%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 27Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+1
13.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+19
13.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 19 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
14.5%
Trace McSorley sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 46Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+34
13.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 34 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
15.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon BarkleySimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
22.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
17.4%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2980% → 78%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
20.1%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
19.2%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
21.0%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Garrett Sickels and Evan Schwan for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+7
22.4%
Cameron Johnston punt for 49 yds , Gregg Garrity returns for 7 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:0622% → 22%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
22.2%
Trace McSorley run for 16 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
24.2%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
24.3%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
22.8%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
21.5%
Blake Gillikin punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 1:1679% → 86%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
21.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
21.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+74
13.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 74 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19SF
5 plays · -31 yds · 1:0715% → 10%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
14.6%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 29Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+1
14.3%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
13.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
10.4%
TEAM run for -30 yds for a SAFETY,TEAM fumbled, recovered by PnSt B. Gillikin,for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:5791% → 91%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
9.1%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 38Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+7
9.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 7 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
8.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+15
8.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 15 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
8.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-5
8.1%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Garrett Sickels for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
8.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 7 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-5
9.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 43Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
9.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 36 yds, downed at the PnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4410% → 9%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
10.0%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 7Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+8
9.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
9.8%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 15Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
9.3%
Blake Gillikin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4692% → 92%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
7.8%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+2
8.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 2 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+11
8.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 11 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
7.5%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 45
-3
7.4%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Garrett Sickels for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+4
7.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 4 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
8.3%
Cameron Johnston punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gregg Garrity at the PnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:089% → 26%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
9.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 16 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+37
9.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 37 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+35
11.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 35 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
12.0%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.4%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1882% → 79%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
17.9%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 20 Mike Weber fumbled, recovered by OhSt Mike WeberSimilar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
18.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
20.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Cameron Brown Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:3730% → 31%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
29.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 8 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+10
29.7%
Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-6
28.1%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
27.0%
Trace McSorley run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
0
21.7%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
31.4%
Tyler Davis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:3875% → 39%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
25.3%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+3
23.6%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
24.1%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 24Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+34
24.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 34 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
18.6%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
18.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
18.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
17.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
17.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 3 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
17.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+60
61.2%
Grant Haley 60 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tyler Davis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27DOWNS
13 plays · 12 yds · 3:0134% → 17%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
65.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 12Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
67.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 5 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 4
OWN 17
-5
69.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 12Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+15
72.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 15 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
70.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 4 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
71.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+8
71.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 8 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
70.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
72.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-13
73.9%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Jason Cabinda for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 23
OWN 29
-6
82.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Evan Schwan and Kevin Givens for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:0094% → 95%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
93.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 15
OPP 28
-4
94.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 32
-4
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:27
Grant Haley 60 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tyler Davis Kick)
+44.1
TD · Q4 13:32
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+14.4
FG · Q4 9:33
Tyler Davis 34 yd FG GOOD
+9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com