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TEX

Texas 21 at Kansas 24

KU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:21 · Michael Dickson punt for 42 yds , LaQuvionte Gonzalez returns for 1 yd to the Kans 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 59Pregame prior−37.3Home team on offense−3.9Garbage-time factor−1.2Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:27: D'Onta Foreman 2 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — TEX win probability +9.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:34: D'Onta Foreman 1 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick) — TEX win probability +9.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:48: Khalil Herbert 1 Yd Run (Steven Sims Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion) — KU win probability +25.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q4 0:07: Matthew Wyman 36 Yd Field Goal — KU win probability +37.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Matthew Wyman 25 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +20.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 13:37KU 4th & 15 at KU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:33TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:04KU 4th & 18 at KU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:09TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:39KU 4th & 9 at KU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:25TEX 4th & 9 at KU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:13KU 4th & 12 at KU 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:55TEX 4th & 6 at KU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:22KU 4th & 2 at KU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:21TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 11:00KU 4th & 3 at KU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:32KU 4th & 1 at TEX 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:46KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:01TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:44KU 4th & 14 at KU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−2.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:29TEX 4th & 6 at KU 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:13KU 4th & 10 at KU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:49TEX 4th & 7 at KU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−10.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:10TEX 4th & 1 at KU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−3.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−13.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:42KU 4th & 4 at KU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:36TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 49, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−1.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:09TEX 4th & 2 at KU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−4.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−8.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:36KU 4th & 6 at KU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.2%−4.0
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:58TEX 4th & 5 at KU 32, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%−0.9
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    87.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−7.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:49TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:04KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:27TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:34TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:48KU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
7.5%
Jacorey Warrick 75 Yd pass from Shane Buechele (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:518% → 8%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
7.6%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
7.6%
KANSAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 15
OWN 16
0
7.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
7.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
7.7%
Cole Moos punt for 53 yds, downed at the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5292% → 92%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
7.8%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 3 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
7.9%
Shane Buechele sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
8.0%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Dorian LeonardSimilar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
8.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:108% → 9%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
8.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+1
8.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+15
8.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 15 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
8.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-5
8.6%
Carter Stanley sacked by Breckyn Hager for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 18
OWN 34
0
8.6%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
8.6%
Cole Moos punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the Texas 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3991% → 91%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
8.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
8.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-1
8.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
9.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kans 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:269% → 9%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
9.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 9 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+11
9.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 11 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
9.4%
KANSAS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+6
9.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Bazie Bates IV for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
9.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
9.5%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
9.4%
Cole Moos punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:0091% → 90%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
9.5%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
9.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
9.5%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mike Lee) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
50
+6
9.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 6 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-10
9.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
9.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
9.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jake OliverSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
10.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5210% → 10%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
10.2%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
10.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 5
-2
10.2%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 3Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 12
OWN 3
-5
10.2%
Cole Moos punt for 51 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0790% → 89%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
10.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
10.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
10.1%
Shane Buechele sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 48Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+6
10.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+1
10.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
10.8%
Michael Dickson punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2211% → 12%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
11.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 9 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
11.4%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
11.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
11.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 1 yd to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
11.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 7 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
11.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+13
11.6%
Cole Moos punt for 47 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for 13 yds to the Texas 41 TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4688% → 88%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
11.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 1 yd to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
11.8%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+4
12.2%
Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+1
12.2%
Michael Dickson punt for 42 yds , LaQuvionte Gonzalez returns for 1 yd to the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:1312% → 13%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
12.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 18 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
13.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
13.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
13.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
13.0%
Cole Moos punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5287% → 88%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
12.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 6 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+8
12.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
12.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
12.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-7
12.4%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 32 Tyrone Swoopes fumbled, recovered by Kans Denzel Feaster , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0315% → 14%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
14.6%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 5
OPP 27
0
14.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Dru ProxSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
14.8%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
14.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
14.1%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:1487% → 87%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
13.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+6
12.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+3
12.8%
Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
12.8%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Fish Smithson return for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:1514% → 13%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
14.2%
KANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
13.4%
Cole Moos punt for 34 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17INT TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:3087% → 83%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
12.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 9 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
12.6%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
50
+55
17.5%
Brandon Stewart 55 Yd Interception Return (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:4581% → 82%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
18.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
18.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 12 yds to the Texas 50 D'Onta Foreman fumbled, recovered by Kans Dorance Armstrong Jr. , return for 7 yds to the Texas 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3524% → 26%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
