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WVU

West Virginia 24 at Texas 20

TEX
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:41 · Michael Dickson punt for 39 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense−8.0Garbage-time factor−2.2Score differential−3.7Pregame prior+2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:27: Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:11: Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +5.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:35: Shane Buechele run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +9.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:03: Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +16.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:28: Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 20 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +20.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:01TEX 4th & 9 at WVU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18WVU 4th & 12 at TEX 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:18TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55TEX 4th & 16 at TEX 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:41TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:19WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:10TEX 4th & 1 at WVU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−2.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:39TEX 4th & 2 at WVU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07TEX 4th & 1 at WVU 2, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:37TEX 4th & 2 at WVU 20, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%−1.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−10.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:15WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−3.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:21TEX 4th & 19 at TEX 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−4.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:25WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 18, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%−4.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:26TEX 4th & 5 at WVU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−3.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−6.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:25WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:27WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:11WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:35TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:03WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:28TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 2:4154% → 54%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.5%
Shane Buechele run for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
53.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
53.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 29 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
53.8%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 36 Shane Buechele fumbled, recovered by TexasSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+11
53.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 11 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
54.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
54.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+6
54.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
54.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
54.3%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
54.1%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
54.2%
Trent Domingue 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 4:2546% → 46%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
54.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
54.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
54.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
54.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
54.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 12 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
54.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
54.2%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+16
54.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 16 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
53.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 26Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+3
54.0%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-4
54.3%
Skyler Howard sacked by Malcolm Roach for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
53.9%
Mike Molina 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
54.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 17 D'Onta Foreman fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:1547% → 47%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
52.7%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+7
52.6%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the Texas 8 Justin Crawford fumbled, recovered by TexasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0154% → 53%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
53.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+1
54.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
53.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
53.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:3346% → 53%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
53.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+8
53.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
53.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 16 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
52.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 11 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
52.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
52.5%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+17
53.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 17 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
52.2%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
47.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1549% → 48%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
48.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 21 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
49.9%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
49.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-6
48.6%
Shane Buechele sacked by Kyzir White for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 16
OWN 40
+1
47.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 46 yds for a 1ST down , Gary Jennings returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:4452% → 60%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
47.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 18
OWN 22
+36
48.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 36 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
46.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+12
46.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 12 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
45.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+29
40.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 29 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1942% → 39%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
41.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 11 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
41.3%
Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
42.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
41.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-11
42.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-11 Yards) to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+2
41.0%
Shane Buechele run for 2 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
39.1%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 12
OWN 44
-2
38.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 39 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1162% → 63%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
38.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
37.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+5
37.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
36.1%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
35.9%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
36.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+26
36.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 41 yds WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Texas 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:2538% → 47%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
37.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 2
50
+32
37.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 32 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
38.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
37.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
46.6%
Shane Buechele run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2757% → 55%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
43.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
43.8%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+60
44.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the TEXAS 24 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13DOWNS
25 plays · 78 yds · 6:3843% → 47%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
43.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+4
43.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
43.5%
Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
44.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
43.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
45.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
45.8%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
45.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 7 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
45.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
44.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.7%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
46.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
44.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+3
43.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
46.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
46.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 1 yd to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+9
44.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 9 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
45.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
45.8%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+9
43.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+19
46.7%
Trent Domingue 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:3654% → 57%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
46.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 15 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
44.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 26 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
43.0%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted P.J. Locke III return for 2 yds to the Texas 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:2448% → 49%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
48.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
50.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 6 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
50.4%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
48.8%
Shane Buechele run for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
50.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 10 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
51.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 10 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
53.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
52.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+4
50.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
48.5%
Trent Domingue 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marvin GrossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 4:5256% → 77%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
44.5%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+13
44.8%
Skyler Howard run for 13 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
42.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+10
44.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 10 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
41.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
40.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+4
39.7%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
38.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
36.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+8
39.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
38.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-3
37.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+23
39.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 23 yds to the Texas 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:3325% → 25%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
25.3%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
24.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 11 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
24.9%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Rasul Douglas return for 3 yds to the Texas 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2477% → 77%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
22.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
22.6%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
23.1%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted, touchback. Dylan Haines return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:5524% → 51%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
23.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for 19 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
25.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 8 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+2
26.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
25.8%
Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
27.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 7 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+4
27.8%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
30.7%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
51.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 20 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:2461% → 62%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
38.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
37.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
38.1%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for no gain to the Texas 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:4247% → 48%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
47.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+5
43.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+13
43.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 13 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
47.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
48.2%
Shane Buechele run for 23 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
51.1%
Kyle Porter run for no gain to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
51.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-5
48.2%
Shane Buechele sacked by Kyzir White for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 20 Shane Buechele fumbled, recovered by WVirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2962% → 64%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
37.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
37.4%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+14
38.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
34.5%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-7
36.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by Jason Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+11
36.0%
Skyler Howard run for 11 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
36.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the Texas 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2341% → 38%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
40.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+32
40.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
50
+2
46.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-5
46.4%
TEXAS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+1
42.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-7
41.3%
Shane Buechele sacked by Justin Arndt for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 19
OWN 41
-2
37.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 39 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 39 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4169% → 70%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
31.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-1
29.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+4
29.8%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
30.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 41 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for no gain to the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:5342% → 35%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
41.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
38.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
39.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-4
38.0%
Shane Buechele sacked by David Long for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+8
31.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+4
34.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3885% → 90%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
15.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
9.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
8.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
9.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28END OF GAME
11 plays · 61 yds · 1:1722% → 18%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
21.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+28
18.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 28 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
21.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
18.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for 9 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
18.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for 4 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.5%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+20
16.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 20 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
26.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
21.2%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
18.0%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:28
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 20 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
+20.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-18
TD · Q3 5:03
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com