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IU

Indiana 33 at Rutgers 27

RUTG
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:10 · Griffin Oakes 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior−10.4Home team on offense+3.2Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: RUTGERS Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 30 — RUTG win probability +14.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:32: Richard Lagow pass complete to Camion Patrick for 40 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +14.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:01: Devine Redding 34 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — IU win probability +22.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:07: Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +21.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:12: David Bonagura 20 Yd Field Goal — RUTG win probability +16.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 10 of 14IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 14:55RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:36RUTG 4th & 12 at IU 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:32IU 4th & 1 at RUTG 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36IU 4th & 2 at RUTG 37, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:36RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 26, down 3
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:09RUTG 4th & 1 at IU 15, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.9%−1.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:03IU 4th & 2 at RUTG 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.5%−1.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:57RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:26IU 4th & 12 at RUTG 30, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:55IU 4th & 18 at IU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−3.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:06RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:32RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:10IU 4th & 6 at RUTG 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−8.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:10RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−2.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:01RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 25, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−4.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:38IU 4th & 8 at RUTG 34, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:28RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 3, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−5.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:59IU 4th & 8 at RUTG 31, up 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.4 ptsPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    64.3%
    54% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−3.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:36RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 7, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−5.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:02RUTG 4th & 10 at IU 38, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.2%
    38% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−1.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:27IU 4th & 4 at IU 44, up 9
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:15RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 11:29IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:12RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:56IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:32IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:01IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    63.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:07IU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
21.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 23 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
21.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
50
+3
21.3%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-11
21.3%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 17
OWN 42
+6
21.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 35 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:1378% → 78%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
22.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+13
22.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 13 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
22.2%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
21.8%
Zander Diamont run for 59 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
23.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 68 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:0477% → 77%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
23.2%
Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+41
23.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 41 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
22.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
22.8%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+36
22.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 36 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:2023% → 24%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
22.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
23.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
23.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+18
23.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 18 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+30
23.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 30 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
23.5%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-4
23.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Josh Hicks for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
23.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
24.4%
David Bonagura 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:5675% → 74%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
24.6%
Tyler Natee run for 3 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
24.5%
Tyler Natee run for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
24.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 8 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
24.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devonte Williams for 7 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 3
OPP 48
0
24.0%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
24.2%
Richard Lagow run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
24.5%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
24.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
24.1%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+5
24.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+54
26.1%
Griffin Oakes 54 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Sebastian JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
26.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
27.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
26.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
25.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 63 yds · 0:5973% → 75%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
26.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 20Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+22
26.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 22 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+42
25.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 42 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
25.2%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Deonte Roberts return for 7 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
26.9%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
26.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+3
26.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
26.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+30
26.8%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Saquan Hampton return for 30 yds to the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:3830% → 30%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
30.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
30.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 11 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
30.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+3
30.1%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+8
29.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 8 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+33
30.1%
David Bonagura 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:0671% → 71%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
28.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 19 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
28.3%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
27.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+7
28.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 7 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
27.5%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Walker, Zeke, PENALTY RU pass interference (Wharton, Isaiah) 15 yards to the RU38, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
27.3%
Zander Diamont run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+5
27.4%
Ricky Jones run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+1
27.2%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
29.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
30.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-4
30.5%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
29.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
29.0%
Michael Cintron punt, downed at the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 1:1372% → 61%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
28.2%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 26 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
27.6%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+75
39.3%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 2 yards Zander Diamont fumbled, forced by Julian Pinnix-Odrick, recovered by Rutgr Darnell Davis , return for 75 yds, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
53.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 38 yds · 2:5946% → 40%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
54.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete, broken up by Kevin WilkinsSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
54.9%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
53.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
52.7%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
53.1%
Richard Lagow sacked by Blessuan Austin for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+18
54.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 18 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
51.4%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-3
51.8%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
57.5%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:26
4TH & 12
OPP 30
0
