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WVU

West Virginia 20 at Oklahoma State 37

OKST
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:08 · Ben Grogan 38 yd FG MISSED wide left
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense+10.5Pregame prior−4.0Garbage-time factor+5.1Score differential+1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:26: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 5 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +6.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +8.9 pts (now 66%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:08: Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +11.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:50: Skyler Howard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +14.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:58: Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +7.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:57WVU 4th & 4 at OKST 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:02OKST 4th & 12 at WVU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:25OKST 4th & 2 at WVU 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:19OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:16WVU 4th & 8 at OKST 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:08OKST 4th & 6 at WVU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−7.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:08WVU 4th & 27 at WVU 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−4.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:05OKST 4th & 2 at WVU 42, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−2.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:19WVU 4th & 9 at OKST 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:48OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−4.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:12OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:58WVU 4th & 4 at OKST 4, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−9.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:39OKST 4th & 6 at WVU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:28WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:26OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:15OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:08OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:50WVU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:15OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:5959% → 58%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.1%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
41.2%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
41.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
41.4%
Rushel Shell run for 15 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
41.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 12 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
41.5%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
41.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 5 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
41.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by Chad Whitener for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
41.9%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+10
42.1%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
41.9%
Mike Molina 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:4342% → 44%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
42.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
42.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 4 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+33
42.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 33 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
43.3%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+5
43.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
43.6%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-2
43.8%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
43.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 12
OPP 16
+32
43.5%
Ben Grogan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1257% → 56%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete, batted down by Vincent Taylor.Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
43.2%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-15
43.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Ka'Raun White) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 24
OWN 22
+4
43.8%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 20
OWN 26
+11
44.2%
Justin Crawford run for 11 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+7
44.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 49 yds , Barry Sanders returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:1544% → 47%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
44.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
44.4%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
45.3%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
50
+5
45.7%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+15
46.0%
Mason Rudolph shovel pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for a loss of 5 yards to the 50, reverse to James Washington for 15 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
46.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 19 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
46.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 6 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
46.9%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
46.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
46.7%
Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4253% → 59%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.7%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
46.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
46.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
45.8%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
46.4%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
45.7%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+14
45.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 14 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
45.4%
Skyler Howard shovel pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 6 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
45.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
46.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
45.6%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
40.6%
Shelton Gibson 19 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0143% → 42%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.0%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
43.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
42.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 7 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+50
42.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:4858% → 57%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
42.5%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
42.6%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+5
43.3%
Skyler Howard sacked by Vincent Taylor for a loss of 12 yards to the WVirg 10, Skyler Howard fumbled, recovered by OKSt Cole Walterscheid at WVirg 13, return for 5 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:2446% → 52%
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
46.3%
Chris Carson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 5 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:5951% → 51%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
49.5%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31, OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
48.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 16 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
47.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
48.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+13
48.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
47.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
47.4%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+2
48.7%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
49.5%
Mike Molina 39 yd FG MISSED wide rightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 4:4551% → 66%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
51.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Zac Veatch for 8 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
52.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+9
51.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 9 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
52.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 15 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
54.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
54.4%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+4
54.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
55.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 6 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
55.8%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+7
54.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 7 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
56.2%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+8
56.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the WVirg 14, WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (7 Yards) to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
56.6%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
57.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
63.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:2167% → 69%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
67.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 20 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
68.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
69.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+23
68.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 23 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
70.3%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
71.5%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
70.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+38
69.4%
Ben Grogan 38 yd FG MISSED wide leftSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 0:4731% → 28%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
69.2%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
69.8%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-17
71.0%
Skyler Howard sacked by Vincent Taylor for a loss of 17 yards to the WVirg 5 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 27
OWN 5
0
72.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5773% → 72%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
50
-10
72.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Wilson) to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+1
72.1%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+17
72.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 17 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
73.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
72.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 33 yds, downed at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:3128% → 25%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
72.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
72.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+13
73.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 13 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
72.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-5
73.5%
Skyler Howard sacked by Vili Leveni for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+14
75.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
73.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 4 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+20
72.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 20 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
71.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
71.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
72.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
74.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1277% → 75%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
76.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
75.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Xavier Preston for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
75.0%
Zach Sinor punt for 37 yds, downed at the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+59
74.3%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Ramon Richards return for 59 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:5280% → 92%
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
80.1%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
80.4%
Barry Sanders run for 5 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:109% → 24%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
91.0%
Justin Crawford run for 16 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
90.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 15 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
90.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
90.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 5 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+7
90.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 7 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
90.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 3 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+13
90.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
90.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
75.9%
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5881% → 81%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
81.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
81.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+6
80.8%
Mason Rudolph run for 6 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+2
80.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 59 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 2 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:0018% → 23%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
82.2%
Justin Crawford run for 20 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
81.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
79.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
79.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 6 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+13
79.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
80.6%
Jovon Durante run for 20 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
81.2%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.4%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
76.7%
Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:2085% → 96%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
84.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 13 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
87.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
87.4%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
87.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
88.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+19
88.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 19 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
89.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 13 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
90.6%
Chris Carson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 7 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:536% → 5%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
93.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the WVirg 28 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Block (-14 Yards) to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+6
94.0%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+26
95.3%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Kevin Henry return for 26 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:2097% → 99%
Q4 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.8%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.4%
Chris Carson run for no gain to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
97.6%
Chris Carson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
97.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
98.5%
Ben Grogan 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:002% → 2%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
97.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
50
-5
97.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+7
97.9%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
97.7%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:50
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q3 2:08
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q2 0:15
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com