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ILL

Illinois 24 at Rutgers 7

RUTG
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:48 · Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds , Zach Grant returns for no gain to the Illin 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense−15.0Pregame prior−7.0Score differential−7.6Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:47: Chayce Crouch pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +6.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:49: Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 49 — ILL win probability +7.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:48: Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +10.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 3 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — RUTG win probability +10.6 pts (now 25%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:32: Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted for a TD Darius Mosely return for 78 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK) — ILL win probability +15.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24ILL 4th & 11 at RUTG 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    62.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:37ILL 4th & 20 at ILL 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 2 at ILL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:47RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:46ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:48RUTG 4th & 19 at RUTG 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−2.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:54ILL 4th & 3 at RUTG 18, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:54RUTG 4th & 1 at ILL 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−2.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:54ILL 4th & 6 at midfield, up 17
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:56ILL 4th & 9 at ILL 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:36ILL 4th & 12 at RUTG 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    91.9%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:36RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:27ILL 4th & 8 at RUTG 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:16RUTG 4th & 4 at ILL 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:47ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:48ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:56RUTG Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:32ILL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
34.8%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
34.8%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
34.8%
Chris Laviano sacked by Patrick Nelson and Chunky Clements for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+4
34.8%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
34.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+30
34.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 45 yds RUTGERS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Illin 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
36.5%
Chayce Crouch run for 2 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+26
36.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 26 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
36.1%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
36.1%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick and Tyreek Maddox-Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
36.4%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
36.7%
Ryan Frain punt for 39 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for no gain to the Rutgr 11 Jawuan Harris fumbled, recovered by Illin Nathan EchardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
36.2%
Chayce Crouch run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 3 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 12
OPP 13
-5
36.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 17
OPP 18
+3
36.3%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+3
36.3%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 3 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
36.5%
Chayce Crouch pass intercepted, touchback. Blessuan Austin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 72 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
37.4%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
37.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
37.5%
Robert Martin run for 32 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
38.1%
Chris Laviano run for 9 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+15
38.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 15 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
38.3%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
38.3%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Illin 8 Chris Laviano fumbled, forced by Jamal Milan, recovered by Illin Stanley GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
38.4%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+8
38.3%
Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
38.3%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+14
37.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 14 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
37.6%
Corbin,Reggie rush for 7 yards to the 50 yardline (Morris, Trevor;Roberts, Deonte), PENALTY ILL personal foul 15 yards to the ILL28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 25
OWN 28
0
38.3%
Chayce Crouch run for no gain to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+5
38.4%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 20
OWN 33
0
38.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 20
OWN 33
+1
38.9%
Ryan Frain punt for 46 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (11 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 62 yds · 1:1640% → 42%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
40.2%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+7
40.2%
Jawuan Harris run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+19
39.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Patrick Nelson) to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
41.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+14
41.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 14 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
42.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-2
42.6%
Jawuan Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+10
42.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to John Tsimis for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
42.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
42.9%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
42.3%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 25
-2
41.5%
Chris Laviano run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:3559% → 69%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
40.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+61
40.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 61 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
38.5%
Malik Turner run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.8%
Chayce Crouch run for no gain to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
31.4%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.3%
Laviano, Chris pass complete to Agudosi, C. for no gain to the RU25, PENALTY RU ineligible downfield on pass (Agudosi, C.) 5 yards to the RU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
33.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
32.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+7
32.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 38 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 7 yds to the Illin 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:0970% → 66%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
30.3%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Darnell Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 19
OWN 40
-10
31.9%
Corbin,Reggie rush for 6 yards to the ILL46 (Cioffi, Anthony), PENALTY ILL holding (Schmidt,Austin) 10 yards to the ILL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 29
OWN 30
0
33.1%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Reggie CorbinSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 29
OWN 30
+16
33.8%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 16 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
33.7%
Ryan Frain punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10FUMBLE
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:0033% → 36%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
32.6%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
32.9%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
33.0%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
34.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to John Tsimis for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+12
34.1%
Robert Martin run for 12 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
35.2%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
35.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+7
34.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to John Tsimis for 7 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
35.3%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 41Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+15
34.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 15 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
36.3%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 46 Robert Martin fumbled, forced by Tre Watson, recovered by Illin Darius Mosely , return for 15 yds to the Illin 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 21 yds · 1:4971% → 73%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
28.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
28.6%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Malik Turner for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+5
28.8%
Chayce Crouch run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
28.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
27.4%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
27.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
27.6%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-3
26.2%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+51
27.2%
Chase McLaughlin 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:0769% → 83%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
30.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
29.4%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+53
30.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 53 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
27.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
27.9%
Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
17.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
20.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Jawuan Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-6
20.1%
Giovanni Rescigno sacked by Dawuane Smoot for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 16 Giovanni Rescigno fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
19.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
19.7%
Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds , Zach Grant returns for no gain to the Illin 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:3183% → 86%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
17.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 28 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
16.6%
Chayce Crouch run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
16.8%
Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+1
16.8%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+37
14.0%
Chase McLaughlin 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0015% → 17%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
15.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
16.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
16.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
16.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
50
+7
16.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-3
17.2%
Giovanni Rescigno run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
16.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 5 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-5
16.7%
Giovanni Rescigno run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
10.4%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+5
10.6%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Justin Hardee for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 6
50
0
10.5%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:54
4TH & 6
50
0
11.4%
Ryan Frain punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rutgr 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:3012% → 25%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
12.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 16 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
12.8%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+38
13.3%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 38 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
15.2%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-2
15.2%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+18
14.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 18 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.4%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 3 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.5%
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
21.1%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Illin 31Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
21.7%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Darius Hamilton and Sebastian Joseph for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 26Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+15
23.3%
Ryan Frain punt for 47 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for 15 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19INT TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:4121% → 7%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
21.1%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 9 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
22.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
22.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
22.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+10
21.6%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 10 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
24.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
24.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
22.9%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+78
7.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted for a TD Darius Mosely return for 78 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
5.4%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 22 Justin Goodwin fumbled, forced by Jamal Milan, recovered by Illin Carroll PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4195% → 96%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
4.8%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
3.6%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 12
OPP 24
0
3.7%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Tyler WhiteSimilar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
3.9%
Chase McLaughlin 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
5.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Giovanni Rescigno) to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
5.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for no gain to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 15
OWN 19
0
5.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+2
4.9%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+20
4.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 42 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 20 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4997% → 97%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
2.8%
Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
2.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+1
2.4%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-5
2.6%
ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
2.6%
Ryan Frain punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:123% → 3%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
2.8%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
2.8%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
2.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+18
2.9%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for 18 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
3.0%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 23 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
3.7%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
3.5%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 6 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
3.6%
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to John Tsimis for no gain to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 4
OPP 22
0
2.5%
Giovanni Rescigno pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
1.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+15
1.6%
Kendrick Foster run for 15 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
1.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:32
Giovanni Rescigno pass intercepted for a TD Darius Mosely return for 78 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
-15.9
TD · Q4 14:56
Giovanni Rescigno pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 3 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q3 11:48
Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com