Try the model
KU

Kansas 3 at Oklahoma 56

OU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:08 · Cole Moos punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior+40.1Home team on offense+7.0Score differential+2.5Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Garbage-time factor+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:32: Matthew Wyman 23 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:22: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 41 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:35: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:09: Joe Mixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:21KU 4th & 8 at KU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:41OU 4th & 13 at OU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:56KU 4th & 1 at KU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:32KU 4th & 3 at OU 6, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:43OU 4th & 5 at OU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:13KU 4th & 12 at KU 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:08KU 4th & 10 at KU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53KU 4th & 4 at OU 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50OU 4th & 2 at KU 43, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:59KU 4th & 12 at KU 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:32KU 4th & 11 at KU 24, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00OU 4th & 7 at OU 16, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:34KU 4th & 3 at OU 44, down 53
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:18OU 4th & 2 at KU 25, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:22OU 4th & 3 at KU 8, up 53
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:32KU 4th & 2 at KU 15, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:32OU 4th & 3 at KU 46, up 53
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 10:22OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:35OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:20OU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:09OU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:50OU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:58OU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:30OU Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
98.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Evans) to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
98.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Cole Moos punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3299% → 99%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.6%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
98.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-5
98.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Austin Seibert punt for 46 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:392% → 2%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
98.5%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 20
OWN 14
-5
98.5%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 25
OWN 9
+2
98.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 23
OWN 11
+1
98.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 12Similar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 22
OWN 12
+21
98.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 21 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+71
98.3%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds , Dede Westbrook returns for 71 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FG
19 plays · 69 yds · 6:082% → 2%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+7
98.2%
Montell Cozart run for 7 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
98.2%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
98.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+2
98.1%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
98.1%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+4
98.1%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
98.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 1 yd to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
98.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+12
98.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 12 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 4 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
97.8%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+2
97.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 2 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
97.6%
Matthew Wyman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:2298% → 98%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
97.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 11 yds, Westbrook fumbled, forced by Mike Lee, recovered by Kans Daniel WiseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.3%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted Jordan Thomas return for no gain to the Okla 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:0798% → 97%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
97.5%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd to the Okla 3Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-2
97.4%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+22
97.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 22 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
97.2%
Abdul Adams run for no gain to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+17
97.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 17 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
97.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 4 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
97.1%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-2
96.9%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
96.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 34 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:203% → 3%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.9%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-5
96.8%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+1
96.8%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
96.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
96.9%
Cole Moos punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:4397% → 97%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.5%
Dede Westbrook pass incomplete to Joe MixonSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
96.4%
Abdul Adams run for 8 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+6
96.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Nick Basquine for 6 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.5%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
96.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 12 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
97.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 41 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:523% → 3%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
97.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.1%
KANSAS Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-4
97.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
97.2%
Cole Moos punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:2597% → 98%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
96.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 15
OWN 29
-1
96.8%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
96.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+24
96.6%
Dede Westbrook run for 24 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
96.9%
Joe Mixon run for 8 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
96.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 3 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
96.8%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
96.9%
Mykel Jones run for 7 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
98.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 25 yds · 2:382% → 2%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
97.7%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
97.7%
Montell Cozart run for 12 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 13 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
97.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 7 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-1
97.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 4
OPP 46
-4
97.8%
Montell Cozart sacked by D.J. Ward for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:2998% → 99%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
50
0
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
50
+16
98.2%
Baker Mayfield run for 16 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 14 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
98.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 11 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.1%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4699% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.2%
Joe Mixon run for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dahu Green for 13 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.3%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-7
99.4%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+13
99.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 13 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+7
99.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 7 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+35
99.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 35 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Joe Mixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
99.7%
Montell Cozart sacked by Emmanuel Beal for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Cole Moos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.8%
Jordan Smallwood run for 9 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+52
99.8%
Joe Mixon run for 52 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+33
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Evans return for 33 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-7
99.9%
Montell Cozart sacked by Austin Roberts for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 5 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Mark Andrews for 9 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+57
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 57 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Devin Montgomery run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Cole Moos punt for 63 yds, downed at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Devin Montgomery run for no gain to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Devin Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Dahu GreenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Austin Seibert punt for 35 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Cole Moos punt for 21 yds, downed at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:53100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
99.9%
Austin Kendall run for 17 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 7 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 9 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Austin Kendall run for 8 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
99.9%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+9
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Nick Basquine for 9 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+10
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 10 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
100.0%
Abdul Adams run for 6 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
100.0%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
100.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to A.D. MillerSimilar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+1
100.0%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
100.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+6
100.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 6 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+3
100.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jeremiah Booker for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Najee Bissoon run for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Devin Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Devin Montgomery run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
100.0%
Taylor Martin run for 7 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+15
100.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 1 yd to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q2 3:35
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 10:22
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 41 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com