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TEX

Texas 40 at Oklahoma 45

OU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Cotton Bowl
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:28 · Austin Seibert 49 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+14.0Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:47: Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 63 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +18.3 pts (now 55%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:49: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 42 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +17.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:43: Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 45 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK) — TEX win probability +17.5 pts (now 57%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:13: Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +17.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:45: D'Onta Foreman run for 22 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TEX win probability +18.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:28OU 4th & 7 at TEX 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08TEX 4th & 9 at OU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:21TEX 4th & 13 at OU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:29OU 4th & 2 at TEX 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.0%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:58TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24OU 4th & 10 at OU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:11TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49TEX 4th & 1 at OU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−1.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00TEX 4th & 11 at OU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−5.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:53TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:26TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:36OU 4th & 9 at TEX 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−3.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:17OU 4th & 12 at TEX 46, up 5
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 1:43OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:21TEX Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:02OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:47TEX Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:49OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:43TEX Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:13OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:39OU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:53OU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:34TEX Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:45TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:2865% → 65%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
64.9%
Samaje Perine run for 10 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
64.9%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+10
64.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 10 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
64.9%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
64.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+18
64.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 18 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
65.0%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-1
65.1%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+2
65.0%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
64.7%
Austin Seibert 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3836% → 35%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
64.4%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
64.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
64.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
64.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2465% → 64%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
64.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 8 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+8
64.5%
Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
64.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 1 yd to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
64.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
64.2%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4236% → 36%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
50
-5
63.6%
Shane Buechele sacked by Emmanuel Beal for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+6
64.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
63.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
64.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:1264% → 64%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
64.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 12 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
64.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Samaje PerineSimilar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+13
64.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to A.D. Miller for 13 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
64.1%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+38
64.1%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for 38 yds to the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6FG
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:5938% → 37%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
62.1%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
62.1%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-5
62.5%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 13
OPP 16
0
62.9%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+33
62.9%
Trent Domingue 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:3662% → 63%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.2%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
62.9%
Samaje Perine run for 14 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
63.3%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
63.3%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
63.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
62.5%
Austin Seibert punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0838% → 38%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
62.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 16Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
62.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the Texas 16 D'Onta Foreman fumbled, forced by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, recovered by Okla Steven ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:4764% → 67%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
63.5%
Joe Mixon run for 10 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
63.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 4 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.0%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 2:0135% → 42%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
65.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+14
65.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
64.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 4 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+15
64.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
63.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
63.3%
Shane Buechele run for 8 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+1
63.3%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
63.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
63.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11FUMBLE
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:5661% → 63%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
60.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+12
60.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 12 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
61.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 1 yd to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
60.7%
Joe Mixon run for 3 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
60.8%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+30
60.1%
Samaje Perine run for 30 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
62.9%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
62.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 7 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
62.8%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Texas 24 Joe Mixon fumbled, forced by Poona Ford, recovered by Texas Poona FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:0641% → 41%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
59.2%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+1
58.5%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+9
59.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 9 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
58.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 1 yd to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
58.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 6 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
58.0%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
50
0
57.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
50
+2
57.4%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-5
57.5%
Shane Buechele sacked by Matt Romar and Ogbonnia Okoronkwo for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+3
59.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 44 yds , Joe Mixon returns for 3 yds to the Okla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1458% → 56%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
57.9%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 12Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
57.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for no gain to the Okla 12Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
56.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
56.1%
Austin Seibert punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4944% → 43%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
55.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
55.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
55.7%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Lorenzo JoeSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
56.9%
Michael Dickson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 0:4957% → 68%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
56.9%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+5
57.6%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
57.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+71
68.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 71 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16END OF HALF
22 plays · 64 yds · 3:5231% → 34%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
67.9%
Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
68.6%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
69.0%
Shane Buechele run for 1 yd to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+19
69.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 19 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
66.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to John Burt for 5 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
66.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+4
66.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 4 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
67.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
64.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Dorian LeonardSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
64.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
64.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+6
65.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
64.2%
Shane Buechele pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+12
64.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 12 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
64.2%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jake OliverSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
64.2%
Shane Buechele sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo and Jordan Wade for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
68.4%
Shane Buechele run for 2 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
65.8%
Trent Domingue 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 0:5336% → 55%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
64.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
63.1%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
64.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
63.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+63
45.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 63 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:3249% → 68%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
49.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to A.D. Miller for 9 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+28
51.1%
Samaje Perine run for 28 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
68.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 42 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4736% → 57%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
62.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
63.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
62.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
60.7%
Shane Buechele sacked by Austin Roberts and Jordan Evans for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+45
43.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 45 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:0947% → 68%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
47.2%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+22
44.7%
Samaje Perine run for 22 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
46.2%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+51
47.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dahu Green for 51 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
50.7%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
50.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
67.7%
Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0437% → 34%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.1%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
62.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
64.5%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
65.1%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
65.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 0:5964% → 83%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
64.2%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+22
64.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 22 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
68.2%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+47
82.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 47 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0822% → 21%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
78.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
79.5%
Michael Dickson punt for 45 yds , Joe Mixon returns for no gain to the Okla 23 Joe Mixon fumbled, recovered by Texas Kris BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:5527% → 23%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
73.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for no gain to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
74.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
77.4%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Will Sunderland return for no gain to the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 6:1481% → 95%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
81.2%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+9
82.2%
Joe Mixon run for 9 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
82.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
83.2%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+16
82.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 16 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
85.6%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+29
85.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 29 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
87.0%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
87.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
86.5%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
87.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 7 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+10
88.0%
Samaje Perine run for 10 yds to the Texas 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.2%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 0:568% → 22%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
92.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+28
91.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 28 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
90.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 8 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+4
90.3%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 4 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
90.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 10 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
77.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 10 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27FG
19 plays · 60 yds · 7:3486% → 97%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
86.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 1 yd to the Okla 19Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
86.4%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+15
86.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 15 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.4%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
89.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+14
89.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
91.0%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
91.4%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
93.7%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+1
93.8%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+3
93.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 3 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
94.6%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
95.3%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-6
95.5%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 22 Joe Mixon fumbled, recovered by Okla Baker MayfieldSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
96.6%
Austin Seibert 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 0:403% → 24%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
96.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 18 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
96.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Collin Johnson for 11 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
95.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+13
95.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 13 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
76.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 22 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:2295% → 95%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
94.5%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
94.8%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-7
96.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Paul Boyette Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 46 Baker Mayfield fumbled, recovered by Okla Bobby Evans , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Austin Seibert punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Armanti Foreman at the Texas 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:059% → 9%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
91.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
91.5%
Shane Buechele run for 7 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+21
91.4%
Shane Buechele run for 21 yds to the Texas 38, laterals to Dorian Leonard for -6 yds to the Texas 32, laterals to Jerrod Heard for no gain, laterals to Devin Duvernay for -9 yds to the Texas 23, laterals to Jake Oliver for -9 yds to the Texas 14, laterals to Devin Duvernay for -5 yds to the Texas 9, laterals to Jerrod Heard for -1 yds to the Texas 8.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:45
D'Onta Foreman run for 22 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18.5
TD · Q3 13:47
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 63 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q3 10:43
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 45 yds for a TD, (Trent Domingue KICK)
-17.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com