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2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:18 · Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, downed at the SELa 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior+40.7Home team on offense+19.1Score differential+14.0Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Garbage-time factor+6.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:10: Jhajuan Seales 24 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:24: Barry Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:41: Kaelyn Henderson run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK) — SELA win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:38: Ramon Richards 9 Yd Fumble Return (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SELA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 8:46SELA 4th & 13 at SELA 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:34SELA 4th & 2 at SELA 30, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:12SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:29SELA 4th & 10 at SELA 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:45OKST 4th & 7 at SELA 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:42OKST 4th & 7 at SELA 15, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:55SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:11OKST 4th & 21 at OKST 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:18OKST 4th & 14 at SELA 45, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00SELA 4th & 25 at SELA 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:08SELA 4th & 7 at OKST 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:19OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:14SELA 4th & 6 at OKST 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:52SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 29, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:50OKST 4th & 5 at SELA 11, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:58SELA 4th & 18 at SELA 39, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:47SELA 4th & 9 at OKST 37, down 54
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SELA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:15OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:50OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:10OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:24OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:41SELA Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:38OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:40OKST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:13OKST Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:00OKST Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.6%
Chris Carson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
99.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 2 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Madre Harper 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:120% → 0%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.6%
Rasheed Harrell run for 9 yds to the SELa 31Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.6%
D'Shaie Landor run for 5 yds to the SELa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
D'Shaie Landor run for no gain to the SELa 36 D'Shaie Landor fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 15 yds to the SELa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.5%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the SELa 14Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+10
99.5%
Chris Carson 10 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 3 yds to the SELa 28Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.5%
Rasheed Harrell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELa 27Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.5%
D'Shaie Landor sacked by Jordan Burton for a loss of 5 yards to the SELa 22Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Jim Speights punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds to the SELa 31Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+7
99.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 7 yds to the SELa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.6%
Jhajuan Seales 24 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:211% → 1%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
99.5%
D'Shaie Landor pass complete to Javon Conner for 12 yds to the SELa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.5%
Julius Maraclin run for 4 yds to the SELa 26Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-5
99.5%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the SELa 21Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
99.5%
D'Shaie Landor run for no gain to the SELa 21Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+9
99.5%
D'Shaie Landor run for 9 yds to the SELa 30Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Jim Speights punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen McCleskey at the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
99.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 21 yds to the SELa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
99.5%
Rennie Childs run for 25 yds to the SELa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+18
99.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Barry Sanders for 18 yds to the SELa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.7%
D'Shaie Landor run for 3 yds to the SELa 16Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
99.7%
Darius Durall run for no gain to the SELa 16Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+1
99.7%
Darius Durall run for 1 yd to the SELa 17Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+57
99.7%
Jim Speights punt for 41 yds , Barry Sanders returns for 57 yds to the SELa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q1 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Barry Sanders run for no gain to the SELa 1Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain Mason Rudolph fumbled, recovered by SELaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Rasheed Harrell run for no gain to the SELa 20Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
D'Shaie Landor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
D'Shaie Landor pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:29
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Jim Speights punt for 41 yds, downed at the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.7%
Jeff Carr run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 12 yds to the SELa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 6 yds to the SELa 37Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-3
99.7%
Barry Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the SELa 40Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+22
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 22 yds to the SELa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.7%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the SELa 15Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
99.7%
Ben Grogan 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:150% → 1%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.7%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 9 yds to the SELa 25Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+16
99.7%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 16 yds to the SELa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
D'Shaie Landor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
D'Shaie Landor run for 3 yds to the SELa 44Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+1
99.2%
D'Shaie Landor run for 1 yd to the SELa 45Similar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Jim Speights punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13DOWNS
3 plays · -11 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
99.7%
Chris Carson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 17
OWN 10
-4
99.7%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jon Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 6Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 21
OWN 6
0
99.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Darius Durall at the SELa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 14TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 2:020% → 1%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.6%
Darius Durall run for 8 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+8
99.6%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.6%
Darius Durall run for 8 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+1
