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RUTG

Rutgers 32 at Minnesota 34

MINN
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:20 · Ryan Santoso punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rutgr 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+27.1Home team on offense+10.0Garbage-time factor+4.0Score differential+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:29: Andre Patton 37 Yd pass from Giovanni Rescigno (David Bonagura Kick) — RUTG win probability +8.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 6:29: Damon Hayes 55 Yd Interception Return (David Bonagura PAT failed) — RUTG win probability +8.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:54: Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — RUTG win probability +18.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 4:01: David Bonagura 39 Yd Field Goal — RUTG win probability +21.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:06: Emmit Carpenter 28 Yd Field Goal — MINN win probability +56.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 5:57RUTG 4th & 5 at MINN 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:57RUTG 4th & 1 at midfield, down 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:01MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:15MINN 4th & 6 at RUTG 16, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:48RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:20MINN 4th & 7 at RUTG 48, up 11
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:21MINN 4th & 6 at RUTG 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:51RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−2.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:25MINN 4th & 1 at RUTG 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−2.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−9.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:46MINN 4th & 7 at midfield, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:42RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 21, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−2.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:07MINN 4th & 1 at RUTG 46, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−11.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:13RUTG 4th & 7 at midfield, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:01RUTG 4th & 9 at MINN 22, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−10.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−19.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:01MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:55MINN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:21MINN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:51RUTG Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:29RUTG Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:29RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:15MINN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:54RUTG Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:4492% → 92%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
92.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 27 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
92.1%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
92.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
91.9%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+2
91.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+9
91.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 9 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
91.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+10
91.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 10 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
91.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Shannon Brooks 1 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:489% → 10%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
91.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 16 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
91.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
91.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+18
91.1%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 18 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
90.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 4 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+10
90.8%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 10 yds to the Minn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
90.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+4
90.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 4 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 9
-2
90.6%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Jonathan Celestin for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 11Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
90.0%
David Bonagura 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4990% → 91%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
90.1%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
90.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brian Smith for 34 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
90.2%
Rashad Still run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+7
90.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
90.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Moore) to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+15
89.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 15 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
89.7%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
90.8%
Rodney Smith 6 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
90.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 18 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, recovered by MinnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:5391% → 93%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
90.9%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
90.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+8
90.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.4%
Mitch Leidner 2 Yd Run (Emmit Carpenter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:167% → 7%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
93.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 16 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
92.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
92.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 1
50
0
93.0%
Michael Cintron punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3094% → 93%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 20Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.7%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 22Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
93.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Ryan Santoso punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:027% → 11%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
93.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 12 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
92.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
92.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
92.8%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
92.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 15 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
92.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 8 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
92.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 14 lat. to Jawuan Harris for 4 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+11
92.8%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 11 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
92.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Chris Muller) to the Minn 8Similar
Q2 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
92.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
92.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 5 yds to the Minn 3Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.5%
Justin Goodwin 3 Yd pass from Giovanni Rescigno (David Bonagura Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:0790% → 90%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 38Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
90.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+34
90.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 34 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
90.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-11
90.8%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 13 MINNESOTA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Donnell Greene) to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+12
90.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
90.0%
Emmit Carpenter 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:579% → 9%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
90.7%
Tylin Oden pass complete to Trey Sneed for 2 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-6
90.9%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Steven Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+10
91.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 44 yds , Drew Wolitarsky returns for 10 yds to the Minn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2491% → 91%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Shannon BrooksSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
90.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+3
90.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 3 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
90.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 44 yds, downed at the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT
11 plays · 83 yds · 1:518% → 10%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
91.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+22
91.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
91.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 20 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
90.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for 16 yds to the Minn 33 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 4
OPP 43
0
89.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+11
89.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 11 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
89.2%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 9 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
88.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 5 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
88.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
89.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+5
89.6%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kamal Martin) to the Minn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:2310% → 20%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.8%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
89.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
89.0%
Rescigno, Giovanni pass incomplete to Harris, Jawuan, PENALTY MINNESOTA personal foul (Lynn, Jack) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN RUTGERS. Jack Lynn ejected for Targeting.Similar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
80.4%
Andre Patton 37 Yd pass from Giovanni Rescigno (David Bonagura Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5083% → 87%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
83.2%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
83.9%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 12:08
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+19
83.0%
Rodney Smith run for 19 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
83.9%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+7
84.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
84.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
84.4%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
84.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
87.2%
Emmit Carpenter 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 1:2015% → 14%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.4%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
84.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
85.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 5 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-13
84.0%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Gaelin Elmore for a loss of 13 yards to the Rutgr 25 RUTGERS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Giovanni Rescigno) to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 20
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 20
OWN 25
+6
86.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 38 yds , Jalen Myrick returns for 6 yds to the Minn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17DOWNS TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:0889% → 80%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
88.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 4 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
88.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+55
80.0%
Damon Hayes 55 Yd Interception Return (David Bonagura PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19INT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:4813% → 12%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
87.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-9
87.7%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Hendrick Ekpe for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+5
88.3%
MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
88.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted Jalen Myrick return for no gain to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5591% → 91%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
90.5%
Mitch Leidner run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
90.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 4 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-1
91.1%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+6
90.5%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 1
OPP 10
0
91.0%
Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 6:2011% → 33%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
88.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 14 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
88.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-10
88.3%
Goodwin, Justin rush for 15 yards to the RUTGERS45, PENALTY RUTGERS holding 10 yards to the RUTGERS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+10
89.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
88.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
88.4%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
88.0%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+12
87.4%
Josh Hicks run for 12 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
86.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 8 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+4
86.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
85.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
85.4%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+11
86.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 11 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
84.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 1 yd to the Minn 18Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
66.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:4777% → 72%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
78.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
78.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 7
50
+5
78.1%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
77.6%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
73.6%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 7
50
0
71.8%
Ryan Santoso punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jawuan Harris at the Rutgr 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3831% → 27%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
69.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
70.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
72.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
73.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds, downed at the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3075% → 76%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad StillSimilar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
73.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
77.8%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-1
75.8%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5037% → 33%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
62.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 7
50
0
63.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 7
50
0
67.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 27 yds , Drew Wolitarsky returns for no gain to the Minn 23 Drew Wolitarsky fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0942% → 59%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
58.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
58.1%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
62.7%
Tylin Oden run for no gain to the Minn 22Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
41.5%
David Bonagura 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 27FG
18 plays · 59 yds · 3:4152% → 95%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
51.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Rashad StillSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+14
51.0%
Rodney Smith run for 14 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
55.9%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
54.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 9 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
55.8%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+8
54.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
57.3%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
59.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
55.4%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+9
50.2%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
54.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
53.9%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+28
95.0%
Emmit Carpenter 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28Uncategorized
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass ( Yards) to the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:06
Emmit Carpenter 28 Yd Field Goal
+56.9
FG · Q4 4:01
David Bonagura 39 Yd Field Goal
-21.2
TD · Q4 11:54
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com