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KSU

Kansas State 31 at Iowa State 26

ISU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:33 · Jacob Park pass incomplete to David Montgomery
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−25.2Pregame prior−2.7Score differential−12.5Garbage-time factor−9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:08: Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +11.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:24: Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:27: Alex Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK) — KSU win probability +8.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:15: Joel Lanning run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +10.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:51: Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +12.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12KSU 4th & 6 at ISU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:23ISU 4th & 7 at KSU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:03ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:03ISU 4th & 8 at KSU 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:10KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:20ISU 4th & 2 at KSU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:09KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−3.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:33ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:47ISU 4th & 19 at KSU 31, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−2.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:55KSU 4th & 17 at KSU 35, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:51ISU 4th & 2 at KSU 5, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:24KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:03KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:08ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:24KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:27KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:15ISU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:51ISU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
34.8%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-1
34.8%
Joel Lanning run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
34.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
34.8%
Colin Downing punt for 38 yds , Byron Pringle returns for no gain to the KanSt 24 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:2365% → 64%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
35.3%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
35.2%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+54
35.3%
Jesse Ertz run for 54 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
35.1%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
35.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 6Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.1%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron PringleSimilar
Q1 13:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
35.2%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
36.2%
Matthew McCrane 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:4936% → 39%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
36.6%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.5%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
36.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 9 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+26
36.6%
Joel Lanning run for 26 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
37.0%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+2
37.0%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+9
36.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 9 yds to the KanSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
37.0%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the KanSt 9Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
37.0%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
38.9%
Cole Netten 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5962% → 67%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
38.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 11 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
38.0%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 1 yd to the KanSt 37Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
38.1%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+13
38.4%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
50
+9
37.4%
Justin Silmon run for 9 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
37.3%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
37.4%
Jesse Ertz run for 2 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
37.4%
Justin Silmon run for 8 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
37.0%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
37.4%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
37.0%
Byron Pringle run for 4 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+12
37.8%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 12 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
32.9%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
34.7%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
35.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.1%
Jacob Park pass intercepted Duke Shelley return for no gain to the KanSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:1466% → 75%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
34.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 9 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+3
33.8%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
34.2%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 22 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
33.2%
Justin Silmon run for 12 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
32.9%
Silmon, Justin rush for loss of 1 yard to the ISU41 (Jones, Deshaunte;Harvey, Willie), PENALTY ISU offside defense (Harvey, Willie) 5 yards to the ISU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+5
32.7%
Ertz, Jesse pass incomplete to Pringle, Byron, PENALTY ISU offside defense (Bailey, JaQuan) 5 yards to the ISU30, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
32.8%
Alex Delton run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
32.7%
Alex Delton run for 4 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
33.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 3 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
32.8%
Justin Silmon run for 6 yds to the IowSt 12Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+9
32.8%
Justin Silmon run for 9 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.3%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:0026% → 28%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
27.0%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
27.0%
Jacob Park run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+11
26.7%
Jacob Park run for 11 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
27.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for no gain to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
27.6%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler, broken up by DJ ReedSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
27.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
27.9%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
27.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
27.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+35
27.5%
Colin Downing punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 11 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (5 Yards) to the KanSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
24.8%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 5 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+5
24.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 5 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
24.2%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
24.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 7 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
24.4%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
24.1%
Jesse Ertz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
24.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Corey Sutton for 12 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
23.4%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Kamari Cotton-MoyaSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
23.5%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
23.6%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dominique Heath, broken up by D'Andre PayneSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+14
24.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds , D'Andre Payne returns for 14 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3223% → 23%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-11
23.0%
Park, Jacob pass complete to Lazard, Allen for 14 yards to the ISU38 (Adams, Kendall), PENALTY ISU personal foul (Seda, Brian) 11 yards to the ISU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 21
OWN 13
+12
22.6%
Mike Warren run for 12 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+23
23.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 23 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-17
22.9%
Jacob Park sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 17 yards to the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:5124% → 36%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
23.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+6
24.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 6 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
23.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Patrick Scoggins) to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
23.3%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+6
23.2%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+14
23.7%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 14 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
24.5%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
36.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:3970% → 87%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
30.5%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-2
30.6%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 15Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+12
31.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 12 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
29.8%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+14
29.8%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 14 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.1%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
28.5%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+28
30.2%
Jesse Ertz run for 13 yds to the IOWAST 48 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (Brian Mills) to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
27.3%
Jesse Ertz run for 12 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
27.1%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 22Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+13
27.3%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Deante Burton for 13 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
27.1%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.1%
Jesse Ertz run for no gain to the IowSt 1Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.9%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:0016% → 18%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+39
16.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Carson Epps for 39 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
18.8%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
18.5%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+7
18.1%
Jacob Park run for 7 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
18.2%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Sam Seonbuchner, broken up by Dante BarnettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0587% → 98%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
12.6%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
11.0%
Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
11.0%
Alex Barnes run for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
10.8%
Jesse Ertz run for 25 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
10.4%
Alex Barnes run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
2.0%
Alex Barnes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ian Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:064% → 15%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
4.3%
David Montgomery run for 13 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
4.4%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+48
4.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 48 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
5.1%
Joel Lanning run for 6 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
5.1%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
15.4%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
7.9%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for 13 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
7.8%
Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-1
7.9%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
8.1%
Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Jomal WiltzSimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
8.3%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 54 yds, fair catch by D'Andre Payne at the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 77 yds · 0:3712% → 11%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
12.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to David Montgomery for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, illegal block (Allen Lazard) to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
13.2%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
9.5%
Mike Warren run for 8 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+28
10.2%
Joel Lanning run for 28 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
12.0%
David Montgomery run for 13 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
12.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+10
12.0%
Deshaunte Jones pass complete to Jacob Park for 10 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.0%
Joel Lanning run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.0%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.3%
Joel Lanning run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
11.1%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
5.8%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
10.3%
Jacob Park run for 15 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
11.4%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 24 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
14.6%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
14.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-9
12.3%
Jacob Park sacked by Charmeachealle Moore and Elijah Lee for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 19
OPP 31
0
9.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard IOWA ST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:0096% → 97%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
4.5%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+6
4.4%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
4.2%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-6
4.2%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 15
OWN 37
-2
2.9%
Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 17
OWN 35
+14
2.8%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 55 yds , D'Andre Payne returns for 14 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 1:493% → 17%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
3.2%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
3.4%
Park, Jacob pass incomplete to Daley, Dondre, PENALTY KS pass interference (Reed, D.J.) 15 yards to the KS49, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Trever RyenSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
3.6%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 8 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+7
3.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Trever Ryen for 7 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
4.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 21 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
5.3%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
5.3%
Jacob Park pass complete to Dondre Daley for 8 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
4.5%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte Jones, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+5
16.5%
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:24
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
-14.2
TD · Q4 0:51
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+12
TD · Q3 12:08
Jacob Park pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com