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PSU

Penn State 39 at Rutgers 0

RUTG
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:03 · Michael Cintron punt for 19 yds, downed at the Rutgr 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior−35.8Home team on offense−4.4Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:34: Tyler Davis 32 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +1.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 1:42: Tyler Davis 34 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:33: Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:46: Tyler Davis 32 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:32: Andre Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — PSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 9 of 13PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:35RUTG 4th & 17 at PSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:35PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:01RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:34PSU 4th & 6 at RUTG 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:28RUTG 4th & 3 at PSU 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:42PSU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.8%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:42PSU 4th & 2 at RUTG 16, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 2 at midfield, down 6
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:48PSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 2, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:03RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 10, down 6
    Close callPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:28PSU 4th & 15 at RUTG 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−3.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:00RUTG 4th & 7 at PSU 45, down 9
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:53PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:33RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 19, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:46PSU 4th & 4 at RUTG 14, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−3.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:46RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:23RUTG 4th & 11 at PSU 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:21PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 19, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:53RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 29, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:00RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 9, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q3 12:33PSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:32PSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:59PSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:07PSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:197% → 8%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
7.3%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 17
OPP 26
0
7.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 17
OPP 26
0
7.3%
Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+45
7.7%
David Bonagura 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
7.7%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
7.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
7.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 36Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
7.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
8.3%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+8
8.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
8.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
8.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:1491% → 90%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
8.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 7 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
8.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
8.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
8.6%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
8.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
8.6%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
8.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
8.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
8.6%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+1
8.6%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
10.2%
Tyler Davis 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
10.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 19 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
10.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 5 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
10.7%
Dacoven Bailey run for 2 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-5
10.6%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Brandon Bell for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 49 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+5
10.2%
Cintron, M. punt 34 yards to the PSU15, fair catch by Reid, John, PENALTY PSU offside defense (Miller, Jarvis) 5 yards to the PSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
10.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 2:2789% → 89%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
11.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
11.1%
Andre Robinson run for 5 yds to the PnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
11.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 11 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
10.9%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
10.9%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
11.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 1
50
+26
11.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 26 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
11.2%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon BarkleySimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
11.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
11.2%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+3
11.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
10.8%
Tyler Davis 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:1312% → 12%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
11.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+5
12.2%
Tylin Oden run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
12.2%
Tylin Oden run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
12.3%
Tylin Oden run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+1
12.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
50
0
12.0%
Michael Cintron punt for 21 yds, downed at the PnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 69 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
11.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
11.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+10
11.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 10 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
11.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 15 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+28
11.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 28 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
11.2%
Andre Robinson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
11.2%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+3
11.3%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
11.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
12.8%
PENN ST Penalty, offside defense (Garrett Sickels) to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 5
OWN 7
+3
12.8%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 2
OWN 10
-2
13.0%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+2
12.4%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
12.6%
Michael Cintron punt for 19 yds, downed at the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:4188% → 88%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
11.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
11.7%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
11.8%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
11.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Miles SandersSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
12.1%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
12.4%
PENN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
12.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+40
12.3%
Tyler Davis 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:2812% → 14%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.0%
Tylin Oden run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
12.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
11.9%
Tylin Oden run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
12.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 14 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
13.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
13.0%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-1
13.0%
Tylin Oden run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
13.6%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds, fair catch by John Reid at the PnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
13.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 12Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+15
14.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 15 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
13.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins, broken up by Tyreek Maddox-WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
13.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 6 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
13.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton, broken up by Saquan HamptonSimilar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+4
13.9%
Blake Gillikin punt for 46 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
13.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 14
OWN 11
-4
13.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
14.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
14.0%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
13.4%
Michael Cintron punt blocked by Juwan Johnson blocked by Juwan JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2087% → 93%
Q3 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
12.7%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
12.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.0%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.0%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
9.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
8.7%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 12:33
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
8.7%
Michael Cintron punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:5493% → 96%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
7.0%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
7.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
6.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
7.0%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+19
7.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 19 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
6.7%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
6.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+4
7.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
4.1%
Tyler Davis 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
6.8%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
7.0%
Rescigno, G. pass incomplete to Patton, Andre, PENALTY RU holding (Seymour, Kamaal) 10 yards to the RU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
6.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan Harris, broken up by Jason CabindaSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
6.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
6.7%
Michael Cintron punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:0196% → 99%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
3.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
3.7%
Trace McSorley run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+22
3.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 22 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
3.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+3
3.5%
Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.6%
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
0.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 20
OWN 46
0
0.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+9
0.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 9 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
0.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
0.7%
Mark Allen run for 8 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 2
OWN 19
0
0.7%
Mark Allen run for no gain to the PnSt 19Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
0.7%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+10
0.8%
Blake Gillikin punt for 50 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 10 yds to the Rutgr 29 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:021% → 0%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
0.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
0.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
0.6%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Evan Schwan for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 34 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 34
0
0.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 34
0
0.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
0.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 61 yds, downed at the PnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 5:5499% → 100%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
0.6%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 3 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+1
0.6%
Miles Sanders run for 1 yd to the PnSt 9Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+11
0.6%
Trace McSorley run for 11 yds to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.6%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
0.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+11
0.6%
Trace McSorley run for 11 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
0.6%
Miles Sanders run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.5%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.5%
Mark Allen run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+9
0.5%
Mark Allen run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
0.5%
Mark Allen run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+27
0.2%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mark Allen for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
0.2%
Tylin Oden run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 30 Tylin Oden fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Tylin OdenSimilar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-1
0.2%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Tylin Oden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Michael Cintron punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
0.2%
Tommy Stevens run for 6 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-1
0.2%
Tommy Stevens sacked by Darnell Davis and Eric Margolis for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 31Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+57
0.2%
Miles Sanders run for 57 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.1%
Tommy Stevens run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
0.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John Tsimis, broken up by Garrett TaylorSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
0.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-3
0.1%
Giovanni Rescigno run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 12
OWN 9
0
0.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
0.1%
Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
0.1%
Tommy Stevens run for 1 yd to the PnSt 48Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+12
0.1%
Tommy Stevens run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
0.1%
Tommy Stevens run for 31 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:33
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q3 3:32
Andre Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-2.9
FG · Q3 6:46
Tyler Davis 32 yd FG GOOD
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com