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IU

Indiana 17 at Ohio State 38

OSU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:54 · Cameron Johnston punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+21.3Home team on offense+19.7Score differential+9.2Garbage-time factor+9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:32: Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:03: Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 18 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +2.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:30: J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:59: Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 7 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +4.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:38: Mike Weber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK) — OSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:09IU 4th & 4 at OSU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31OSU 4th & 11 at IU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06IU 4th & 10 at OSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:35OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:38IU 4th & 10 at IU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:46OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:37IU 4th & 15 at OSU 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:39IU 4th & 28 at IU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:54IU 4th & 13 at IU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:54OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:32IU 4th & 10 at IU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 49, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:32IU 4th & 9 at IU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:10IU 4th & 1 at OSU 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−4.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:48OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:15IU 4th & 5 at IU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00OSU 4th & 1 at IU 12, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:47OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:32OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:03IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:59IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:38OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:51OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
97.4%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+9
97.4%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
97.3%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 29 J.T. Barrett fumbled, recovered by IndSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:223% → 3%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
97.2%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+6
97.2%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
97.2%
Devine Redding run for 11 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
97.1%
Richard Lagow run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 6Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
97.0%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.9%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the OhSt 4Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
96.8%
Griffin Oakes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:1497% → 96%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
96.8%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
96.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+25
96.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 25 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
96.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
96.6%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+11
96.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 11 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
96.3%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-5
96.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 16
OPP 25
+5
96.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
96.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
96.1%
Tyler Durbin 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:514% → 5%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+21
95.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 21 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
95.5%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-5
95.4%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+7
95.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 7 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 5
OPP 35
-5
95.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
95.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 39 yds, downed at the OhSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0595% → 95%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
95.1%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 7Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+17
95.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 17 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
94.9%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
94.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
94.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
94.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:226% → 6%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
94.2%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
94.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
94.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
94.4%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3494% → 94%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
94.3%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-1
94.1%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Nate Hoff for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+1
93.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
93.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ind 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:577% → 7%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
93.4%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
93.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 1 yd to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 8
OWN 13
-4
93.3%
Richard Lagow sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 9 Richard Lagow fumbled, recovered by OhSt Jalyn Holmes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3894% → 95%
Q2 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
94.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for no gain to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.1%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:495% → 6%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
94.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+1
94.7%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+50
94.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 50 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
93.9%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 13
OPP 30
-2
94.1%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
94.5%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 15
OPP 32
0
94.5%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 30 yds, downed at the OhSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5494% → 93%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
93.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+3
93.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
93.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
93.4%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -18 yds · 1:516% → 6%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
93.6%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-15
93.7%
INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 25
OWN 33
0
94.0%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 25
OWN 33
-3
94.1%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 28
OWN 30
0
94.1%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 43 yds, downed at the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:5894% → 96%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
93.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 12 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 7 yds to the OhSt 46 Curtis Samuel fumbled, recovered by OhSt Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+22
93.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 22 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+27
93.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 27 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 1:585% → 9%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
95.2%
Tyler Natee run for 9 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
94.8%
Tyler Natee run for 2 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.1%
Tyler Natee run for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
94.9%
Tyler Natee run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 6
50
+32
95.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 32 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
91.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 18 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0694% → 96%
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
93.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:155% → 5%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
95.5%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+2
95.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 89 yds · 4:365% → 11%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
95.5%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
95.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+12
95.4%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
95.1%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Jones, Ricky, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference 8 yards to the INDIANA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
94.9%
Tyler Natee run for 4 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
94.7%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
94.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 8 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
94.5%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+17
94.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 17 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
94.1%
Devine Redding run for 19 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
94.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 9Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
93.9%
Richard Lagow run for 2 yds to the OhSt 7Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 7 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:5392% → 96%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
91.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 17Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+11
91.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
91.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
91.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+12
91.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
92.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 27 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
92.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
92.2%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
91.9%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
91.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
91.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:365% → 5%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
94.9%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+2
95.0%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 13
OWN 23
0
95.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
95.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+3
95.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 41 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 3 yds to the OhSt 26 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OhSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5496% → 96%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James ClarkSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
96.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
96.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
95.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:175% → 5%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
94.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
95.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
95.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
95.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2797% → 96%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
96.7%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+3
96.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
96.3%
Cameron Johnston punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:585% → 5%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.2%
Tyler Natee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+2
95.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devonte Williams for 2 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
95.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ian ThomasSimilar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
95.4%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dontre Wilson at the OhSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24INT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3697% → 96%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
96.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
96.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 5 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-5
96.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-8
96.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+31
96.3%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted AShon Riggins return for 31 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:527% → 4%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
93.5%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the OhSt 5 Devine Redding fumbled, forced by Jalyn Holmes, recovered by Ind Devine ReddingSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+1
93.9%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the OhSt 4Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
94.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Danny FriendSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-2
96.2%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:0297% → 97%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
97.1%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+4
97.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
97.2%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
97.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 7 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
97.2%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
97.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
97.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
97.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
97.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:193% → 3%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
96.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
96.8%
Devonte Williams run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
96.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:2498% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
97.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 1 yd to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+10
97.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 37 yds for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:511% → 1%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mike Majette for 9 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
99.5%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+62
99.5%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Malik Hooker return for 47 yds to the OHIOST 19 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.6%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+5
99.7%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+4
99.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:59
Richard Lagow pass complete to Danny Friend for 7 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q3 3:38
Mike Weber run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Durbin KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 1:03
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 18 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com