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Oklahoma 56 at West Virginia 28

WVU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:02 · Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:24: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +6.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:26: Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert PAT MISSED) — OU win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:13: Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 20 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +5.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:06: Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +12.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:37: Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Baker Mayfield pass to Mark Andrews for Two-Point Conversion) — OU win probability +4.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:43OU 4th & 7 at OU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51OU 4th & 1 at OU 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:09WVU 4th & 3 at OU 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    -2.5%−7.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:47WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 27, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:04OU 4th & 9 at WVU 44, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:52WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:28OU 4th & 2 at OU 44, up 27
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:30OU 4th & 6 at OU 42, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:25WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:27OU 4th & 1 at WVU 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:53OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:16OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:24OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:07OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:26OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:13WVU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:09OU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:40WVU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:32WVU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:06WVU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:37OU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:27OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0960% → 60%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
39.8%
Samaje Perine run for 12 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
40.0%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
40.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Joe MixonSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+6
40.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 34 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 6 yds to the WVirg 34 Gary Jennings fumbled, recovered by Okla Sam GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:2760% → 61%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
40.1%
Joe Mixon run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
40.1%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+21
40.3%
Joe Mixon run for 21 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
40.2%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the WVirg 3Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
40.4%
Dede Westbrook run for 1 yd to the WVirg 2Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3040% → 39%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
39.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
39.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
39.4%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:4760% → 62%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
39.6%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
39.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+75
37.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:4437% → 37%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
37.3%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
37.4%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
37.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-5
37.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Kyle Bosch) to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
37.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
36.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
36.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:4164% → 72%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
35.9%
Joe Mixon run for 9 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+8
35.6%
Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
35.1%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+25
34.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 25 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
34.5%
Joe Mixon run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+3
34.2%
Joe Mixon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
34.1%
Joe Mixon run for 20 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
33.8%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the WVirg 5Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
27.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0529% → 28%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
28.9%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
28.3%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
27.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
27.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0674% → 75%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
26.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
25.7%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+3
25.0%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
24.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 83 yds · 0:4725% → 26%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+29
25.4%
Justin Crawford run for 29 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+36
26.2%
Justin Crawford run for 36 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
26.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
26.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 11 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
26.4%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the Okla 4 Justin Crawford fumbled, forced by Jordan Evans, recovered by Okla Jordan ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 96 yds · 3:3877% → 80%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
23.2%
Samaje Perine run for 13 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
22.8%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+4
22.3%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 2
OWN 25
-12
22.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Orlando Brown) to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+8
21.9%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+15
21.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Marvin Gross) to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
20.7%
Joe Mixon run for 20 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
19.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 11 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Maurice Fleming) to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
19.2%
Joe Mixon run for 13 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.1%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:4919% → 19%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.1%
Skyler Howard run for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
19.5%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
19.8%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Gibson, Shelton, PENALTY WESTVIR personal foul (McKivitz, Colton) 15 yards to the WESTVIR31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+61
19.4%
Justin Crawford run for 61 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
22.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 5 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
19.7%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the Okla 3Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
19.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the Okla 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Okla Matt RomarSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 97 yds · 5:2780% → 93%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
19.7%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
19.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+17
18.7%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Noble Nwachukwu) to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
19.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Brown) to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
18.6%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
50
+3
17.3%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
14.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
14.6%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
14.6%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
14.6%
Samaje Perine run for 16 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
13.9%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+9
6.6%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:1310% → 17%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
9.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
9.7%
Justin Crawford run for 13 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
10.6%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
10.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+19
10.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 19 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
11.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 5 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
16.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 20 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:5688% → 91%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
11.6%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
9.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dru Samia) to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 20
OWN 16
-1
8.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15INT TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:438% → 8%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.6%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
7.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+36
6.1%
Justin Crawford run for 36 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
7.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
7.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
6.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+80
7.5%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Evans return for 80 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:095% → 4%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
4.7%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+9
4.5%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
4.4%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
4.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-2
3.9%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
3.8%
Billy Kinney punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3497% → 97%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
2.7%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
2.6%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
2.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 10 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
2.4%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
2.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+4
2.2%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
2.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 28 yds, downed at the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:023% → 3%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
2.9%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
2.8%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
3.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
3.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:2698% → 99%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
1.7%
Joe Mixon run for 3 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+7
1.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 7 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
1.3%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
1.2%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
1.1%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Rasul Douglas return for no gain to the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:203% → 4%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
2.5%
Justin Crawford run for 45 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
2.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 4 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
2.8%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
2.7%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
4.4%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
1.5%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
1.4%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
1.3%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
1.5%
Austin Seibert punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:464% → 6%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+61
3.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 61 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
4.6%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
4.3%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+9
5.5%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:4497% → 97%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
2.8%
Dede Westbrook run for no gain to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
2.8%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 38 Baker Mayfield fumbled, forced by Kyzir White, recovered by OklaSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+9
2.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 9 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-5
2.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
2.8%
Austin Seibert punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:123% → 16%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
3.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 12 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
3.2%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
3.1%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+8
3.2%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
3.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 5 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+15
3.2%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Gibson, Shelton, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Thomas, Jordan) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
3.3%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+37
15.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:0992% → 99%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
7.9%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
7.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
7.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 9 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
7.0%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+15
6.5%
Joe Mixon run for 15 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
6.4%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-2
6.2%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+18
5.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 18 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
5.2%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+11
5.1%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Mead, Jeffery, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Fleming, Maurice) 11 yards to the WESTVIR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q4 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.0%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the WVirg 1Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Baker Mayfield pass to Mark Andrews for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
1.2%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
1.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+6
1.1%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 5
OWN 36
-8
1.1%
Skyler Howard sacked by Jordan Wade for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
0.5%
Samaje Perine run for 21 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
0.4%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.3%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.3%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:040% → 0%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+60
0.1%
Justin Crawford run for 45 yds to the WESTVIR 29 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Neville Gallimore) to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:06
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 37 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
+12.3
TD · Q2 2:26
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert PAT MISSED)
-7.2
TD · Q1 3:24
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com