59.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan Harris, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
59.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+8
59.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:0560% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
60.2%
Justin Goodwin run for 11 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
60.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 7 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
60.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 11 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
60.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 7 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
60.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 1 yd for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
58.3%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
58.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Blessuan AustinSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-9
59.4%
Richard Lagow sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 27 INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:55
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+10
61.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 48 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 10 yds to the Rutgr 37 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.2%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
61.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 10 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
60.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for no gain to the Rutgr 31 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, recovered by Ind Marcus OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:5743% → 34%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
57.0%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+15
57.1%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Westbrook, Nick, PENALTY RU pass interference (Wharton, Isaiah) 15 yards to the RU15, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
56.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+8
56.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devonte Williams for 8 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
56.6%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
56.6%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.0%
Devonte Williams run for no gain to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 0
OPP 3
+20
66.3%
Griffin Oakes 20 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
70.0%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
68.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 44 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for no gain to the Ind 42 Mitchell Paige fumbled, recovered by Ind Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
69.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
68.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:5331% → 47%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
69.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 6 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, personal foul (Jimmy Hogan) to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
67.6%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+40
52.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Camion Patrick for 40 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
55.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
55.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
55.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+12
53.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
54.6%
Michael Cintron punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26MISSED FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:0445% → 45%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
55.2%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+32
54.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 32 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
50.2%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
50.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell Paige, broken up by Damon HayesSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
52.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Julian Pinnix-OdrickSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
55.2%
Griffin Oakes 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
58.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-3
59.1%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Robert McCray III for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-2
56.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
55.6%
Michael Cintron punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:2245% → 68%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
54.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 19 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
32.2%
Devine Redding 34 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
41.6%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:5767% → 65%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
32.6%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Hale, Donavan, PENALTY RU pass interference (Hampton, Saquan) 15 yards to the RU36, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY, QB hurry by Austin, B..Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
32.3%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+7
31.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Donavan Hale for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-5
32.7%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Ian Thomas) to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-1
33.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
35.1%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 33 yds, downed at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 37%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
39.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
39.4%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
37.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:28
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+2
36.6%
Michael Cintron punt for 43 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
30.8%
Devonte Williams run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
31.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 8 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
29.2%
Devonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
29.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Blessuan AustinSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
31.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Blessuan Austin INDIANA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
34.5%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 18 yds, fair catch by Jawuan Harris at the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0041% → 37%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
40.6%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 16
-10
40.7%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Dawson Fletcher for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 17
OWN 6
+1
37.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 16
OWN 7
0
36.5%
Michael Cintron punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 34TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:3869% → 91%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
31.2%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
31.8%
Tyler Natee run for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+17
33.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 17 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
29.5%
Devonte Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+10
29.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 10 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-5
30.9%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Coy Cronk) to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+13
31.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 13 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
29.0%
Mitchell Paige run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+3
29.7%
Tyler Natee run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10 Tyler Natee fumbled, forced by Darnell Davis, recovered by Ind Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
8.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 35DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+25
10.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 25 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
11.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
13.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
50
0
13.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
50
+12
12.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 12 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
14.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
13.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
12.8%
Rescigno, G. pass complete to Tsimis, John for 13 yards to the IND25, PENALTY RU illegal touching 0 yards to the IND38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
11.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 36PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4493% → 96%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
7.3%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
7.3%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+3
3.7%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+3
3.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 16 , Jawuan Harris returns for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 37FG
12 plays · 83 yds · 1:155% → 28%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
4.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 9 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+15
4.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 15 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
5.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
5.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
4.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+13
4.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 13 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+42
5.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 42 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
10.4%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+20
27.1%
David Bonagura 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
28.0%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 38END OF HALF
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:1397% → 97%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
3.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
3.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
3.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:01
Devine Redding 34 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-22.5
TD · Q4 5:07
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 10 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-21
FG · Q4 0:12
David Bonagura 20 Yd Field Goal
+16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com