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RUTG

Rutgers 0 at Michigan State 49

MSU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:44 · Michael Cintron punt for 22 yds, downed at the MchSt 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Home team on offense+9.4Pregame prior+26.5Score differential+6.6Blowout margin+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:03: Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted for a TD Demetrious Cox return for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:22: Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 50 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q1 1:29: LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 19 — MSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:07: Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:54: Madre London run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:55MSU 4th & 3 at MSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:12RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:56RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:14RUTG 4th & 16 at MSU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MSU 4th & 8 at MSU 14, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:44RUTG 4th & 11 at MSU 30, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:07RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:42MSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 4, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 36, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:02MSU 4th & 8 at MSU 44, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:27RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 19, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:33MSU 4th & 1 at MSU 38, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:04RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 37, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:13MSU 4th & 7 at MSU 35, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:21MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:22MSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:07MSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:02MSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:54MSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:33MSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. SheltonSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.0%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 32Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
84.0%
Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to LJ ScottSimilar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
84.0%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 48 yds, downed at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
83.8%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+3
83.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
83.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-5
83.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+8
83.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 50 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 8 yds to the MchSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 4:3284% → 84%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
83.5%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 49Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
83.5%
LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
83.6%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+22
83.6%
LJ Scott run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
83.6%
LJ Scott run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
83.6%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
83.6%
R.J. Shelton run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.8%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1317% → 15%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
84.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted for a TD Demetrious Cox return for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
84.9%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+2
85.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 2 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+14
85.0%
Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 14 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:4686% → 88%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
86.0%
LJ Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 12
50
+50
88.0%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 50 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
87.8%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+10
87.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 10 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
87.7%
Robert Martin run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+4
87.5%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the MchSt 46Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-5
87.4%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
87.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 10 yds to the MchSt 41Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
86.9%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
87.2%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the MchSt 37Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-10
87.2%
Rescigno, Giovanni pass incomplete to Agudosi, Carlton, PENALTY RU holding 10 yards to the MSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+3
87.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 16
OPP 44
0
87.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
87.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2989% → 89%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
89.3%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 19Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
89.3%
Delton Williams run for no gain to the MchSt 19Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 19
-5
89.1%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
89.6%
Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty MadarisSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+7
89.4%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 7 yds to the MchSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
90.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 9 yds to the MchSt 39Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+10
89.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 10 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
89.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-3
90.1%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 30Similar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 11
OPP 30
0
90.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 22 yds, downed at the MchSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 92 yds · 5:5191% → 97%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+25
91.4%
Gerald Holmes run for 25 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
91.5%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 20 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
91.8%
Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the MchSt 40 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 13
50
0
91.7%
Tyler O'Connor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 13
50
+10
91.7%
Gerald Holmes run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+16
91.6%
Tyler O'Connor run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.8%
Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie CorleySimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
91.8%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 5 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+10
91.6%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 10 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
91.8%
Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
91.8%
Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.1%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
97.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
97.4%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds, downed at the MchSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:5898% → 99%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.5%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 41Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
97.5%
Darrell Stewart Jr. run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
97.6%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.5%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 8 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+11
97.3%
LJ Scott run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
97.6%
LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+6
97.3%
LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.6%
LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+8
97.5%
LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.4%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
LJ Scott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
98.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Robert Martin for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:4899% → 100%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.2%
LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 31Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
99.2%
LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 35Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
99.2%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
99.2%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 28 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.2%
LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+14
99.2%
Madre London run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.3%
Madre London run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
99.3%
Madre London run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
99.2%
Madre London run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
99.2%
Tyler O'Connor run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Madre London run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-6
99.6%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+20
99.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted Montae Nicholson return for 10 yds to the Rutgr 36 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
99.7%
Madre London run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.7%
Madre London run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-1
99.7%
Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+17
99.7%
Damion Terry pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 17 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.7%
Damion Terry run for no gain to the Rutgr 6 Damion Terry fumbled, recovered by MchSt Jamal LylesSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Madre London run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Tylin Oden run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Tylin Oden run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-3
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Tylin Oden run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 42 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 12 yds to the MchSt 48 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the MchSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 27Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the MchSt 27Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Damion Terry pass incomplete to Jamal LylesSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
Hartbarger, Jake punt 41 yards to the RU32, downed, PENALTY RU roughing the kicker 15 yards to the MSU42, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the MchSt 41 Gerald Holmes fumbled, forced by Deonte Roberts, recovered by MchSt Darrell Stewart Jr.Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Damion Terry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:02
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+39
99.9%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.9%
Tylin Oden run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Tylin Oden pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 7
OWN 19
-4
99.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 48 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 29 Brandon Sowards fumbled, recovered by MchSt Brandon SowardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 24Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 26Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Delton Williams run for 7 yds to the MchSt 33Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Colar Kuhns pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 5 yds to the MchSt 38Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 35 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 3 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
100.0%
Tylin Oden run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Michael Cintron punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
99.9%
Nick Tompkins run for 15 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Nick Tompkins run for no gain to the MchSt 32Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Nick Tompkins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 33Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the MchSt 35Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jake Hartbarger punt for 36 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
100.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+14
100.0%
Tylin Oden run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Trey Sneed run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Tylin Oden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Tylin Oden run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:07
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q1 5:22
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 50 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+2
TD · Q1 8:03
Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted for a TD Demetrious Cox return for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com