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TCU

TCU 10 at West Virginia 34

WVU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:14 · Adam Nunez punt for 49 yds, Gary Jennings returns for no gain to the WVirg 26 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Khairi Sharif) to the WVirg 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+30.2Pregame prior+2.3Score differential+21.4Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:15: Brandon Hatfield 30 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +2.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:20: Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 11 yds for a TD (Brandon Hatfield KICK) — TCU win probability +6.2 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:27: Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:24: Mike Molina 38 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:02: Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 16 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +5.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:30WVU 4th & 7 at TCU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:34TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:15TCU 4th & 13 at WVU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:34WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:25TCU 4th & 10 at WVU 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:15WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 37, up 11
    Close callPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:28TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WVU 4th & 23 at midfield, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:24WVU 4th & 18 at TCU 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−2.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:10TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52WVU 4th & 21 at TCU 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:33TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:21WVU 4th & 21 at WVU 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:14TCU 4th & 18 at TCU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:23WVU 4th & 8 at TCU 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00TCU 4th & 20 at WVU 39, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:59WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:37WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20TCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:27WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:02WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:5067% → 67%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
67.1%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 1
OPP 8
-2
67.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 10Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
67.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 10 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3833% → 33%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
67.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 12 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
67.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
67.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Daniel Walsh for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+37
67.4%
Kenny Hill pass intercepted. Rasul Douglas return for 37 yds to the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3068% → 68%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
68.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
68.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
68.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
68.0%
Mike Molina 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5132% → 32%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
67.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
67.8%
Kenny Hill run for no gain to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
68.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Daniel WalshSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 7
OWN 33
-5
68.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Sammy Douglas) to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+9
68.2%
Adam Nunez punt for 39 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 9 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:4869% → 71%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
68.5%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+36
68.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 36 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
70.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 22 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:1330% → 30%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
70.0%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+27
70.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Taj Williams for 27 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
70.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 15 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
70.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Daniel Walsh for 9 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
70.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
70.7%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
70.8%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
70.8%
Hill, Kenny pass incomplete to Walsh, Daniel, PENALTY TCU ineligible downfield on pass (Schlottmann, Austin) 5 yards to the WESTVIR12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
-5
71.1%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (Kenny Hill) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+4
71.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
71.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for no gain to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
72.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to John DiarseSimilar
Q1 4:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
70.1%
Brandon Hatfield 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2671% → 70%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.8%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
71.2%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
70.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
70.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds , Desmon White returns for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:0029% → 36%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
70.9%
Deante Gray run for 9 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
70.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 8 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
70.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
70.3%
Trevorris Johnson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
70.4%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+9
70.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 9 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
70.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Taj WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
70.1%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Aviante Collins) to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+14
71.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 14 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
70.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
70.4%
Trevorris Johnson run for 7 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+4
70.5%
Trevorris Johnson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
64.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 11 yds for a TD (Brandon Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:3967% → 76%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
67.0%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
68.0%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
68.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 28 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
68.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Aaron Curry) to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
75.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4827% → 26%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
73.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Daniel Walsh for 9 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijah Battle) to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
72.4%
Kenny Hill sacked by Darrien Howard for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
73.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Daniel WalshSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+3
74.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
74.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:0175% → 76%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
75.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+7
75.5%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
75.8%
Rushel Shell run for 12 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
76.2%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+7
76.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
76.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+1
75.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 39 yds , Desmon White returns for 1 yd to the TCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:4224% → 22%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
76.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.2%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
76.6%
Trevorris Johnson run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+8
77.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Taj Williams for 8 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
77.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 42 yds · 2:2078% → 78%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
78.1%
Rushel Shell run for 12 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
79.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 31 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
80.5%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to McKoy, Kennedy, PENALTY WESTVIR ineligible downfield on pass (Bosch, Kyle) 5 yards to the WESTVIR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
79.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
79.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+15
79.7%
Skyler Howard run for 15 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
81.1%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
81.2%
Skyler Howard sacked by Aaron Curry for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-16
79.9%
Skyler Howard sacked by Josh Carraway for a loss of 16 yards to the 50 yard line WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Skyler Howard) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 23
50
0
78.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds, downed at the TCU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14FG
18 plays · 54 yds · 7:3180% → 88%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
79.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 7 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
80.4%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
81.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+24
80.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 24 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
81.9%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
81.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+7
81.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 7 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
82.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
82.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+5
82.1%
Howard, Skyler pass sacked for loss of 12 yards to the TCU33 (Collier, L.J.), PENALTY TCU offside (Galeai, Tipa) 5 yards to the TCU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+3
82.3%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
83.2%
Shell, Rushel rush for 1 yard to the TCU12, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Matteo, Tony) 10 yards to the TCU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+6
83.5%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 14
OPP 17
-8
83.5%
Skyler Howard sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 25 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Skyler Howard) to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 22
OPP 25
+4
82.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 4 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
87.6%
Mike Molina 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:5514% → 14%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
86.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 18 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
85.3%
Kenny Hill run for 3 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
85.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Taj WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
85.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Taj WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
86.3%
Adam Nunez punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:0289% → 98%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
88.6%
Rushel Shell run for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
89.5%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
90.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+1
89.9%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
90.5%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+17
90.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 17 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
90.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
92.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+11
92.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
92.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Adam Pankey) to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+6
92.7%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
98.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 16 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
98.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-12
98.2%
Skyler Howard sacked by Mat Boesen for a loss of 12 yards to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 21
OPP 42
0
97.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 39 yds, downed at the TCU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:112% → 1%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
98.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Daniel Walsh for 9 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+8
98.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 8 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
98.3%
Hicks, Kyle rush for loss of 2 yards to the TCU18, PENALTY TCU holding (Iwuagwu, Cordel) 10 yards to the TCU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 20
OWN 10
-9
98.4%
Kenny Hill sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 1Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 29
OWN 1
+8
98.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 8 yds to the TCU 9 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cordel Iwuagwu) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+14
98.7%
Kenny Hill run for 14 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:0299% → 99%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-14
98.8%
Skyler Howard sacked by Ranthony Texada for a loss of 14 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 21
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Desmon White at the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
98.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete TCU Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Austin Schlottmann) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 13
OWN 30
-5
98.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Aviante Collins) to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 18
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Emanuel PorterSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Adam Nunez punt for 49 yds, Gary Jennings returns for no gain to the WVirg 26 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Khairi Sharif) to the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FG
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:4099% → 100%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
98.9%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+36
99.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 26 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nick Orr) to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
99.2%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
99.3%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
99.3%
Rushel Shell run for 20 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.3%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the TCU 10Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
99.4%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-1
99.4%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 9Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
99.7%
Mike Molina 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 2:171% → 1%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
99.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 16 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
99.3%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+12
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Darius Anderson for 12 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
99.3%
Kenny Hill sacked by David Long for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 15
OPP 34
-5
99.4%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 20
OPP 39
+4
99.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:27
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 12:20
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jaelan Austin for 11 yds for a TD (Brandon Hatfield KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q3 1:02
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 16 yds for a TD (Mike Molina KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com