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MICH

Michigan 78 at Rutgers 0

RUTG
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:23 · Michael Cintron punt for 42 yds , Chris Evans returns for 15 yds to the Mich 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior−21.7Home team on offense−50.9Score differential−35.8Garbage-time factor−12.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:44: Ty Isaac 4 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +0.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:27: Jehu Chesson 30 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +0.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:55: Jabrill Peppers 7 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:57: Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Garrett Moores Run for Two-Point Conversion) — MICH win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:18: Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 13 of 16MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:58MICH 4th & 12 at MICH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:22MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:04RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:32RUTG 4th & 8 at MICH 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:30RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:17RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:33MICH 4th & 12 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:15RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:22RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 21, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:18MICH 4th & 1 at RUTG 1, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:04RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 22, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:27RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:34RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 12, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:33RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 33, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:28RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 27, down 57
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:30MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 42, up 57
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:23RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 32, down 57
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:45RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 13, down 64
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:46RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 32, down 71
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:03RUTG 4th & 7 at MICH 44, down 78
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 7:44MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:27MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:57MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:18MICH Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:10MICH Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:28MICH Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:17MICH Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:45MICH Touchdown, up 63 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:20MICH Touchdown, up 70 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:46MICH Touchdown, up 77 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5695% → 95%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
4.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
4.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-4
4.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
4.8%
Kenny Allen punt for 40 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for no gain to the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:465% → 5%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Jourdan LewisSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
5.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 6 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
5.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
5.0%
Michael Cintron punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3895% → 95%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
5.1%
Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
5.2%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
5.2%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-4
5.3%
Kenny Allen punt for 46 yds , Jawuan Harris returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:065% → 6%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
5.3%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
5.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Zack Heeman) to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
5.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
5.5%
Chris Laviano sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
5.6%
Michael Cintron punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3494% → 94%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
5.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
5.7%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 37 De'Veon Smith fumbled, forced by Sebastian Joseph, recovered by Rutgr Darnell DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:486% → 6%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
6.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
6.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
6.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
6.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:4194% → 94%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
6.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 5 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
6.2%
Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+63
6.5%
Jabrill Peppers run for 63 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
5.8%
Ty Isaac 4 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:006% → 6%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
6.1%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 14
OWN 7
0
6.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 14
OWN 7
0
6.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 14
OWN 7
-4
6.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-4 Yards) to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 18
OWN 3
+2
6.2%
Michael Cintron punt for 41 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 2 yds to the Mich 5 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Mich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:5794% → 94%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
6.1%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
6.2%
Ty Isaac run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
6.2%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
6.4%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+7
6.4%
Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Darboh, Amara, PENALTY RUTGERS pass interference (Wharton, Isaiah) 7 yards to the RUTGERS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
6.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
5.6%
Jehu Chesson 30 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:436% → 6%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
6.1%
Jawuan Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
5.9%
Zach Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-9
5.8%
Zach Allen sacked by Ben Gedeon for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
5.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3894% → 94%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
5.7%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
5.8%
Ty Isaac run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 11
OPP 49
-10
5.9%
Speight, Wilton pass complete to Chesson, Jehu for 22 yards to the RUTGERS27, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Bushell-Beatty, Juwann) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+9
6.0%
Chris Evans run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 12
50
0
6.1%
Kenny Allen punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:236% → 6%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
6.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
6.3%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+1
6.3%
Zach Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 7 Zach Allen fumbled, forced by Delano Hill, recovered by Mich Bryan MoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
4.1%
Jabrill Peppers 7 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:155% → 5%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
4.6%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+1
4.5%
Zach Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
4.5%
Zach Allen pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 10
OWN 18
-5
4.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
4.5%
Michael Cintron punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:0396% → 96%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
4.1%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+43
4.0%
Chris Evans run for 43 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.6%
Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Garrett Moores Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:283% → 3%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
2.7%
Jawuan Harris run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
2.8%
Zach Allen pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+1
2.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 1 yd to the Mich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:5796% → 98%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
3.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 4 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+45
4.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 45 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
3.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
3.5%
Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.6%
Chris Evans run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.3%
Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
1.3%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
1.3%
Zach Allen run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-1
1.3%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
1.2%
Michael Cintron punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:3598% → 99%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
1.8%
Chris Evans run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
1.8%
Chris Evans run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
1.8%
Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+20
1.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 20 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
1.6%
Eddie McDoom run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
1.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry, broken up by Blessuan AustinSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.3%
Jabrill Peppers 4 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
0.9%
Zach Allen run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
0.8%
Zach Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
0.7%
Michael Cintron punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
1.1%
Zach Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-3
1.0%
Zach Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 13
OWN 20
-8
1.0%
Zach Allen sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 21
OWN 12
0
0.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:4299% → 99%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
1.0%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
1.0%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
0.9%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
0.9%
John O'Korn pass complete to Khalid Hill for 8 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+3
0.8%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.8%
Khalid Hill 11 Yd pass from John O'Korn (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:421% → 0%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
0.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
0.4%
Zach Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
0.4%
Zach Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
0.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Chris Evans at the Mich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 25TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4899% → 99%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.9%
Shane Morris run for 3 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+57
0.9%
Chris Evans run for 57 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.7%
Karan Higdon 15 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
0.4%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
0.3%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-5
0.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+1
0.3%
Zach Allen run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
0.6%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
0.6%
Kekoa Crawford run for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
0.6%
John O'Korn run for no gain to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
0.7%
Kenny Allen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jawuan Harris at the Rutgr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
0.3%
Zach Allen pass complete to Jawuan Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+7
0.2%
Zach Allen run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+2
0.2%
Zach Allen run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+15
0.2%
Michael Cintron punt for 42 yds , Chris Evans returns for 15 yds to the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 29TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:15100% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
0.4%
Karan Higdon run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.4%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
0.4%
Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
0.4%
Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Maurice WaysSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
0.3%
Ty Isaac run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
0.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+1
0.3%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+10
0.3%
Ty Isaac run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
0.3%
Bobby Henderson 13 Yd Run (Ryan Tice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
0.2%
Trey Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-1
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-4
0.1%
Zach Allen sacked by Josh Metellus for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
0.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 31TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
0.3%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
0.2%
Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+44
0.2%
Karan Higdon 44 Yd Run (Ryan Tice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for no gain to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Zach Allen pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Zach Allen pass incomplete to Jawuan HarrisSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 31 yds, downed at the Mich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 33TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
0.2%
Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
0.2%
Bobby Henderson run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
0.2%
Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
0.2%
Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
0.2%
Bobby Henderson run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.2%
Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
0.2%
Ty Isaac 34 Yd Run (Ryan Tice Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 34PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for 6 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for no gain to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.1%
Trey Sneed run for 3 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
0.1%
Zach Allen pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
0.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 27 yds, downed at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 35END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 16Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 11
OWN 16
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:55
Jabrill Peppers 7 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)
-2.2
TD · Q2 7:18
Khalid Hill 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)
-1.2
TD · Q1 4:27
Jehu Chesson 30 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com