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OSU

Ohio State 45 at Oklahoma 24

OU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:40 · Cameron Johnston punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−33.8Score differential−17.3Garbage-time factor−8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0Pregame prior−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:20: Noah Brown 4 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +4.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:12: A.D. Miller 35 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +9.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:06: Noah Brown 21 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:39: Noah Brown 8 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick) — OSU win probability +10.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:06: Mark Andrews 5 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +13.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 11:20OU 4th & 9 at OSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:44OU 4th & 15 at OU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:28OSU 4th & 1 at OU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    53.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:34OU 4th & 3 at OSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:04OU 4th & 9 at OSU 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:01OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23OSU 4th & 1 at OU 26, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:23OU 4th & 12 at OU 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:10OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 37, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:40OSU 4th & 11 at OSU 45, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:27OU 4th & 7 at OSU 49, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:33OSU 4th & 7 at OU 14, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:42OU 4th & 4 at OSU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:30OSU 4th & 3 at OU 48, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:26OU 4th & 4 at OU 7, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:28OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:34OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:20OU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:20OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:02OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:12OU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:06OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:39OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:06OU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:3046% → 47%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
46.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 17 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
46.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+17
46.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 17 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
46.7%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+11
46.8%
Baker Mayfield run for 11 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
47.1%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+10
47.2%
Samaje Perine run for 10 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
47.3%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
47.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
47.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
47.3%
Austin Seibert 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3253% → 52%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
47.0%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
46.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
47.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 21Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
47.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
47.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 68 yds, downed at the Okla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:3848% → 47%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
47.5%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
47.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Joe MixonSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
47.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to A.D. MillerSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 10
OWN 11
-5
47.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 15
OWN 6
0
46.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 39 yds, downed at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:0753% → 55%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
46.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
46.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
47.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+36
44.6%
Curtis Samuel 36 Yd Run (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5DOWNS TD
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:3845% → 43%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.1%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
45.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 8 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+12
45.3%
Joe Mixon run for 12 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
45.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
46.0%
Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 2
OPP 32
-1
46.5%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
46.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+68
43.4%
Jerome Baker 68 Yd Interception Return (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 4:3056% → 63%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
44.5%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+35
43.8%
Mike Weber run for 35 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
42.7%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+7
42.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 7 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+9
42.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
41.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
41.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+12
41.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
41.0%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+2
40.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
36.8%
Noah Brown 4 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0139% → 41%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
39.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 4 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+35
39.0%
Dede Westbrook run for 35 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
40.3%
Joe Mixon run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+36
40.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to A.D. Miller for 36 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-13
41.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Malik Hooker and Jalyn Holmes for a loss of 13 yards to the OhSt 16Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
0
39.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+7
38.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 7 yds to the OhSt 9Similar
Q2 11:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
40.8%
Austin Seibert 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 3:5453% → 58%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
45.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
44.9%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
44.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 6 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-5
42.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-8
43.9%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ahmad Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+15
43.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 15 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
42.3%
Cameron Johnston punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3536% → 36%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
36.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 6 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+21
36.4%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Marshon Lattimore return for 21 yds to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
33.4%
Noah Brown 37 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:2729% → 39%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
28.5%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+20
28.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 20 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
29.9%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+11
28.9%
Baker Mayfield run for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
38.5%
A.D. Miller 35 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0661% → 84%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+18
38.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 18 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
36.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
36.0%
Curtis Samuel run for 7 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
34.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 4 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
35.0%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
29.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to James Clark for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
28.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
28.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
26.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
15.6%
Noah Brown 21 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
21.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0382% → 96%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
17.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
16.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 14 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
16.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the Okla 38 J.T. Barrett fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+6
15.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
15.8%
Mike Weber run for 10 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
15.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 12:26
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
15.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+14
15.0%
Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the Okla 27 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
14.4%
Curtis Samuel run for 8 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-5
14.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Okla 10Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
13.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
3.6%
Noah Brown 8 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
3.4%
Samaje Perine run for 20 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
3.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
3.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mykel Jones for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
3.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 7
OWN 48
-5
3.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
2.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0597% → 97%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
3.5%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
3.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-10
3.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+10
3.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 10 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
2.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 2:542% → 14%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
2.2%
Joe Mixon run for no gain to the Okla 12Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
2.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+15
1.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
2.0%
Joe Mixon run for 31 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
1.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to A.D. Miller for 1 yd to the OhSt 41Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
1.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+14
1.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
1.2%
Joe Mixon run for 17 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
1.2%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the OhSt 8Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
1.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
14.2%
Mark Andrews 5 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:4893% → 93%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
7.1%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
6.8%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+2
6.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 6
50
-5
7.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
7.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Joe Mixon at the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4810% → 7%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
9.5%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+23
9.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 23 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
10.0%
Joe Mixon run for 5 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
9.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
9.3%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
9.0%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
9.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-1
8.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 7
OPP 49
-12
6.8%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Sam Hubbard and Jerome Baker for a loss of 12 yards to the Okla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2796% → 98%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
4.5%
Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
4.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+14
4.2%
Mike Weber run for 14 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
3.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 5 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+3
3.6%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
3.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 2
OPP 9
-5
4.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
1.9%
Tyler Durbin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:512% → 2%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
2.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
50
-1
2.3%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+8
2.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 8 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-1
2.3%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 4
OPP 44
-1
2.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Jerome Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5699% → 99%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
1.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-1
1.4%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+6
1.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
1.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, downed at the Okla 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
1.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
1.0%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 2Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
1.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+5
1.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
1.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 45 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:3799% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
0.8%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
0.7%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
0.7%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.6%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
0.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 12 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
0.5%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+11
0.4%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 12
OPP 14
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:06
Mark Andrews 5 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
+13.1
TD · Q2 0:06
Noah Brown 21 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)
-10.8
TD · Q3 10:39
Noah Brown 8 Yd pass from J.T. Barrett (Tyler Durbin Kick)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com