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WVU

West Virginia 48 at Texas Tech 17

TTU
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:05 · Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Cameron Batson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense−12.9Score differential−7.2Garbage-time factor−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3Pregame prior+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:51: Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 44 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +4.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:03: Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +10.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:22: Skyler Howard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +7.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 6:04: Mike Molina 22 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:51: Skyler Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:20TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:26WVU 4th & 8 at TTU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:03TTU 4th & 10 at WVU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:05TTU 4th & 6 at WVU 29, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    26.9%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:04TTU 4th & 12 at WVU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:04WVU 4th & 4 at TTU 5, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−9.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:04TTU 4th & 16 at WVU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    18.6%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:24TTU 4th & 1 at WVU 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:16WVU 4th & 3 at TTU 3, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 9:30WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:51TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:03WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:22WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:51WVU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:24WVU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:13TTU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:16WVU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell Iii for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
53.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
53.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
53.9%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
53.9%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
53.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+19
53.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 45 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 19 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
54.1%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
54.1%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Demarcus Felton for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
54.0%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+1
54.0%
Michael Barden punt for 57 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:5946% → 48%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
54.2%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+4
54.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 4 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
54.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
54.1%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+53
54.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts Jr. for 53 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
53.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Devonte MathisSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+12
53.8%
Justin Crawford run for 12 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
53.8%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the TexTc 10Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
51.8%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
52.4%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Demarcus Felton for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
52.4%
Patrick Mahomes II sacked by Christian Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
52.1%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+3
52.0%
Michael Barden punt for 43 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:4449% → 49%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
51.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 10 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
51.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts Jr. for 20 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
51.0%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+1
51.0%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
51.2%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
50.9%
Mike Molina 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:3551% → 56%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
51.4%
Demarcus Felton run for 9 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-14
51.9%
Felton, Dem. rush for no gain to the TTU35 (Long, David), PENALTY TTU clipping (Brown, Baylen) 14 yards to the TTU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+6
51.2%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 6 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+37
51.0%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Ian Sadler for 37 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
52.4%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Keke Coutee for 4 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
52.9%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
53.0%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
53.7%
Patrick Mahomes II run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
53.0%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 14
OPP 29
-15
52.2%
Mahomes, P. pass complete to Sadler, Ian for 14 yards to the WVU15 (Harper, Jarrod), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Shorts, Quan) 15 yards to the WVU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 29
OPP 44
+44
56.4%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 44 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:3445% → 47%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
55.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 51 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
53.0%
Skyler Howard run for 18 yds to the TexTc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-6
53.0%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the TexTc 2 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
-15
53.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Shelton Gibson) to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 27
0
53.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 27
+3
53.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+7
54.3%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
53.4%
Mike Molina 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8INT
13 plays · 52 yds · 0:1754% → 56%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
54.2%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Justin Stockton for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+16
54.5%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Ian Sadler for 16 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
55.7%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Keke Coutee for 5 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Kyzir White) to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
56.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 3 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
56.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+10
55.7%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 10 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
56.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Cameron Batson for 1 yd to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-10
56.6%
Felton, Dem. rush for no gain to the WVU13 (Harper, Jarrod;Douglas, Rasul), PENALTY TTU holding (Adams, Zach) 10 yards to the WVU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 23
+10
55.6%
Mahomes, P. pass incomplete to Giles, Jonathan, PENALTY WVU holding (Tyler, Jeremy) 10 yards to the WVU13, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Demarcus FeltonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
56.6%
Demarcus Felton run for no gain to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
55.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass intercepted Sean Walters return for no gain to the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:0546% → 59%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
53.7%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 5 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
53.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+8
54.0%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
53.1%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+47
53.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 47 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
50.8%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 4 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+14
50.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 14 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
50.8%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 2 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
50.8%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the TexTc 5Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
40.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
42.7%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 28 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
44.7%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Jonathan GilesSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
44.5%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
43.8%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Cameron Batson, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
42.9%
Michael Barden punt for 19 yds, downed at the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:5658% → 69%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
41.7%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+5
41.1%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
40.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts Jr. for 27 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
40.0%
Skyler Howard run for 20 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
