Try the model
OSU

Ohio State 30 at Wisconsin 23

WIS
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Camp Randall Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.2WIS 27.1%Andrew Endicott 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:03
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:03 · Andrew Endicott 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 16Pregame prior−24.4Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential+0.0Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:52: J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +17.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:09: J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +27.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:54: Austin Ramesh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +29.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:57: Tyler Durbin 31 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +18.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:51OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03WIS 4th & 13 at OSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:25OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46OSU 4th & 7 at WIS 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:38OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:59WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:43OSU 4th & 5 at WIS 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:47WIS 4th & 14 at OSU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:57OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:14WIS 4th & 4 at OSU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.7%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:25WIS 4th & 15 at WIS 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:46WIS 4th & 15 at WIS 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:17OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−3.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−12.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:38OSU 4th & 1 at WIS 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%−3.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−14.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:57OSU 4th & 3 at WIS 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−5.3
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−19.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:41WIS 4th & 12 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−4.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:17WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:52OSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:09OSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:54WIS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:0976% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
24.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
24.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
24.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
24.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-10
24.4%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Conor Sheehy for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
24.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:4825% → 27%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
24.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 28 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
25.2%
Corey Clement run for 12 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
25.7%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+12
25.9%
Jazz Peavy run for 12 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
26.4%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
26.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-7
26.9%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
27.1%
Andrew Endicott 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3873% → 72%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
27.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 11 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
27.3%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
27.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
27.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+4
28.4%
Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds , Corey Clement returns for 4 yds to the Wisc 46 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (Lubern Figaro) to the Wisc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 1:0828% → 32%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+68
28.0%
Corey Clement run for 68 yds to the OhSt 27 Corey Clement fumbled, forced by Chris Worley, recovered by Wisc for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
29.1%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
29.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Alec IngoldSimilar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
32.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:3169% → 67%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
30.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 12 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
30.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 10 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
30.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the Wisc 45 J.T. Barrett fumbled, recovered by OhSt J.T. BarrettSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
30.7%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
31.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
31.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
31.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 21 yds to the Wisc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
31.9%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the Wisc 4Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
32.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-4
32.5%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 8Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
33.0%
Tyler Durbin 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3334% → 34%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.8%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
34.6%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
34.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
34.2%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3566% → 63%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-17
34.1%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 30 OHIO ST Penalty, Sideline Interference (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 27
OWN 15
+7
35.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 7 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 22
+10
36.4%
Curtis Samuel run for 10 yds to the OhSt 32 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (K.J. Hill) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
36.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:3936% → 38%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+28
36.3%
Jazz Peavy run for 28 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
38.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
39.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-8
39.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+13
37.9%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 44 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 13 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:1662% → 65%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
38.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+29
38.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
50
+7
36.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 7 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-10
36.9%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+25
40.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 25 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
36.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
37.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
38.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to K.J. HillSimilar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
35.4%
Tyler Durbin 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:4638% → 47%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
40.3%
Jazz Peavy run for 8 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
41.6%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
42.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
42.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
44.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
44.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+30
43.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 30 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
45.3%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the OhSt 9Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
45.6%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the OhSt 4 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Troy Fumagalli) to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
45.6%
Alex Hornibrook run for no gain to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
45.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
47.4%
Andrew Endicott 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:4653% → 48%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
47.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 17Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
48.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+2
50.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
52.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Corey Clement at the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 1:4352% → 55%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
52.2%
Jazz Peavy run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
50
+15
54.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
55.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
55.2%
Jazz Peavy run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
55.6%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the OhSt 23Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+18
55.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Corey Clement for 18 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
55.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
55.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the OhSt 4Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
52.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
54.9%
Andrew Endicott 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
58.1%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:3557% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.4%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
58.9%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
58.9%
Jazz Peavy run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
61.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Eric SteffesSimilar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-8
60.5%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Jalyn Holmes for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 15
OWN 30
-2
58.5%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 32 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 36 Dontre Wilson fumbled, recovered by OhSt Dontre WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15INT
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:2641% → 41%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
59.4%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
58.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
59.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+11
58.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 11 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
59.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 22 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
59.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3165% → 64%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
65.0%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
65.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-4
64.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 15Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+31
64.1%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 31 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 47 yds · 4:5437% → 55%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
63.3%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+9
65.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
64.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
64.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
65.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 9 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
65.3%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+4
67.2%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
64.9%
Mike Weber run for no gain to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
66.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+9
68.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 9 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
69.4%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
66.5%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Brown, Noah, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Shelton, Sojourn) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.6%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Wisc 1Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:5953% → 55%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
53.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+3
55.3%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
54.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Gareon Conley return for no gain to the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:3952% → 75%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
48.1%
Dontre Wilson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+4
48.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 4 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+21
49.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 21 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
46.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
46.9%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
25.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 6:1533% → 71%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
32.9%
Austin Ramesh run for 3 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-2
32.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 20Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+36
31.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 36 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
38.5%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+20
38.5%
Corey Clement run for 20 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
41.3%
Corey Clement run for 8 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-1
41.5%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+4
39.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 4 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
41.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+6
41.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
71.1%
Austin Ramesh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:5737% → 56%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.8%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
61.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 8 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
59.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 11 yds to the OhSt 48 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mike Weber) to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 9
OWN 38
-2
60.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Jack Cichy for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+43
64.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 43 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
55.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
56.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
58.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
44.0%
Tyler Durbin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:0254% → 59%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.1%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
57.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
56.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 9 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
60.8%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
61.5%
Clement, Corey rush for 4 yards to the OHIOST44, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Connors, Brett) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+8
56.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 12
50
0
59.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23PUNT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0857% → 53%
Q4 0:49
3RD & 12
50
0
57.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 12
50
0
53.1%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
49.2%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 77%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
40.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 10 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
40.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Tyquan Lewis) to the Wisc 20Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+12
40.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 12 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
-10
40.5%
Barrett, J.T. rush for 2 yards to the WISCONSIN6, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Jones, Jamarco) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN18, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+11
41.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 11 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
22.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26Uncategorized
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0028% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the OhSt 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+21
24.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 21 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
28.1%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the OhSt 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
28.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
25.6%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the OhSt 4Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-11
23.1%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 11 yards to the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:54
Austin Ramesh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
+29.5
TD · Q4 14:09
J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
-27
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com