Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 49 at Iowa State 19

ISU
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:04 · Billy Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IOWAST 33 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, kick catching interference (Sean Walters) to the IowSt 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Home team on offense−4.1Pregame prior−15.8Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:56: Mike Molina kickoff for 62 yds , Kene Nwangwu return for 97 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +3.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:47: Skyler Howard pass complete to Marcus Simms for 48 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +6.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:06: Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 71 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +9.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:32: Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +11.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:37: Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 40 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +4.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:18ISU 4th & 9 at WVU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:16WVU 4th & 1 at ISU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:56WVU 4th & 14 at ISU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:43ISU 4th & 10 at WVU 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:09ISU 4th & 4 at WVU 39, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:12ISU 4th & 15 at WVU 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−5.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:04WVU 4th & 17 at WVU 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:07ISU 4th & 1 at WVU 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−3.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:07ISU 4th & 9 at WVU 40, down 5
    Close callPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    32.0%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:55ISU 4th & 6 at WVU 44, down 5
    Close callPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:50ISU 4th & 12 at WVU 13, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:50WVU 4th & 20 at WVU 27, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:18ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:37WVU 4th & 8 at ISU 44, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:01WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:10WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:56ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:47WVU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:06WVU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:32WVU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:37WVU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:23WVU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
25.6%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
25.6%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
25.6%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
25.6%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-5
25.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
25.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:5627% → 28%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
50
+26
26.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 26 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
26.7%
Park, Jacob pass complete to Ryen, Trever for 9 yards to the WVU15, out-of-bounds (Tyler, Jeremy), PENALTY ISU holding (Daley, Dondre) 10 yards to the WVU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 20
OPP 34
0
26.6%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 20
OPP 34
-8
26.6%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 28
OPP 42
+19
26.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 19 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
26.6%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
27.7%
Cole Netten 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1573% → 73%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
27.4%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
27.4%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
27.4%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
27.6%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
27.4%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
27.4%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+34
27.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 34 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
27.6%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+17
27.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 17 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
28.1%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
28.2%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-2
28.2%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 46 Mike Warren fumbled, forced by Justin Arndt, recovered by WVirg Christian BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:1472% → 75%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
28.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+50
27.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 50 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
27.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 3Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
29.0%
Skyler Howard run for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
28.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
28.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
28.2%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+1
28.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-7
28.4%
Skyler Howard sacked by Jarnor Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
29.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:0330% → 32%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
29.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 12 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
29.6%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+67
29.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 67 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
31.4%
Jacob Park run for no gain to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
31.4%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
30.8%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
32.2%
Cole Netten 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:4369% → 68%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.2%
Elijah Wellman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
31.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 30 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Shelton Gibson) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+17
31.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 17 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
30.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
31.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-5
31.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+10
31.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 10 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+27
31.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 49 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 27 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:4133% → 34%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
32.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
32.4%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+7
32.1%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+17
32.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 17 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
34.1%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
34.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever Ryen, broken up by Kyzir WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
34.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
33.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:3669% → 76%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
31.1%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
31.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Daikiel Shorts) to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+15
32.4%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to White, Ka'Raun, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Edwards, Evrett) 15 yards to the WVU48, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
30.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+48
24.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Marcus Simms for 48 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 3:2926% → 29%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
25.9%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+12
26.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
27.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+11
27.7%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
28.4%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+25
28.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 25 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
28.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
28.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+5
27.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
26.6%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
28.9%
Cole Netten 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
30.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 12 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
30.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
30.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 15 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
29.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
29.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-2
30.4%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 12
OWN 35
-5
31.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+22
31.7%
Billy Kinney punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IOWAST 33 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, kick catching interference (Sean Walters) to the IowSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:5231% → 29%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
31.1%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
31.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+4
31.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 4 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
30.4%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
32.0%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
31.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
31.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete, broken up by Sean WaltersSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
28.9%
Colin Downing punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
30.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Martell PettawaySimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+6
30.3%
Elijah Wellman run for 6 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+23
30.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 23 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
32.1%
David Montgomery run for 15 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
34.6%
Park, Jacob pass complete to Ryen, Trever for 18 yards to the WVU30, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ISU face mask (Daley, Dondre) 15 yards to the ISU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 25
OWN 37
+3
31.5%
Jacob Park run for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 22
OWN 40
0
31.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 22
OWN 40
+16
30.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 16 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
32.3%
Colin Downing punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:3871% → 81%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
29.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 9 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+71
19.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 71 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:0421% → 24%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
21.1%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+41
21.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 41 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
23.4%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
23.4%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+7
22.3%
Jacob Park run for 7 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
23.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
23.4%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Jeremy TylerSimilar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
21.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Mitchell HargerSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+31
24.1%
Cole Netten 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
23.4%
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
22.6%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-8
22.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 18
OWN 29
-2
24.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 20
OWN 27
0
24.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 20
OWN 27
-2
25.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 44 yds , Trever Ryen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0524% → 22%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
24.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Noble NwachukwuSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+22
22.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 22 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
24.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever Ryen, broken up by Rasul DouglasSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
24.3%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
22.8%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
21.8%
Colin Downing punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:2477% → 92%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+38
22.9%
Skyler Howard run for 38 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
20.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Marcus Simms for 17 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
20.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+12
19.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 12 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
19.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 8 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+7
19.8%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
19.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Martell Pettaway) to the IowSt 6Similar
Q3 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
19.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
7.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 58 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
12.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+46
12.7%
David Montgomery run for 46 yds to the WVirg 12 David Montgomery fumbled, forced by Rasul Douglas, recovered by WVirg Maurice FlemingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 3:0392% → 98%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
8.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+23
8.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 23 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
7.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
7.4%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+25
6.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Martell Pettaway for 25 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
5.6%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+40
1.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 40 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
2.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 6 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
2.7%
David Montgomery run for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
2.8%
Jacob Park run for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 47 Jacob Park fumbled, recovered by WVirg Noble NwachukwuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:1499% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
1.5%
Elijah Wellman run for 5 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Vernell Trent) to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
1.4%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+23
1.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 23 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
1.3%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Trevon Wesco for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
0.3%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
0.2%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+16
0.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 16 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
0.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 9 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
0.3%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
0.3%
Jacob Park sacked by Darrien Howard for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+6
0.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+7
0.1%
Jacob Park pass intercepted Rasul Douglas return for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
0.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 15 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
0.2%
Chris Chugunov pass complete to Marcus Simms for 11 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
0.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-1
0.2%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
0.2%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Marcus SimmsSimilar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
0.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 82 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
0.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 12 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
0.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for 13 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
0.1%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+22
0.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Justin Chandler for 22 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
0.1%
Mitchell Harger run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+11
0.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 11 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
0.1%
Mitchell Harger run for 8 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
0.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by Toyous AverySimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+13
0.1%
Mitchell Harger run for 13 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:32
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q3 12:06
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 71 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-9.9
TD · Q2 9:47
Skyler Howard pass complete to Marcus Simms for 48 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com