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ISU

Iowa State 31 at Kansas 24

KU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:08 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:35: Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 4 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +11.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 54%).
  2. FG · Q3 10:35: Matthew Wyman 37 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +9.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:58: Ke'aun Kinner run for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +20.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:10: Mitchell Harger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ISU win probability +24.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 12:03: Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ISU win probability +22.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 7 at KU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:14ISU 4th & 5 at KU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:08KU 4th & 6 at KU 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:56KU 4th & 2 at ISU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:17ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:57ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:24KU 4th & 2 at ISU 37, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−2.0
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:16ISU 4th & 1 at KU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−2.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:20KU 4th & 16 at ISU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35KU 4th & 11 at ISU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−7.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 11 at KU 37, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:57KU 4th & 4 at ISU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−3.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:48ISU 4th & 10 at KU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−13.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 5:24KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:57KU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:35ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:52ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:58KU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10ISU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    48.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:03ISU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    68.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
24.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
24.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+3
24.4%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
24.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Deshaunte Jones, broken up by Courtney ArnickSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
24.4%
Colin Downing punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 8 , LaQuvionte Gonzalez returns for no gain to the Kans 8 LaQuvionte Gonzalez fumbled, recovered by IowSt De'Monte RuthSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3075% → 75%
Q1 13:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
24.9%
Joel Lanning run for no gain to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
24.9%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.9%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
25.4%
Cole Netten 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
25.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
25.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
25.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
25.7%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
25.6%
Cole Moos punt for 38 yds , Deshaunte Jones returns for no gain to the IowSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+30
26.1%
David Montgomery run for 30 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
25.8%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 4
50
+26
25.8%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the KANSAS 39 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Stewart) to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
25.7%
Mike Warren run for 9 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
25.7%
Jacob Park pass intercepted Fish Smithson return for no gain to the Kans 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 3:3227% → 31%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
26.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+7
26.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 7 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
26.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 7 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
27.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
27.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 20 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
27.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 3 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+5
27.4%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
27.3%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+4
27.0%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
27.6%
Stanley, Carter pass incomplete to Patrick, Tyler, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Wiltz, Jomal) 14 yards to the ISU15, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
27.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 8 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
27.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+1
26.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
31.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
30.4%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
30.2%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-4
30.5%
Jacob Park sacked by Isaiah Bean for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
31.1%
Colin Downing punt for 47 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 3:5831% → 40%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
31.3%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
31.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 7 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
31.3%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
31.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
31.8%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
31.8%
Taylor Martin run for 5 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
32.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 22 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
32.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+10
32.5%
Carter Stanley run for 10 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
32.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+11
32.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 11 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
32.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 2 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.0%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
38.4%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
38.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 2 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
39.1%
Colin Downing punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaQuvionte Gonzalez at the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:3243% → 46%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
42.5%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+13
42.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 13 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
43.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Taylor Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+10
43.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 10 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
43.0%
Taylor Martin run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
43.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Shakiem Barbel for 8 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
43.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 37
0
43.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jeremiah BookerSimilar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
45.6%
Carter Stanley punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:4156% → 61%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
43.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
43.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
43.0%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
42.7%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+10
43.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
50
+8
41.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 8 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
41.5%
Jacob Park run for no gain to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
41.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
42.9%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
41.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+32
50.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 32 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
48.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
48.6%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
39.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 4 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 2:0544% → 47%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
44.0%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+9
44.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 9 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
46.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 8 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+24
46.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 24 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
49.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Michael Zunica, broken up by Willie HarveySimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
49.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem Barbel, broken up by D'Andre PayneSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-6
47.8%
Carter Stanley sacked by Spencer Benton for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 16
OPP 29
+46
46.5%
Matthew Wyman 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
49.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 13 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
47.7%
Park, Jacob pass incomplete to Harms, Sam, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Harms, Sam) 15 yards to the ISU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 25
OWN 27
+4
49.7%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 21
OWN 31
+9
50.0%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:2546% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.9%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
46.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 10 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
47.7%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+22
48.3%
Taylor Martin run for 22 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
49.5%
Taylor Martin run for 1 yd to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
49.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+13
48.0%
Taylor Martin run for 13 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
49.5%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+2
49.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-6
48.3%
Ke'aun Kinner run for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
57.5%
Matthew Wyman 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4344% → 57%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.3%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
56.5%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Tevin ShawSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
55.0%
David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
53.2%
David Montgomery run for 18 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
51.0%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
50.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 8 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
50.4%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+16
50.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Kene Nwangwu for 16 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
50.4%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the Kans 2 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Patrick Scoggins) to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
43.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 12 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:4850% → 74%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
49.6%
Ke'aun Kinner run for no gain to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
49.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to LaQuvionte GonzalezSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+29
47.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ke'aun Kinner for 29 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
53.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
53.8%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 5 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+39
74.2%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:3932% → 53%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
68.1%
David Montgomery run for 14 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
67.2%
Mitchell Harger run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+13
64.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 13 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
64.3%
Mitchell Harger run for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+17
61.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 17 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
61.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 7 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
61.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 4 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
61.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 2 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.9%
Mitchell Harger run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
71.5%
Harger, M. rush for 1 yard to the KU0, clock 00:14, PENALTY ISU illegal shift 5 yards to the KU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
47.4%
Mitchell Harger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0455% → 52%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
54.8%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
54.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 9 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.5%
Taylor Martin run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
55.9%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
53.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Steven Sims Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
52.0%
Cole Moos punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:2847% → 76%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
53.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
50.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+46
48.0%
David Montgomery run for 46 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
46.5%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.4%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:0034% → 36%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
33.5%
Ke'aun Kinner run for 12 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
34.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+6
34.1%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
36.1%
Taylor Martin run for 3 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
36.9%
Taylor Martin run for 6 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
38.1%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
38.7%
Taylor Martin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
38.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Shakiem BarbelSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+4
37.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to LaQuvionte Gonzalez for 4 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+3
35.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 3 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20FG
16 plays · 42 yds · 5:3376% → 91%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
24.2%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+7
27.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
24.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 11 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
23.2%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
21.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+10
21.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
20.6%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+2
20.4%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
21.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
20.4%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
20.6%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+1
13.9%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
9.4%
Cole Netten 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
18.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Steven Sims Jr. for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
18.1%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Jomal Wiltz return for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -14 yds · 0:0092% → 90%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
8.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 15
OWN 33
-5
9.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 20
OWN 28
-4
10.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:10
Mitchell Harger run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-24.1
TD · Q4 12:03
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-22.1
TD · Q3 4:58
Ke'aun Kinner run for 39 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)
+20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com