99.7%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+26
99.3%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jeff Carr for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.4%
Jeff Carr run for 7 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.4%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the SELa 44Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
99.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the SELa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.4%
Rennie Childs run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELa 43Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-2
99.5%
Rennie Childs run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELa 45Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Zach Sinor punt for 35 yds, downed at the SELa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 1:491% → 1%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.3%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 2 yds to the SELa 12Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+10
99.3%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 10 yds to the SELa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
99.3%
Kaelyn Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SELa 18Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 14
OWN 18
0
99.3%
D'Shaie Landor pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 14
OWN 18
-6
99.3%
Kaelyn Henderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the SELa 12Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 20
OWN 12
-5
99.2%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SELa 7Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 25
OWN 7
0
99.3%
Jim Speights punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 17FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:131% → 0%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.2%
D'Shaie Landor pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-9
99.8%
Ramon Richards 9 Yd Fumble Return (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Julius Maraclin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELa 25Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+55
99.9%
Justin Alo pass complete to Brandon Acker for 55 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.8%
Julius Maraclin run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
Rasheed Harrell run for 4 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-2
99.8%
Rasheed Harrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
99.7%
Jonathon Tatum 34 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Chris Carson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-10
99.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Lee Spight for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 8 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+19
99.9%
Zach Sinor punt for 39 yds , Javon Tillman returns for 19 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Justin Alo run for no gain to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Justin Alo run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-8
99.9%
Justin Alo sacked by Jarrell Owens for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 6 yds to the SELa 44Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the SELa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the SELa 32Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 11 yds to the SELa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 7 yds to the SELa 14Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
Barry Sanders run for 3 yds to the SELa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Caleb Young for a loss of 5 yards to the SELa 16Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 15
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 16 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
99.9%
Darius Durall run for 21 yds to the SELa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
D'Shaie Landor run for a loss of 5 yards to the SELa 19 D'Shaie Landor fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
John Kolar run for 10 yds to the SELa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
John Kolar run for 3 yds to the SELa 6Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Jeff Carr 1 Yd Run (Ben Grogan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Julius Maraclin run for 6 yds to the SELa 31Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
Darius Durall run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELa 29Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Justin Alo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-13
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the SELa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:35100% → 100%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
99.9%
Barry Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the SELa 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+8
99.9%
John Kolar pass complete to Theo Berry for 8 yds to the SELa 11Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
99.9%
John Kolar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Ben Grogan 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Rasheed Harrell run for no gain to the SELa 21Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+26
100.0%
Justin Alo pass complete to Jake Ingraffia for 26 yds to the SELa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
100.0%
Justin Alo sacked by Justin Phillips for a loss of 8 yards to the SELa 39Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 18
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Rasheed Harrell run for no gain to the SELa 39Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 18
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Justin Alo pass incomplete to Kaylan RichardsonSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 18
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Jim Speights punt for 51 yds, downed at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 8:42100% → 100%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Obi Obialo for 1 yd to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+10
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 10 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 9 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+26
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for 26 yds to the SELa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the SELa 41Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 2 yds to the SELa 39Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+9
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Keenen Brown for 9 yds to the SELa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Keegan Metcalf run for no gain to the SELa 30Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Terry Tillman for 13 yds to the SELa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 15 yds to the SELa 2 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the SELa 12Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 5
OPP 12
-10
100.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SELa 22Similar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Jeff Carr run for no gain to the SELa 22Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+17
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 17 yds to the SELa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 52 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
100.0%
Justin Alo run for 9 yds to the SELa 20 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SELa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Kaelyn Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELa 34Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+15
100.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SELa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
100.0%
Justin Alo pass complete to Javon Conner for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
Kaelyn Henderson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Justin Alo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Justin Alo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Justin Alo pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29Uncategorized
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:38
Ramon Richards 9 Yd Fumble Return (Ben Grogan Kick)
+0.6
TD · Q2 5:41
Kaelyn Henderson run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathon Tatum KICK)
-0.4
TD · Q1 8:10
Jhajuan Seales 24 Yd pass from Mason Rudolph (Ben Grogan Kick)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com