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RUTG

Rutgers 13 at Maryland 31

MD
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:55 · David Bonagura 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense+17.8Score differential+7.1Pregame prior+2.0Garbage-time factor+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:42: Robert Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:09: Tyrrell Pigrome run for 28 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +8.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Danny Sutton kickoff for 56 yds , Justin Goodwin return for 15 yds to the Rutgr 24 — MD win probability +4.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:48: Justin Goodwin run for 28 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura PAT BLOCKED) — RUTG win probability +7.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:38: Andrew Stefanelli run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +8.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 9RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 14:09RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:51MD 4th & 14 at MD 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:25RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:20RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55MD 4th & 2 at RUTG 28, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%−1.0
    60% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−5.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55RUTG 4th & 9 at MD 28, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:52MD 4th & 20 at MD 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:09RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:33RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−1.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:38MD 4th & 10 at RUTG 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:51MD 4th & 1 at MD 31, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:43RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:22MD 4th & 9 at MD 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55RUTG 4th & 12 at MD 22, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−5.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:43MD 4th & 2 at RUTG 30, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:02RUTG 4th & 8 at MD 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:36MD 4th & 1 at RUTG 23, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.8
    70% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:56MD 4th & 12 at RUTG 23, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:56RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:13MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:42RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:09MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:48RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    21.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:38MD Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:4758% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
58.4%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+46
58.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 46 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
58.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
58.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+12
58.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 12 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+5
58.7%
Michael Cintron punt for 57 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 5 yds to the Mary 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
59.3%
D.J. Moore run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+9
59.3%
D.J. Moore run for 9 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
59.3%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+5
59.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 5 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-7
59.2%
Perry Hills sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 14
OWN 24
+3
59.1%
Wade Lees punt for 44 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 3 yds to the Rutgr 27 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:2940% → 36%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.3%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
60.0%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
60.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.1%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-7
60.2%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+83
64.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 48 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 83 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
64.2%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
63.8%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
64.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
63.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-4
63.8%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Oseh Saine and Shane Cockerille for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
64.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 18 yds, downed at the Mary 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 4:5667% → 70%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
67.2%
Perry Hills run for 9 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
67.7%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-5
67.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Michael Dunn) to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+12
67.2%
Perry Hills run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
67.7%
Perry Hills sacked by Jon Bateky and Ron'Dell Carter for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+3
67.4%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+16
67.0%
Ty Johnson run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
67.7%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-4
67.7%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+11
67.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 11 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+46
70.3%
Adam Greene 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7TD
16 plays · 72 yds · 4:1331% → 38%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Carlton Agudosi, broken up by Cavon WalkerSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
68.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
68.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+5
68.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (Alvin Hill) to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.5%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
68.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
68.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 20 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
67.1%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
67.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan Harris, broken up by RaVon DavisSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
68.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan Harris, broken up by Darnell Savage Jr.Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+14
68.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 14 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
67.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
67.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Mary 6Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+5
67.7%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.1%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.9%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 1:4466% → 66%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
66.2%
Ty Johnson run for 7 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-5
67.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Damian Prince) to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+12
66.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 12 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
67.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
66.8%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-10
67.4%
Perry Hills sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick and Darnell Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
66.1%
Wade Lees punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jawuan Harris at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
67.8%
Robert Martin run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
67.7%
Robert Martin run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
66.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
66.8%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
67.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+25
68.2%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 25 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:1671% → 79%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
70.6%
Ty Johnson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-9
70.8%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 43 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding (Damian Prince) to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+25
69.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 25 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
78.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 28 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:3624% → 22%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
76.5%
Robert Martin run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
76.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Robert Martin for 5 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-2
75.2%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-11
77.5%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Cavon Walker for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
78.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:4879% → 81%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+55
79.4%
Ty Johnson run for 55 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
80.4%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+3
80.2%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
79.8%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+34
80.6%
Adam Greene 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0021% → 25%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
79.1%
Rescigno, G. pass incomplete to Arcidiacono, N., dropped pass, PENALTY UMD roughing passer (Opara, K.) 15 yards to the RU35, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
78.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
77.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+10
77.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 10 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
76.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 13 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
75.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-12
75.3%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 12 yards to the Mary 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 70 yds · 0:0020% → 22%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
80.1%
Dacoven Bailey run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+13
79.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
79.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 3 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
78.4%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+19
79.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 19 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
78.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 30 yds Justin Goodwin fumbled, forced by Jermaine Carter Jr., recovered by Mary Jermaine Carter Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
82.6%
Ty Johnson run for 16 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
82.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
82.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+4
82.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 4 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
82.0%
Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jawuan Harris at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
81.8%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
82.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Matt FlanaganSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
83.5%
Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
84.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.2%
Wade Lees punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:5617% → 27%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
82.7%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-5
82.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Kamaal Seymour) to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+19
83.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 19 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
81.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+6
80.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 6 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
80.5%
Dacoven Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+28
73.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 28 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0581% → 92%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
81.3%
Ty Johnson run for 47 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
83.6%
Ty Johnson run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
83.6%
D.J. Moore run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
83.6%
Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.4%
Andrew Stefanelli run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:4012% → 10%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
88.3%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+10
89.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 10 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+8
88.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 8 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
87.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 36 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
85.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
85.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-5
86.9%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
90.5%
David Bonagura 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:1293% → 96%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
92.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
93.1%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-5
93.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Derrick Hayward) to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+15
92.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 15 yds to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
93.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 8 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-5
93.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Michael Dunn) to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
93.5%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+15
93.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 15 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
93.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern Jacobs, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
93.5%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+6
93.3%
Perry Hills run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 2
OPP 30
-2
95.8%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 10 yds · 2:365% → 5%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
94.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
94.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for 8 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
94.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+11
95.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 11 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
94.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Matt FlanaganSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
94.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
95.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan Harris, broken up by Darnell Savage Jr.Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 8
OPP 45
-13
95.4%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23FG
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:5597% → 99%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
96.8%
Hills, P. pass incomplete to Moore, D. (Austin, B.), PENALTY RU pass interference (Austin, B.) 10 yards to the RU32, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
96.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
96.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
97.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-6
98.1%
Perry Hills sacked by Kiy Hester for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+4
98.1%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 12
OPP 23
-5
98.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (Perry Hills) to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 17
OPP 28
+5
98.0%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+41
99.3%
Mike Shinsky 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
97.9%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Kingsley Opara for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
98.1%
Rescigno, G. pass incomplete to Patton, Andre, PENALTY UMD offside (Ukandu, A.) 5 yards to the RU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
99.5%
Jake Funk run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+10
99.5%
Perry Hills run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.5%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:09
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 28 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q3 2:38
Andrew Stefanelli run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q3 4:48
Justin Goodwin run for 28 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura PAT BLOCKED)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com