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OKST

Oklahoma State 44 at Kansas 20

KU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-1.1KU 3.7%Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 37 - HOME 20 · Q4 9:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:34 · Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior−11.7Home team on offense−37.7Score differential−18.3Garbage-time factor−10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:47: Justice Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +4.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:57: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 15 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +4.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:24: Taylor Martin run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +14.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 3:25: Rennie Childs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +10.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:36: Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00OKST 4th & 2 at KU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01KU 4th & 5 at KU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:13KU 4th & 7 at OKST 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:13OKST 4th & 18 at OKST 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31KU 4th & 18 at KU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:56OKST 4th & 2 at KU 15, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%−0.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:27KU 4th & 7 at OKST 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:13KU 4th & 3 at KU 20, down 4
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:12OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:14OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−3.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:36OKST 4th & 2 at KU 8, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.7%−1.0
    90% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:38KU 4th & 4 at OKST 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−5.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:34OKST 4th & 7 at KU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:26KU 4th & 4 at KU 19, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:58KU 4th & 7 at KU 44, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 6:12KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:09OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:47OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:57OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:24KU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:25OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:04OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.8%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
4.8%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
4.8%
Hill, Justice rush for 2 yards to the OSU38 (Mosby, Damani), PENALTY KU offside defense (Armstrong, D.) 5 yards to the OSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+4
4.8%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+10
4.8%
James Washington run for 10 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
4.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
4.8%
Mason Rudolph run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+1
4.8%
Chris Carson run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
4.8%
Zach Sinor punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Fish Smithson at the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
6.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 9 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
6.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 2 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
6.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
6.0%
Denzell Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+5
5.9%
Cozart, Montell pass incomplete to Sims, Steven, PENALTY OSU offside defense (Owens, Jarrell) 5 yards to the KU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+1
5.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+12
5.9%
Cole Moos punt for 53 yds , Barry Sanders returns for 12 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0093% → 94%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
6.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 4 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+22
6.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Justice Hill for 22 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
6.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+8
6.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Zac Veatch for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+8
6.5%
Rennie Childs run for 8 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
6.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jhajuan Seales, broken up by Mike LeeSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-10
6.5%
Hill, Justice rush for 15 yards to the KU10 (Stewart, B.), PENALTY OSU holding (Wilson, Michael) 10 yards to the KU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+9
6.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 9 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-6
6.5%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Fish Smithson for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 32 Mason Rudolph fumbled, recovered by Kans Fish Smithson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
8.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 68 yds for a TD OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0391% → 92%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
8.7%
Rudolph, Mason pass complete to Childs, Rennie for 6 yards to the OSU33 (Smithson, Fish;Lee, Mike), PENALTY OSU holding (Salako, Victor) 10 yards to the OSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+47
8.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 47 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
8.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
8.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Barry Sanders for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+32
9.6%
Justice Hill run for 32 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.2%
Chris Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:569% → 12%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
8.9%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
8.9%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
8.9%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
9.0%
Taylor Martin rush for 4 yards to the KU40 (Burton, Jordan), PENALTY KU holding (Banks, D'Andre) 10 yards to the KU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+15
8.9%
Cozart, Montell pass complete to Sims, Steven for 18 yards to the KU44, PENALTY OSU pass interference declined, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Leveni, Vili) 15 yards to the KU41, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
9.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 11 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
9.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 8 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+25
9.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 25 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
11.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 6 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
11.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 1 yd to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-4
11.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
12.2%
Matthew Wyman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
12.0%
Justice Hill run for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
11.6%
Mason Rudolph sacked by DeeIsaac Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
12.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
12.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:13
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
12.7%
Zach Sinor punt for 50 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
13.0%
Taylor Martin run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+8
12.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 8 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-11
12.5%
3rd and 7, PENALTY KU personal foul (Rhodes, Jayson) 11 yards to the KU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 18
OWN 12
0
12.5%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
12.3%
Cole Moos punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:2087% → 87%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
12.6%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
12.6%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
12.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 1 yd to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-5
12.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, delay of game (Mason Rudolph) to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
13.0%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+12
13.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 12 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
13.1%
Ben Grogan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:2916% → 20%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
15.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 10 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
16.4%
Taylor Martin run for 8 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+26
16.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 26 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
17.2%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
17.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Ashton LampkinSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+3
16.6%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
19.6%
Matthew Wyman 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:3481% → 88%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
18.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 39 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
16.5%
Austin Hays pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 22 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
16.3%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.3%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.7%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:3014% → 14%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
14.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
14.3%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+4
13.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
14.1%
Cole Moos punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Barry Sanders at the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5587% → 86%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
13.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Chris CarsonSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
13.5%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Dorance Armstrong Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+7
15.0%
Chris Carson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
14.5%
Zach Sinor punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:0514% → 15%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
14.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+16
15.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 16 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
15.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 8 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
16.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez, broken up by Chad WhitenerSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+5
16.2%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+59
16.5%
Matthew Wyman 59 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Motekiai MaileSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 19
OWN 49
-2
14.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
16.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+12
16.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 12 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
16.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Kans 26 Ke'aun Kinner fumbled, forced by Vincent Taylor, recovered by OKSt Devante AveretteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:4486% → 90%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
14.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
14.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+8
15.1%
Mason Rudolph run for 8 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
14.2%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Daniel Wise for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+3
14.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
10.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Carson for 15 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3310% → 26%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
10.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 14 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
10.8%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+19
11.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 19 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
11.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Ben Johnson for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
11.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+13
11.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 13 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
12.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
12.1%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+9
11.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 9 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
26.0%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0081% → 78%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-9
19.5%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Anthony Olobia for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 19
OWN 24
0
20.5%
James Washington run for no gain to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 19
OWN 24
+3
21.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Rennie Childs for 3 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
22.1%
Zach Sinor punt for 53 yds, downed at the Kans 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
21.4%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+27
20.3%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted DeQuinton Osborne return for 27 yds to the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
9.7%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0011% → 12%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.3%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
11.3%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
11.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
12.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
11.9%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted Jordan Sterns return for 21 yds to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0790% → 93%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
10.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+2
10.1%
Barry Sanders run for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
10.5%
Jalen McCleskey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
6.7%
Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 71 yds · 1:588% → 9%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
7.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 54 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
9.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+13
9.9%
Montell Cozart run for 13 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the OKSt 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.9%
Montell Cozart pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
9.5%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
8.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FG
12 plays · 89 yds · 4:0094% → 96%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
5.6%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+23
5.7%
Justice Hill run for 23 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
5.5%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
5.6%
Chris Carson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+9
5.3%
Justice Hill run for 9 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
5.1%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
5.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Chris Lacy for 11 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
5.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 35 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
4.7%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
4.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
4.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
3.7%
Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
3.8%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+2
3.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
3.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
3.8%
Cole Moos punt for 66 yds, downed at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:0597% → 99%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
3.5%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+7
3.4%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
3.4%
Chris Carson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+7
3.3%
Chris Carson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
3.1%
Justice Hill run for 26 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
3.0%
Chris Carson run for 14 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
0.6%
Chris Carson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
0.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 8 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
0.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 4 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Bobby Hartzog Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
0.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 3 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Bobby Hartzog Jr.Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr., broken up by Chad WhitenerSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+4
0.8%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.5%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
0.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
0.5%
Jeff Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
0.5%
Jeff Carr run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:24
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q3 3:25
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q2 2:47
Justice Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
-4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com