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Howard 14 at Rutgers 52

RUTG
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:19 · Michael Cintron punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+47.2Home team on offense−2.6Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:49: Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 22 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — HOW win probability +1.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:47: Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 7 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — HOW win probability +5.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:43: Janarion Grant run for 21 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — HOW win probability +4.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:53: Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 29 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK) — HOW win probability +6.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:22: David Bonagura 28 yd FG GOOD — HOW win probability +20.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 8HOW made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 7:19RUTG 4th & 4 at HOW 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:40HOW 4th & 19 at HOW 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:54RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00HOW 4th & 20 at HOW 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:41RUTG 4th & 1 at HOW 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:42HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:04RUTG 4th & 24 at HOW 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:16HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:03RUTG 4th & 2 at HOW 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00RUTG 4th & 7 at HOW 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:56HOW 4th & 1 at HOW 15, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:41HOW 4th & 10 at HOW 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:35HOW 4th & 14 at HOW 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:36RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:01HOW 4th & 13 at HOW 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−4.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:47HOW 4th & 24 at HOW 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−7.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:40HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:22RUTG 4th & 6 at HOW 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−1.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−3.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:08HOW 4th & 6 at HOW 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOW made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:51HOW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 4:051% → 1%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.2%
Kalen Johnson run for 15 yds to the Howrd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
99.2%
Anthony Philyaw run for 23 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
99.2%
Anthony Philyaw run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line HOWARD Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Howrd 40Similar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 19
OWN 40
0
99.1%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jequez EzzardSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+8
99.1%
Anthony Philyaw run for 8 yds to the Howrd 48Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+14
99.1%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 14 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Anthony Philyaw run for no gain to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen Avery, broken up by Deonte RobertsSimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+38
98.9%
Robert Mercer 38 Yd pass from Kalen Johnson (Dakota Lebofsky Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.8%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Guy Lemonier Jr. return for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
98.8%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Robert Mercer for 9 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
98.8%
Kalen Johnson run for no gain to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
Kalen Johnson 15 Yd Run (Dakota Lebofsky Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 5INT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
98.6%
PARKER,William rush for 8 yards to the HOW28 (Cioffi, Anthony), PENALTY HOW holding (65) 10 yards to the HOW10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+9
98.6%
Jason Collins run for 9 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-5
98.6%
COLLINS,Jason pass incomplete to LEMONIER,Guy, PENALTY HOW illegal motion (PARKER,William) 5 yards to the HOW14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Jason Collins pass incomplete to Jalen Avery, broken up by Anthony CioffiSimilar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-5
98.6%
HOWARD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 9Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 21
OWN 9
0
98.6%
Jason Collins pass intercepted Isaiah Wharton return for no gain to the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
98.4%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
98.4%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
98.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
98.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
98.1%
Anthony Philyaw run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.2%
William Parker run for 3 yds to the Howrd 23Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
98.2%
Anthony Philyaw run for 16 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.1%
Anthony Philyaw run for 5 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
98.1%
Anthony Philyaw run for 4 yds to the Howrd 48Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
98.1%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 46Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-4
98.1%
Jason Collins sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 42Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 19
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Jason Collins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 19
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Jason Collins pass incomplete to Guy Lemonier Jr., broken up by Anthony CioffiSimilar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 19
OWN 42
0
98.2%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 24 yds, downed at the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2897% → 97%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
97.2%
Janarion Grant run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
97.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
97.3%
Janarion Grant run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
97.3%
Cintron, M. punt 44 yards to the HOW13, fair catch by AVERY,Jalen, PENALTY RU illegal shift 5 yards to the RU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
96.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Howrd 2 , Jalen Avery returns for no gain to the Howrd 2 Jalen Avery fumbled, recovered by HowrdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:434% → 4%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
96.5%
Anthony Philyaw run for no gain to the Howrd 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
96.2%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Howrd 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+9
96.2%
Jason Collins pass complete to Jalen Avery for 9 yds to the Howrd 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+47
96.4%
Anthony Philyaw run for 47 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
96.3%
Team run for a loss of 7 yards to the Howrd 47 Team fumbled, recovered by Howrd Kalen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Guy Lemonier Jr., broken up by Julian Pinnix-OdrickSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Kalen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 2:5296% → 94%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
95.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 11 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
95.5%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+6
95.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
95.6%
Chris Laviano run for 18 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
95.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 15 yds to the Howrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
95.9%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
95.9%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
95.8%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
95.8%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Howrd 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
94.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 22 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
93.6%
Anthony Philyaw run for 4 yds to the Howrd 21Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+2
93.6%
Anthony Philyaw run for 2 yds to the Howrd 23Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
93.7%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Tamlin Antoine for 5 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.6%
JOHNSON,Kalen pass complete to ANTOINE,Tamlin for 10 yards to the HOW38, out-of-bounds, PENALTY HOW illegal touching (ANTOINE,Tamlin) 0 yards to the HOW28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-3
93.6%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jequez Ezzard for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 25Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+4
93.7%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Guy Lemonier Jr. for 4 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q2 9:42
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
93.8%
Dakota Lebofsky punt, downed at the Howrd 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
91.5%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Howrd 40Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+13
91.4%
Chris Laviano run for 13 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
91.7%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Jalen DaySimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-14
91.4%
Chris Laviano sacked by Elijah Anglin for a loss of 14 yards to the Howrd 41Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 24
OPP 41
0
90.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 38 yds, downed at the Howrd 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:3811% → 16%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
89.3%
