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Youngstown State 21 at West Virginia 38

WVU
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadYSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreYSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:07 · Billy Kinney punt for 55 yds , Darien Townsend returns for 19 yds to the YngSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+36.3Home team on offense−3.2Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:15: Shelton Gibson 54 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:26: Daikiel Shorts 11 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:40: Shelton Gibson 57 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:44: Trent Hosick 15 Yd Run (Zak Kennedy Kick) — YSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 12%) (top driver: YSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:37: Kennedy McKoy 21 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5YSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 14:08YSU 4th & 7 at YSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:21YSU 4th & 10 at YSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:40WVU 4th & 7 at YSU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:07WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:36YSU 4th & 2 at YSU 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00YSU 4th & 13 at YSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00YSU 4th & 3 at WVU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:17YSU 4th & 10 at WVU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:50WVU 4th & 11 at YSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:50YSU 4th & 7 at YSU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00YSU 4th & 5 at WVU 45, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:36WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 8, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:02YSU 4th & 3 at WVU 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5YSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:16WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:47YSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:13YSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:15WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:26WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:40WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:44YSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:37WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1INT
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
95.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
95.7%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Eric Thompson return for 2 yds to the YngSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
95.7%
Rushel Shell run for 21 yds to the YngSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
95.5%
Ricky Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 28Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+6
95.5%
Ricky Davis run for 6 yds to the YngSt 34Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+16
95.5%
Ricky Davis run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
50
-15
95.5%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the YngSt 35Similar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
95.5%
Ricky Davis run for 9 yds to the YngSt 44Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
95.5%
Martin Ruiz run for 2 yds to the YngSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Ricky Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.5%
Ricky Davis run for 3 yds to the YngSt 49Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Ricky Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Mark Schuler punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
94.7%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+11
94.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 11 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
94.8%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
94.8%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
94.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
94.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the YngSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
94.2%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Kevin Rader for 16 yds to the YngSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
94.2%
Martin Ruiz run for 4 yds to the YngSt 32Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
94.2%
Martin Ruiz run for 9 yds to the YngSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.1%
Ricky Davis run for no gain to the YngSt 41Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Isiah Scott, broken up by Rasul DouglasSimilar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Ricky Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
94.3%
Mark Schuler punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:4394% → 94%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.6%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
93.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+11
93.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 11 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
93.7%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+6
93.7%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+5
93.7%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
93.8%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+53
94.2%
Ka'Raun White 53 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:216% → 10%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
93.9%
Tevin McCaster run for 3 yds to the YngSt 31Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
93.9%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the YngSt 35Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+10
93.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding (Rasul Douglas) to the YngSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
93.7%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Isiah Scott for 22 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
93.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
93.5%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Darien TownsendSimilar
Q1 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
93.1%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Darien Townsend for 6 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
92.8%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Tevin McCaster for 15 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
92.8%
Ricky Davis run for 6 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.5%
Martin Ruiz 1 Yd Run (Zak Kennedy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:0292% → 91%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
91.7%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+22
91.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.2%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the YngSt 47Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
92.2%
Jovon Durante run for 4 yds to the YngSt 43Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
92.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the YngSt 42Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-5
91.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Rushel Shell) to the YngSt 47Similar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
91.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1710% → 13%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 5 yds to the YngSt 25Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
90.4%
Tevin McCaster run for 1 yd to the YngSt 26Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+74
86.6%
Alvin Bailey 74 Yd pass from Ricky Davis (Zak Kennedy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
87.0%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
87.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+12
86.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 12 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
87.1%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+10
87.1%
Skyler Howard run for 10 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
87.3%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
87.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete, broken up by Derek RiversSimilar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
87.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+19
86.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 55 yds , Darien Townsend returns for 19 yds to the YngSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
83.5%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Shane Kuhn for 6 yds to the YngSt 34Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
83.1%
Ricky Davis run for 3 yds to the YngSt 37Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-1
83.0%
Martin Ruiz run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 36Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
83.6%
Mark Schuler punt for 50 yds, downed at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:0983% → 89%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
82.5%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+5
82.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 5 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+14
82.3%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kenny Bishop) to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
82.9%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
83.0%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
83.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
88.7%
Shelton Gibson 54 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:1514% → 15%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.0%
Martin Ruiz run for 1 yd to the YngSt 26Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
86.0%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Kevin Rader for 10 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.5%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Kevin RaderSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
