Try the model
KU

Kansas 21 at West Virginia 48

WVU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:55 · Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+6.6Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+28.6Garbage-time factor+13.8Blowout margin+13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:27: Skyler Howard 33 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:04: Daikiel Shorts 7 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:40: Shelton Gibson 19 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:01: Ke'aun Kinner 2 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:41: Justin Crawford 27 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick) — WVU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 13:19WVU 4th & 10 at KU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:15WVU 4th & 23 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:54KU 4th & 2 at KU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:10WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:57KU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:15KU 4th & 3 at KU 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:12WVU 4th & 1 at KU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:40KU 4th & 3 at KU 9, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:59KU 4th & 2 at WVU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:32KU 4th & 8 at KU 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:20KU 4th & 5 at KU 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:55KU 4th & 6 at WVU 27, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49WVU 4th & 7 at KU 10, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:53WVU 4th & 3 at KU 22, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:55WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 27, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:59KU 4th & 4 at WVU 41, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:20WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:27WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:04WVU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:40WVU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:01KU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:41WVU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:44WVU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:02KU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:46KU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:3197% → 97%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
97.1%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+40
97.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 40 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
97.0%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+1
96.9%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the Kans 18Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
96.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
96.9%
Mike Molina 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2INT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:453% → 4%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
96.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 19 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
96.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
96.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 5 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
96.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 4 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.6%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
96.5%
Kinner, Ke'aun rush for 6 yards to the WESTVIR38, PENALTY KANSAS holding (Adeniji, Hakeem) 10 yards to the KANSAS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 20
OWN 46
-5
96.5%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Larry Hughes) to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 25
OWN 41
+2
96.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 23
OWN 43
0
96.4%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted Rasul Douglas return for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5796% → 96%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
96.4%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to White, Ka'Raun, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Stewart, Brandon) 15 yards to the KANSAS37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.4%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-5
96.4%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 15
OPP 42
-8
96.1%
Skyler Howard sacked by Isaiah Bean for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 23
50
0
96.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:074% → 4%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
96.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
96.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+4
96.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 4 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 2
OWN 23
-6
95.9%
Cole Moos punt for 49 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2896% → 96%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
95.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
95.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
95.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
95.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:044% → 5%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
95.6%
Steven Sims Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
95.5%
Taylor Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.4%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
95.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-5
95.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (D'Andre Banks) to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+9
95.3%
Montell Cozart run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 2
50
0
95.2%
Montell Cozart punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:2695% → 96%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
95.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+44
95.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 44 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
95.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
95.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
95.8%
Skyler Howard 22 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:504% → 5%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
95.7%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+15
95.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Al-Rasheed Benton) to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
95.5%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+5
95.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
95.4%
Cole Moos punt for 46 yds, downed at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 93 yds · 3:5595% → 95%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+24
95.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 24 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
95.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+18
95.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 8 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Daniel Wise) to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+25
95.4%
Shelton Gibson run for 25 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
95.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+1
95.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+15
95.2%
Skyler Howard run for 15 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.1%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 11:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
94.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:265% → 5%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
95.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
95.0%
Montell Cozart run for no gain to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+7
95.1%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 7 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
95.1%
Cole Moos punt for 43 yds, downed at the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:0695% → 97%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
94.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the WESTVIR 48 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ka'Raun White) to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 16
OWN 42
+14
94.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+11
94.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 11 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
97.2%
Skyler Howard 33 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:204% → 4%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
96.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+32
96.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 32 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
96.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
95.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
96.0%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:4797% → 98%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
96.9%
Justin Crawford run for 8 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
96.9%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
97.0%
Justin Crawford run for 8 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+37
96.9%
Justin Crawford run for 37 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
97.0%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+14
97.0%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Gibson, Shelton, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Ogletree, Marnez) 14 yards to the KANSAS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
97.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kans 7Similar
Q2 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.4%
Daikiel Shorts 7 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:132% → 2%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ben Johnson for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
98.0%
Cole Moos punt for 34 yds, downed at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:4699% → 100%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
98.5%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+21
98.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 21 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+17
98.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 17 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.5%
Shelton Gibson 19 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
99.6%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:231% → 0%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.6%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+8
99.6%
Cole Moos punt for 51 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.6%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
99.6%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 29 Skyler Howard fumbled, forced by Dorance Armstrong Jr., recovered by Kans Courtney ArnickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:300% → 2%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 15 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 6 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+2
99.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+4
99.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Ke'aun Kinner 2 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1398% → 100%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+25
98.4%
Justin Crawford run for 25 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
98.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.8%
Justin Crawford 27 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+42
99.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 42 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
99.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 6
OPP 27
-6
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Cole MoosSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 18 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
99.8%
Jovon Durante run for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+17
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 17 yds Ka'Raun White fumbled, forced by Denzel Feaster, recovered by WVirg Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+9
99.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 9 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Shelton Gibson 32 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+14
99.9%
Stanley, Carter pass incomplete to Barbel, Shakiem, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (White, Kyzir) 14 yards to the WESTVIR45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS.Similar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Elijah BattleSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.8%
Taylor Martin 45 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24MISSED FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the WESTVIR 48 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcell Lazard) to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 13
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+22
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 22 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 13 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
99.9%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to Wesco, Trevon, PENALTY WESTVIR ineligible downfield on pass (McKivitz, Colton) 5 yards to the KANSAS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Mike Molina 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:540% → 1%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
99.9%
Steven Sims Jr. pass complete to Michael Zunica for 40 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 14 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 15 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.1%
Steven Sims Jr. 11 Yd pass from Carter Stanley (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3399% → 100%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.4%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+9
99.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
99.4%
Justin Crawford run for 7 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
99.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Marnez OgletreeSimilar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
99.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Mike Molina 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27INT
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Michael Zunica for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Carter Stanley run for 5 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+32
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 32 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted, touchback. Rasul Douglas return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Gary Jennings for 4 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:430% → 0%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+24
100.0%
Carter Stanley run for 24 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Carter Stanley run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+2
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Elijah Wellman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
Elijah Wellman run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Elijah Wellman run for no gain to the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:27
Skyler Howard 33 Yd Run (Mike Molina Kick)
+2.4
TD · Q3 11:01
Ke'aun Kinner 2 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick)
-1.5
TD · Q2 3:04
Daikiel Shorts 7 Yd pass from Skyler Howard (Mike Molina Kick)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com