William Parker run for 1 yd to the Howrd 4Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
89.4%
Anthony Philyaw run for 2 yds to the Howrd 6Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+12
89.5%
Jason Collins pass complete to Guy Lemonier Jr. for 12 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
88.8%
Jason Collins sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 15Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+14
89.2%
Kalen Johnson run for 14 yds to the Howrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
88.6%
Kalen Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 26Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+8
84.1%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 8 yds to the Howrd 34Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
83.7%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Robert MercerSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
84.0%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 1:0384% → 84%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
83.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 17 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Craig JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
85.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 8 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
85.2%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+18
85.1%
Janarion Grant run for 18 yds to the Howrd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
85.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
85.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 3 yds to the Howrd 23Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
85.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
83.5%
David Bonagura 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 0:5082% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
81.6%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+1
82.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+58
81.4%
Janarion Grant run for 58 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
79.1%
Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 7 yds to the Howrd 13Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 3
OWN 13
0
79.0%
Anthony Philyaw run for no gain to the Howrd 13Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+2
79.6%
William Parker run for 2 yds to the Howrd 15Similar
Q3 13:56
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
80.0%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 25 yds, downed at the Howrd 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:0477% → 72%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
77.1%
Robert Martin run for 16 yds to the Howrd 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
77.9%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Howrd 16Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
77.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Howrd 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
77.9%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Howrd 11Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
77.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
72.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 7 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0034% → 36%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
66.2%
Anthony Philyaw run for 1 yd to the Howrd 20Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
66.3%
Anthony Philyaw run for no gain to the Howrd 20Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-1
63.6%
Jason Collins sacked by Damon Hayes for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 19Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
64.4%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:1865% → 63%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
65.3%
Josh Hicks run for 14 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
65.9%
Josh Hicks run for 8 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+13
66.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 13 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
66.9%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 21Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+21
62.9%
Janarion Grant run for 21 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
54.7%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 18Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 14
OWN 18
0
55.2%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Tamlin Antoine, broken up by Blessuan AustinSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
55.9%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Guy Lemonier Jr., broken up by Blessuan AustinSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
56.4%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 46 yds, downed at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
56.4%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
56.9%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-2
57.8%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
57.2%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds , Jalen Avery returns for no gain to the Howrd 40 Jalen Avery fumbled, recovered by Howrd Jalen Avery RUTGERS Penalty, kick catching interference (Lawrence Stevens) to the Howrd 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
44.3%
Anthony Philyaw run for 4 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
44.2%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 42 Anthony Philyaw fumbled, recovered by Howrd Anthony Philyaw , return for no gain to the Howrd 42Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-5
45.2%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 37Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
46.4%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen AverySimilar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 13
OWN 37
0
47.4%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2344% → 41%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.0%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
45.3%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
45.3%
Robert Martin run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
47.2%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 7
50
+3
47.2%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
47.3%
Janarion Grant run for 6 yds to the Howrd 41 for a 1ST down HOWARD Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
47.9%
Chris Laviano run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 42Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+13
47.4%
Josh Hicks run for 13 yds to the Howrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
41.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 29 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
32.3%
Anthony Philyaw run for 2 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Eric Wiafe) to the Howrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
32.0%
Anthony Philyaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 28Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 15
OWN 28
-4
32.9%
Kalen Johnson sacked by Jimmy Hogan and Kevin Wilkins for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 24Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 19
OWN 24
0
33.4%
Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen AverySimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 19
OWN 24
-5
34.0%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 19Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 24
OWN 19
0
34.1%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Howrd 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:4433% → 32%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
33.2%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Howrd 42Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+42
32.0%
Giovanni Rescigno run for 42 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:1879% → 84%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
21.3%
Anthony Philyaw run for 1 yd to the Howrd 25Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
21.4%
Da'Vaun Johnson run for no gain to the Howrd 25Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Kalen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 49 yds, downed at the Rutgr 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27FG
17 plays · 64 yds · 8:0020% → 3%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
20.1%
Tylin Oden run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
20.7%
Tylin Oden run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+1
21.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
21.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
22.2%
Tylin Oden run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-8
21.8%
Tylin Oden run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Flanagan) to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+30
19.7%
Tylin Oden run for 30 yds to the Howrd 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
23.3%
Trey Sneed run for 3 yds to the Howrd 34Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+3
25.9%
Trey Sneed run for 3 yds to the Howrd 31Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+4
24.5%
Tylin Oden run for 4 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
25.9%
Tylin Oden run for 8 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+5
25.9%
Trey Sneed run for 5 yds to the Howrd 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
25.9%
Trey Sneed run for 2 yds to the Howrd 12Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+6
25.9%
Tylin Oden run for 6 yds to the Howrd 6Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-4
24.6%
Tylin Oden run for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 10Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
4.3%
David Bonagura 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
3.3%
Smolar, Jared kickoff 65 yards to the HOW0, EZZARD, JeQuez return to the HOW16 (Bailey, Dacoven), PENALTY RU offside 5 yards to the RU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
2.7%
William Parker run for 1 yd to the Howrd 33Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
2.7%
William Parker run for 3 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
2.7%
Jason Collins pass incomplete to Jalen Avery, broken up by Najee ClaytonSimilar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
2.6%
Dakota Lebofsky punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rutgr 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
2.6%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+97.4
FG · Q4 2:22
David Bonagura 28 yd FG GOOD
-20.3
TD · Q4 14:53
Chris Laviano pass complete to Jawuan Harris for 29 yds for a TD, (David Bonagura KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com