85.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the YngSt 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by YngSt Ricky Davis , return for no gain to the YngSt 33Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
86.4%
Ricky Davis run for no gain to the YngSt 33Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
85.4%
Mark Schuler punt for 32 yds, downed at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 0:5186% → 88%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
86.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Kenny BishopSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+20
85.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 20 yds to the YngSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
87.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the YngSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
87.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 12 yds to the YngSt 19 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
87.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the YngSt 13Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+30
87.7%
Mike Molina 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Avery MossSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Ricky Davis run for no gain to the YngSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+21
83.7%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Isiah Scott for 21 yds to the YngSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
81.3%
Tevin McCaster run for 2 yds to the YngSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+5
81.4%
Martin Ruiz run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
81.4%
Ricky Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+32
82.3%
Mark Schuler punt for 32 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:0583% → 91%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
83.2%
Rushel Shell run for 11 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
83.2%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+45
83.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 45 yds to the YngSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
85.6%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the YngSt 25Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+4
85.6%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the YngSt 21Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+4
85.0%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the YngSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
85.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Jameel SmithSimilar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
85.6%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the YngSt 11Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
90.5%
Daikiel Shorts 11 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
87.2%
Ricky Davis run for 8 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
86.3%
Ricky Davis run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Ricky Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Martin RuizSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
87.5%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Martin Ruiz for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
88.4%
Mark Schuler punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:4290% → 91%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
89.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+12
89.1%
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
89.9%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+6
90.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+22
90.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 22 yds to the YngSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
91.0%
Elijah Wellman run for 4 yds to the YngSt 34Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
91.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 5 yds to the YngSt 29Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
90.6%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
91.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 11 yds to the YngSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.2%
Elijah Wellman run for no gain to the YngSt 14Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
91.2%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the YngSt 5Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-10
90.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Bosch) to the YngSt 15Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
90.5%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
90.6%
Mike Molina 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Isiah Scott, broken up by Antonio CrawfordSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.5%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Stefan Derrick II for 3 yds to the YngSt 28Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
90.8%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Darien Townsend, broken up by Antonio CrawfordSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+18
91.2%
Mark Schuler punt for 47 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 18 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
97.0%
Shelton Gibson 57 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:354% → 4%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
96.4%
Tevin McCaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 23Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
96.4%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Alvin Bailey, broken up by Jeremy TylerSimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+16
96.5%
Ricky Davis pass complete to Damoun Patterson for 16 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
96.2%
Ricky Davis run for 8 yds to the YngSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
96.2%
Tevin McCaster run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
96.4%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Martin RuizSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+5
96.4%
Martin Ruiz run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
96.4%
Ricky Davis pass incomplete to Damoun PattersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
96.5%
Mark Schuler punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
97.3%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
97.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by David RiversSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+5
97.2%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 3
OWN 8
+2
97.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 51 yds , Darien Townsend returns for 2 yds to the YngSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 22TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:183% → 12%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
96.9%
Martin Ruiz run for 14 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
96.8%
Martin Ruiz run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
96.8%
Trent Hosick pass incomplete to Shane Kuhn, broken up by Rasul DouglasSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-5
96.9%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, delay of game (Trent Hosick) to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+9
96.9%
Trent Hosick run for 9 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+4
96.8%
Trent Hosick pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 4 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.3%
Martin Ruiz run for 5 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+10
96.2%
Trent Hosick run for 10 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
96.2%
Tevin McCaster run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
87.8%
Trent Hosick 15 Yd Run (Zak Kennedy Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0792% → 98%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.0%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
91.5%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (David Rivers) to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
92.9%
YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the YngSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 4 yds to the YngSt 40Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+8
93.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the YngSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
93.2%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the YngSt 23Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+2
93.2%
Elijah Wellman run for 2 yds to the YngSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
98.3%
Kennedy McKoy 21 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
YSUDrive 24INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
97.5%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the YngSt 28Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
97.3%
Tevin McCaster run for 9 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
97.3%
Trent Hosick pass complete to Tevin McCaster for 8 yds to the YngSt 45Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+4
97.2%
Tevin McCaster run for 4 yds to the YngSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.2%
Trent Hosick run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+14
97.2%
Trent Hosick pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 14 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.9%
Trent Hosick pass complete to Jacob Wood for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+13
96.6%
Trent Hosick pass intercepted Al-Rasheed Benton return for 13 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
98.5%
William Crest run for 9 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+6
98.5%
William Crest run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.6%
William Crest run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-5
98.6%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jovon Durante) to the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:44
Trent Hosick 15 Yd Run (Zak Kennedy Kick)
-8.4
TD · Q3 1:40
Shelton Gibson 57 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)
+5.7
TD · Q4 5:37
Kennedy McKoy 21 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com