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Oklahoma 34 at Iowa State 24

ISU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2016 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-4.9ISU 4.8%Austin Seibert 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 34 - HOME 24 · Q4 7:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:05 · Austin Seibert 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior−6.8Home team on offense−34.6Score differential−9.9Garbage-time factor−10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:30: Joel Lanning run for 41 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +6.6 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:16: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 65 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +6.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:06: Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +5.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:04: Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +14.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:05: Austin Seibert 35 yd FG GOOD — OU win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:27ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:22ISU 4th & 10 at OU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:15OU 4th & 5 at ISU 32, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:03ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:23OU 4th & 5 at OU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:30ISU 4th & 2 at OU 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−1.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    21.6%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:26ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:27ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:00OU 4th & 1 at ISU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−1.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:50OU 4th & 7 at ISU 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:03ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:50OU 4th & 18 at OU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:05OU 4th & 4 at ISU 18, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%−0.5
    79% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−8.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:02ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 37, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:31OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:22OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:15ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:30ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:16OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:06OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:04ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:1991% → 91%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
8.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Nick Basquine for 5 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
8.9%
Dimitri Flowers run for 8 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
9.1%
Abdul Adams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 9
50
0
9.2%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 9
50
+12
9.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 12 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
9.3%
Abdul Adams run for 32 yds to the IowSt 6 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
9.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
9.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:559% → 10%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.3%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
9.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Sam Harms for 6 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
9.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
9.7%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+4
9.6%
Jacob Park run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
9.7%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:1790% → 90%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
9.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 11 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
10.0%
Abdul Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 13
OWN 26
-1
10.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Brian Peavy for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+17
10.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 17 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
10.2%
Adams, Abdul rush for 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA43, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Wren, Erick) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+7
10.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Abdul Adams for 7 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
10.5%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Jhaustin Thomas return for no gain to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3611% → 13%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
11.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 8 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+4
11.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 4 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
11.5%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+11
11.7%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
11.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Nick Fett) to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
11.9%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
12.2%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 4:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
12.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q1 4:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
12.6%
Cole Netten 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5488% → 89%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
12.5%
Dimitri Flowers run for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
12.5%
Baker Mayfield run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+21
12.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 21 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
12.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Nick Basquine for 5 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+5
12.5%
Abdul Adams run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
12.7%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
11.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:4511% → 17%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
11.3%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
11.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 15 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
11.7%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
11.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Sam HarmsSimilar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+12
11.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
12.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for no gain to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
12.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 9 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+4
12.5%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
12.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
13.1%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+31
17.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 31 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4585% → 84%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
15.1%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
15.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 6 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-4
15.5%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
16.5%
Austin Seibert 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5617% → 17%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
17.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 5 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
18.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for no gain to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
16.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
16.6%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3283% → 82%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
16.7%
Dimitri Flowers run for 5 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
16.9%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
17.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+26
18.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 50 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 26 yds to the Okla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:4020% → 26%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
19.6%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
19.8%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
20.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+41
26.2%
Joel Lanning run for 41 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
17.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 65 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3719% → 19%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
18.9%
David Montgomery run for 14 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
19.4%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
20.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
20.5%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
19.4%
Colin Downing punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:1982% → 89%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
18.5%
Abdul Adams run for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
18.1%
Abdul Adams run for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
18.0%
Abdul Adams run for 3 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+9
18.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Nick Basquine for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
50
0
18.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
50
0
18.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
50
+22
18.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 22 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
16.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Nick Basquine for 17 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
10.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2313% → 13%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
13.2%
Jacob Park sacked by Caleb Kelly for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
13.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Sam HarmsSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
12.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 7 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
12.6%
Colin Downing punt for 47 yds , Dede Westbrook returns for 5 yds to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 7:2587% → 91%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
13.3%
Dimitri Flowers run for 6 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
12.8%
Dimitri Flowers run for 6 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
12.7%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Kane Seeley for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 19
OWN 35
+13
13.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 13 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+7
12.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 7 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
12.5%
Dimitri Flowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+15
12.8%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Flowers, Dimitri, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference (Harvey, Willie) 15 yards to the IOWAST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
12.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 14 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
12.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
12.0%
Dimitri Flowers run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
11.9%
Jarvis Baxter run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
12.0%
Dimitri Flowers run for 1 yd to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+4
13.0%
Dimitri Flowers run for 4 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
11.6%
Dimitri Flowers run for 5 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
11.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-2
11.9%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
8.6%
Austin Seibert 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2710% → 9%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
10.0%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
9.9%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
9.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
9.0%
Colin Downing punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dede Westbrook at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:0592% → 93%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
8.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 5 yds to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+6
8.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 6 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
7.7%
Dimitri Flowers run for 10 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
7.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 4 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
7.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-5
6.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Dru Samia) to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-7
6.9%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Willie Harvey and Spencer Benton for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 18
OWN 29
-2
7.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 45 yds , Allen Lazard returns for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 27 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the IowSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 2:408% → 25%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
8.4%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
8.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
8.6%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
8.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 8 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+25
9.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
10.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+17
9.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 17 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
10.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
10.4%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+23
25.1%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:4082% → 95%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
17.9%
Dimitri Flowers run for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+11
18.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 11 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
16.5%
Dimitri Flowers run for 5 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
16.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 9 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
15.0%
Dimitri Flowers run for 7 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+3
13.6%
Dimitri Flowers run for 3 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
13.1%
Dimitri Flowers run for 3 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+9
12.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Geno Lewis for 9 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
12.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 6 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
12.6%
Baker Mayfield pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
9.8%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the IowSt 18Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
4.8%
Austin Seibert 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4811% → 8%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
10.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for 8 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
9.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 7 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
9.3%
Mitchell Harger run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
8.8%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
8.4%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
7.6%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:1597% → 99%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
3.3%
Dimitri Flowers run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+13
3.2%
Dimitri Flowers run for 13 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
2.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 15
OPP 26
-1
2.8%
Dimitri Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+13
2.4%
Dimitri Flowers run for 13 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+4
2.1%
Dimitri Flowers run for 4 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
1.6%
Dimitri Flowers run for 6 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:04
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+14
TD · Q2 4:16
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 65 yds for a TD, (Austin Seibert KICK)
-6.7
TD · Q2 4:30
Joel Lanning run for 41 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com