39.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
39.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+10
40.2%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 10 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
31.4%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 46 yds · 2:1733% → 32%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.7%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
32.8%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
32.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 6 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Shelton Gibson) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
50
+5
34.9%
Demarcus Felton run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+12
35.3%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Cameron Batson for 12 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
36.0%
Demarcus Felton run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
36.3%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
32.4%
Demarcus Felton run for no gain to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-5
32.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 2:05
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
31.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
24.2%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-3
23.9%
Elijah Wellman run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+1
24.7%
Elijah Wellman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:5626% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.8%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Justin Stockton for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
25.5%
Mahomes, P. pass complete to Lauderdale, D. for no gain to the TTU25 (Howard, Darrien), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Batson, Cameron) 12 yards to the TTU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+20
25.5%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 20 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+34
25.2%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Ian Sadler for 34 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
27.4%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Justin Stockton for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
27.3%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Jonathan GilesSimilar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+10
26.6%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 10 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
27.6%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-11
27.6%
Patrick Mahomes II sacked by Rasul Douglas for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 17
OPP 29
+10
25.8%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Keke Coutee for 10 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 7
OPP 19
-5
26.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (Tony Brown) to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
24.9%
Clayton Hatfield 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 4:0079% → 85%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
21.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
21.2%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 8 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
20.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts Jr.Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
19.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 12 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+20
18.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 20 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
18.4%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 3 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
18.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for no gain to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+12
18.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
18.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Adam Pankey) to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+6
18.6%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 6 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+5
18.4%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 5 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
18.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete, broken up by Jah'Shawn JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
14.7%
Mike Molina 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.1%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Keke Coutee for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
19.0%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
19.0%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
18.9%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Justin StocktonSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+30
18.3%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Keke Coutee for 30 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
21.0%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Cameron Batson for 4 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-8
21.3%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 7 yds to the WVirg 23 TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Terence Steele) to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-9
20.4%
Patrick Mahomes II sacked by Sean Walters for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 19
OPP 47
+3
19.3%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 16
OPP 44
0
19.0%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Keke CouteeSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
18.8%
Michael Barden punt for 27 yds, downed at the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 2:5889% → 98%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
11.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
11.4%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+13
11.8%
Skyler Howard run for 13 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+35
11.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 35 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
9.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 8 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+2
9.7%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
9.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 21 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
6.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, ( Yards) to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.9%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
3.7%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Justin Stockton for 15 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
4.0%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Justin Stockton for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
4.1%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Ian Sadler for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
4.4%
Patrick Mahomes II run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
4.2%
Patrick Mahomes II pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
4.1%
Patrick Mahomes II pass complete to Cameron Batson for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-22
4.0%
Patrick Mahomes II sacked by Darrien Howard for a loss of 22 yards to the TexTc 38 Patrick Mahomes II fumbled, recovered by TexTc Patrick Mahomes II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 33
OWN 38
-6
3.7%
Talor Nunez run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 1:2199% → 100%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
1.4%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+15
1.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 15 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.3%
Rushel Shell 14 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:110% → 2%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.3%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Devin Lauderdale, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
0.3%
Nic Shimonek pass incomplete to Ian Sadler, broken up by Kyzir WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+9
0.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 9 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+7
0.3%
Da'Leon Ward run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-12
0.4%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Keke Coutee for 3 yds to the WVirg 29 TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Justin Murphy) to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 22
OPP 44
+15
0.3%
Shimonek, Nic pass incomplete to Batson, Cameron, PENALTY WVU player disqualification (Fleming, M) 15 yards to the WVU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 7
OPP 29
+1
0.4%
Da'Leon Ward run for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+12
0.3%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 12 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
2.2%
Nic Shimonek pass complete to Jonathan Giles for 16 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5799% → 100%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+38
1.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 38 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
1.0%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
1.0%
Rushel Shell Iii run for no gain to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+10
1.0%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 10 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
0.9%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 11 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.9%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 4 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
0.9%
Rushel Shell Iii run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 6Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
0.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Trevon Wesco) to the TexTc 11Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
1.0%
Rushel Shell Iii run for 8 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Rushel Shell 3 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
0.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
0.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+6
0.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.1%
Da'Leon Ward run for 4 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:03
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-10.2
TD · Q2 4:22
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q4 14:51
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com