24.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 33 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
24.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
25.0%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
24.9%
Carter Stanley sacked by Edwin Freeman for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+36
25.8%
Matthew Wyman 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20FUMBLE
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:1075% → 72%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
25.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 9 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+3
23.8%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
24.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-5
25.7%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
26.4%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+10
27.2%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jake Oliver for 10 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-6
27.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 45 yds , LaQuvionte Gonzalez returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 14 LaQuvionte Gonzalez fumbled, recovered by KansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2127% → 28%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
27.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+4
27.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3330% → 31%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
30.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
30.5%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Edwin Freeman return for 4 yds to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:2874% → 82%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
26.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 10 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
25.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+5
25.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
25.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
26.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
27.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
27.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.0%
D'Onta Foreman 2 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:2422% → 22%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
21.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
21.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 4 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+15
21.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-13
23.8%
Steven Sims Jr. run for a loss of 13 yards to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 23
OWN 26
+10
22.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-1
22.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
21.8%
Cole Moos punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:0478% → 78%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
22.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 19 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
20.5%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Jerrod HeardSimilar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
20.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
21.3%
Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Dorian LeonardSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
21.7%
Michael Dickson punt for 37 yds, downed at the Kans 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0223% → 22%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
22.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+1
23.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
22.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 5
OWN 12
-5
22.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 10
OWN 7
+38
21.8%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds , Jacorey Warrick returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27MISSED FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:1179% → 78%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
20.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
20.7%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 5 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
20.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-7
20.1%
Shane Buechele sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 17
OPP 41
+6
21.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+3
20.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+15
22.1%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marnez Ogletree) to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
18.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
18.7%
Shane Buechele run for 5 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
19.6%
Shane Buechele run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
22.1%
Trent Domingue 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:2925% → 25%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
24.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
25.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 29 yds LaQuvionte Gonzalez fumbled, recovered by Texas DeShon Elliott , return for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:1580% → 90%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
20.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
20.0%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 6 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
19.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+5
19.4%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 5 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+2
20.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+10
22.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 10 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
19.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+7
19.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
D'Onta Foreman 1 Yd Run (Trent Domingue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4713% → 12%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
12.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
11.5%
Cole Moos punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacorey Warrick at the Texas 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5989% → 90%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
11.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 15 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
10.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
9.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
9.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
9.6%
Michael Dickson punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 32TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 2:4310% → 39%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
9.3%
Carter Stanley run for 20 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
10.7%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
10.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 15 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
11.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+11
11.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
13.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+6
13.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
13.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 8 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+14
13.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 14 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.9%
Khalil Herbert 1 Yd Run (Steven Sims Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 33FUMBLE
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:3774% → 83%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
26.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
24.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
24.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+10
23.9%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Caleb Bluiett for 10 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
20.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 14 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
19.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
17.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+1
19.1%
Shane Buechele pass complete to Caleb Bluiett for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+7
21.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
16.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 13 yds to the Kans 13 D'Onta Foreman fumbled, forced by Denzel Feaster, recovered by Kans Cameron RosserSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 34DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:0730% → 27%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+21
30.2%
Carter Stanley run for 21 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
31.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
34.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Tyler PatrickSimilar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-5
31.7%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (D'Andre Banks) to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+5
26.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
27.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 35DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3286% → 91%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
14.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
12.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-2
9.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+3
9.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 36FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:3819% → 66%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
19.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 8 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+26
21.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 26 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
23.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ke'aun KinnerSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+18
20.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 3 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Texas 19 for a 1ST down, Jeffrey McCulloch ejected for TargetingSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
28.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+36
66.0%
Matthew Wyman 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 37END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
48.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 38INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+35
41.1%
Shane Buechele pass intercepted Mike Lee return for 35 yds to the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 39FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0065% → 83%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
64.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Texas 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
64.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Texas 18Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+12
62.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 12 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
64.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Texas 5Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Texas 3Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
62.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Hunter Saulsbury) to the Texas 8Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
83.1%
Matthew Wyman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:07
Matthew Wyman 36 Yd Field Goal
+37.2
TD · Q4 7:48
Khalil Herbert 1 Yd Run (Steven Sims Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+25.4
FG · OT 0:00
Matthew Wyman 25 yd FG GOOD
+20.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com