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KU

Kansas 19 at Kansas State 34

KSU
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:27 · Carter Stanley pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+10.1Home team on offense+25.5Score differential+10.0Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:52: Alex Barnes run for 31 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:12: Carter Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Donnie Starks return for 39 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK) — KSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:47: Winston Dimel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK) — KSU win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK) — KSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:29: Carter Stanley pass complete to Michael Zunica for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +2.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:30KU 4th & 5 at KSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24KU 4th & 7 at KU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:44KSU 4th & 27 at KSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46KU 4th & 4 at KU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:30KSU 4th & 4 at KU 19, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:30KU 4th & 18 at KU 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:41KSU 4th & 1 at KU 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:36KU 4th & 7 at KU 47, down 17
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:10KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 28, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:40KU 4th & 5 at KU 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:29KSU 4th & 12 at KU 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56KU 4th & 1 at KU 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:27KU 4th & 13 at KSU 47, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:21KSU 4th & 6 at KU 49, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:30KU 4th & 7 at KSU 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:24KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:52KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:12KSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:47KSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:18KU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:56KSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:29KU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:307% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
92.8%
Stanley, Carter pass complete to Barbel, Shakiem for 4 yards to the KU29 (Moore, C.), PENALTY KU illegal block (Rhodes, Jayson) 12 yards to the KU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+2
92.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+30
92.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 30 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
92.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
50
0
92.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler Patrick, broken up by Elijah LeeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
50
-5
92.8%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+17
92.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 17 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
92.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+13
92.8%
Carter Stanley run for 13 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
92.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-1
92.8%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+2
92.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
91.4%
Matthew Wyman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5991% → 91%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
91.4%
Jesse Ertz run for 18 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
91.6%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 17 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
91.7%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+8
91.7%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
91.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 21 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.3%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Patterson PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
91.0%
Carter Stanley sacked by Trey Dishon for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
91.2%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+15
91.2%
Moos, Cole punt 39 yards to the KS40, downed, PENALTY KS personal foul (Reed, D.J.) 15 yards to the KU36, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
90.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
90.9%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
91.0%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
91.1%
Cole Moos punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
90.5%
Jesse Ertz run for 10 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
90.7%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 18 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-7
90.8%
Jesse Ertz sacked by Courtney Arnick for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 17
OPP 47
-15
90.6%
Barnes, Alex rush for 2 yards to the KU45 (Lee, Mike), PENALTY KS face mask (Frantz, Scott) 15 yards to the KS38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 32
OWN 38
+5
90.5%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 27
OWN 43
0
90.4%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 27
OWN 43
0
90.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
89.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-8
89.8%
Taylor Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
89.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
89.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Matt SeiwertSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
89.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Austin Moses for 3 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
89.8%
Cole Moos punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:2289% → 91%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
89.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 8 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
89.3%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
88.6%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
88.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 34 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
91.3%
Alex Barnes run for 31 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:369% → 7%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
90.9%
Carter Stanley run for 6 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+39
93.3%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Donnie Starks return for 39 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
93.5%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+15
93.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 15 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
93.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
93.5%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Elijah Lee return for 3 yds to the Kans 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:0395% → 95%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
94.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 9 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-3
94.8%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
94.7%
Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
94.8%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+11
94.7%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 11 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-3
94.7%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
94.5%
Ian Patterson 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 6 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
93.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
93.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
93.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for no gain to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-8
93.7%
Carter Stanley sacked by Tanner Wood and Jordan Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+16
93.8%
Cole Moos punt for 45 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 16 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1395% → 95%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
95.0%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-9
95.0%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Winston Dimel) to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+13
94.9%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 13 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Fish SmithsonSimilar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Jesse Ertz run for no gain to the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
95.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+1
95.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
95.8%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
95.9%
Cole Moos punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:1395% → 95%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.2%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
95.1%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+10
94.7%
Joe Hubener run for 10 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
94.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Steven Sims Jr. at the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
95.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 13 yds to the Kans 45 Ke'aun Kinner fumbled, forced by D.J. Reed, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
95.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
95.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1394% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.9%
Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
93.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+22
93.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 22 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.1%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
94.1%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
94.1%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
94.1%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
93.9%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+6
93.6%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive offside (6 Yards) to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
94.1%
Alex Delton run for 10 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
94.1%
Alex Delton run for 2 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.9%
Winston Dimel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
97.5%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
97.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Taylor Martin for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+2
97.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Taylor Martin for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+18
97.6%
Cole Moos punt for 45 yds , Byron Pringle returns for 18 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
97.9%
Alex Delton run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
50
0
98.0%
Alex Delton run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
50
+1
98.0%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+11
98.0%
Alex Delton run for 11 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
98.0%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 43 Alex Delton fumbled, recovered by KanSt Alex DeltonSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+8
98.0%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-5
98.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Winston Dimel) to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
98.0%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 35 yds, downed at the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
1 play · 95 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+95
96.2%
LaQuvionte Gonzalez 95 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2297% → 100%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.6%
Alex Barnes run for 15 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.8%
Alex Barnes run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+18
96.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Byron Pringle for 18 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
96.9%
Alex Barnes run for 9 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+27
96.9%
Alex Barnes run for 27 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.9%
Winston Dimel run for no gain to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.9%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:271% → 3%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.2%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.2%
Carter Stanley run for 9 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
99.2%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+32
99.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 32 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
99.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Michael Zunica for 17 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Michael Zunica for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:593% → 3%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
97.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 12 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
97.1%
Herbert, Khalil rush for 4 yards to the KS40 (Starks, Donnie), PENALTY KU holding (Hughes, Larry) 10 yards to the KU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+7
97.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 7 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 13
OPP 47
0
97.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
97.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Keegan BrewerSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.3%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-2
98.3%
Justin Silmon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
98.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
98.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kans 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 2:312% → 3%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+19
97.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Tyler Patrick for 19 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ke'aun KinnerSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+36
97.6%
Carter Stanley run for 36 yds to the KANSASST 40 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by D.J. ReedSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+10
97.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
97.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 8 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
96.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-5
97.5%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
97.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
96.7%
Matthew Wyman 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:1898% → 99%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+51
97.5%
Dalvin Warmack run for 36 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (15 Yards) to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.8%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+10
97.8%
Hubener, Joe pass complete to Burton, Deante for 9 yards to the KU24 (Stewart, B.), PENALTY KU holding (Lee, Mike) 10 yards to the KU23, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
97.9%
Winston Dimel run for 6 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
97.9%
Winston Dimel run for no gain to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
98.5%
Joe Hubener run for no gain to the Kans 34 Joe Hubener fumbled, forced by Courtney Arnick, recovered by Kans Kellen AshSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 8 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
99.1%
Carter Stanley run for 3 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
99.2%
Carter Stanley sacked by Trey Dishon for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 42 Carter Stanley fumbled, recovered by KanSt Colby Moore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.5%
Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
98.8%
Dalvin Warmack run for 5 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+9
98.8%
Joe Hubener run for 9 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
98.6%
Cameron Morgan run for 11 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:47
Winston Dimel run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q4 14:56
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 13:12
Carter Stanley pass intercepted for a TD Donnie Starks return for 39 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com