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TEX

Texas 31 at Oklahoma State 49

OKST
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Zach Sinor punt for 53 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for 2 yds to the Texas 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+0.9Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:31: Andrew Beck 39 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Trent Domingue PAT blocked) — TEX win probability +7.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:05: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 36 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +13.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:31: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 52 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +8.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:11: Barry Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan PAT BLOCKED) — OKST win probability +8.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:08: D'Onta Foreman 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — TEX win probability +9.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:44TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:55OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:44TEX 4th & 20 at OKST 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−4.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:37OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 35, up 5
    Close callPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:33TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 34, down 5
    Close callPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:02TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 41, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:26TEX 4th & 6 at OKST 49, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:22OKST 4th & 12 at TEX 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:22OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 7, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−3.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:46TEX 4th & 3 at OKST 38, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−1.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:54OKST 4th & 9 at TEX 9, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:57TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:44OKST 4th & 2 at TEX 7, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:29TEX 4th & 18 at TEX 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:04OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 6, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:40TEX 4th & 6 at OKST 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:29OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:23OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:50TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:25TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:13TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:33OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 6:31TEX Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 5:05OKST Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:31OKST Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:11OKST Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:08TEX Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    15.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2251% → 53%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
51.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 6 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
51.2%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
51.3%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+17
51.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 17 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
51.7%
Barry Sanders run for 6 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
51.9%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+4
51.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 4 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
53.4%
Justice Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2747% → 46%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
53.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
53.2%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
53.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
53.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 39 yds, downed at the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:1554% → 59%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
54.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+5
54.1%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
54.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+13
54.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 13 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
55.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+54
58.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 54 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 1:2042% → 46%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
58.2%
Chris Warren III run for 16 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
58.4%
Chris Warren III run for 4 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+6
58.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 6 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
58.7%
Chris Warren III run for 7 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+49
58.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 49 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4456% → 56%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.1%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
56.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
56.5%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
56.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Devin Duvernay at the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:1643% → 48%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
56.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 11 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.4%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
56.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 5 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+21
56.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 21 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
55.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+1
55.2%
Shane Buechele run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
56.0%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 8 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
51.8%
D. Foreman run for 22 yds for a TD, (T. Domingue PAT BLOCKED), Returned by T. Flowers for defensive PAT.Similar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
51.9%
T. Flowers return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:2052% → 53%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
52.3%
Justice Hill run for loss of 2 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-7
54.0%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Jason Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+14
53.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 14 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
53.3%
Zach Sinor punt for 53 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 4:4245% → 53%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
54.7%
Chris Warren III run for 8 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
54.1%
Chris Warren III run for 4 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
54.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 8 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+7
53.5%
Chris Warren III run for 7 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
53.4%
Chris Warren III run for 1 yd to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
53.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
53.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 7 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
53.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+8
52.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
52.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
52.8%
Chris Warren III run for 7 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+6
53.4%
Chris Warren III run for 6 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
52.7%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
46.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:2850% → 59%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Zac VeatchSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+37
49.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 22 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
52.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 33 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
52.9%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
59.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3444% → 54%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
56.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
56.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for 21 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
53.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+39
46.3%
Andrew Beck 39 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Trent Domingue PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1051% → 64%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.0%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
51.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Barry Sanders for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+34
50.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 34 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
64.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 36 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:0142% → 40%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+46
58.5%
Chris Warren III run for 46 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
54.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
53.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
54.3%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the OKSt 14 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
55.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
57.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 15
OPP 24
-5
59.7%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 20
OPP 29
+46
59.8%
Trent Domingue 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0162% → 61%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
62.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
62.0%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+6
60.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 6 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+10
60.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 49 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for 10 yds to the Texas 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4741% → 40%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
59.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+6
59.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+1
59.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
60.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 0:5663% → 74%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
62.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 17
OWN 9
+18
62.2%
Justice Hill run for 18 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
63.3%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+17
63.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 17 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
65.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Barry SandersSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
65.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Barry SandersSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+52
73.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 52 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
74.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 9 yds to the Texas 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:1926% → 24%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
74.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 7 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+8
73.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
74.1%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+9
74.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
73.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
73.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+6
74.9%
Michael Dickson run for 6 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
74.2%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
74.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Kyle Porter for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
74.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
76.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:3379% → 81%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
78.6%
Mason Rudolph run for 1 yd to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+12
78.7%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
79.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+23
79.5%
Justice Hill run for 23 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
81.8%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.1%
Barry Sanders run for no gain to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
82.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to J. Washington.Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+4
81.6%
TEXAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (4 Yards) to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-6
81.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Jason Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
80.6%
Zach Sinor punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:0818% → 17%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
81.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
82.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+14
82.8%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Jordan Sterns return for 14 yds to the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3384% → 93%
Q3 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
84.3%
Barry Sanders run for no gain to the Texas 1Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:529% → 19%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
91.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 7 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
91.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
81.4%
D'Onta Foreman 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3885% → 85%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
84.5%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-5
85.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 7Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 13
OWN 7
0
85.3%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 7Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 13
OWN 7
0
84.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jordan SternsSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
84.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds, downed at the Texas 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2718% → 17%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
82.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 12 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
81.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
81.7%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
82.2%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
83.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jake OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:0689% → 94%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
88.6%
Jordan Burton run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+28
88.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 28 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
89.1%
Rennie Childs run for 12 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
88.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 9 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+8
89.1%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the Texas 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
89.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Texas 3Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
91.3%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 7Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
91.4%
Mason Rudolph run for 3 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q4 11:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
91.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
93.7%
Ben Grogan 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:488% → 6%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.3%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
92.5%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
93.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 51 yds , Barry Sanders returns for 8 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:0695% → 97%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+38
94.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Keenen Brown for 38 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
95.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 7 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
95.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Barry SandersSimilar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+8
95.4%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
95.7%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 8
0
95.9%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+1
96.1%
Jalen McCleskey run for 1 yd to the Texas 7Similar
Q4 6:44
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
97.3%
Ben Grogan 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:463% → 2%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
96.7%
Shane Buechele sacked by Vincent Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+34
97.6%
Kyle Porter run for 19 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
97.3%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 48 Shane Buechele fumbled, recovered by Texas Kyle PorterSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 14
OPP 48
-4
97.5%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 18
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 18
OWN 48
0
97.6%
Michael Dickson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the OKSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2298% → 99%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
97.6%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-2
97.6%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
97.9%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.2%
Zach Sinor punt for 46 yds , Armanti Foreman returns for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29END OF GAME
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:492% → 3%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
97.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+5
97.9%
Shane Buechele run for 5 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
97.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+8
97.9%
Shane Buechele run for 8 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
97.6%
Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+13
97.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 13 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
97.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 7 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:05
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 36 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+13.6
TD · Q3 4:08
D'Onta Foreman 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-9.6
TD · Q3 5:11
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan PAT BLOCKED)
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com