Try the model
EKU

Eastern Kentucky 24 at Purdue 45

PUR
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Markell Jones run for no gain to the EKent 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+28.8Home team on offense+6.2Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:31: James Smith Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Gelen Robinson return for 78 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +3.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:04: David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 35 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +4.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:07: Lucas Williams 35 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +3.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:04: Ethan Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK) — EKU win probability +6.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:48: David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8EKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 8:16PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at EKU 6, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−4.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:36EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 9, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:07EKU 4th & 2 at PUR 17, down 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.5%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:44PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:35EKU 4th & 19 at EKU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00EKU 4th & 2 at EKU 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:08PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 27, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:24EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46PUR 4th & 6 at EKU 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:42EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 11, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:16PUR 4th & 6 at EKU 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:41EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 14, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:48EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:20PUR 4th & 2 at EKU 39, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:56PUR 4th & 6 at EKU 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:23EKU 4th & 2 at EKU 42, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:04PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:13PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:31PUR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:50EKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:04PUR Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:04EKU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:48PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:23PUR Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:34EKU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:5686% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
86.3%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
86.3%
Markell Jones run for 23 yds to the EKent 30 Markell Jones fumbled, forced by Kiante Northington, recovered by Prdue Markell Jones for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
86.3%
David Blough pass complete to Tario Fuller for 27 yds to the EKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.2%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
86.1%
Maty Mauk run for no gain to the EKent 19Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
86.1%
Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the EKent 20Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+17
86.1%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Leroy Clark return for 17 yds to the EKent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:3886% → 87%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
86.2%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 14 yds to the EKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
86.2%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the EKent 6Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
86.2%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the EKent 1Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
86.6%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the EKent 23Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
86.6%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+10
86.6%
Maty Mauk pass complete to James Smith Jr. for 10 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
86.5%
Ethan Thomas run for 15 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
86.4%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EKent 46Similar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+13
86.5%
Maty Mauk run for 13 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
86.4%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the Prdue 41 Ethan Thomas fumbled, recovered by Prdue Eddy WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.4%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
87.3%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 2 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
87.2%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Jared TuckerSimilar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
87.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6INT TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:1413% → 10%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.0%
Ethan Thomas run for 6 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
87.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 10 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.9%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the EKent 36Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
86.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 11 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
86.8%
Ethan Thomas run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
86.7%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to James Smith Jr.Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+10
86.8%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dan Paul for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
86.7%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
86.7%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+15
86.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to James Smith Jr. for 15 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
86.4%
Henry Enyenihi run for 8 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+78
89.6%
James Smith Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Gelen Robinson return for 78 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:4110% → 14%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+26
90.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 26 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
89.8%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
89.9%
Daryl Mcclesky run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+17
89.9%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Matt Clark for 17 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
89.6%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 11 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
89.6%
Daryl Mcclesky run for 1 yd to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
89.6%
Bennie Coney run for 2 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
86.4%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dan Crimmins for 10 yds for a TD, (N. Creamer Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:5088% → 88%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
88.3%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 12 yds to the EKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
88.4%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
88.6%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
88.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 7 yds to the EKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
88.6%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the EKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
88.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
88.6%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 6 yds to the EKent 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
88.4%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the EKent 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
88.1%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the EKent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
87.3%
Ethan Thomas run for 3 yds to the EKent 9Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
87.4%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the EKent 9Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
87.5%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
87.6%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:2089% → 94%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
50
+1
89.2%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 1 yd to the EKent 49Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
89.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+14
88.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 14 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
93.6%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 35 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 3:577% → 11%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.3%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
93.4%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 3 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+10
93.4%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 10 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.1%
Ethan Thomas run for 5 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
92.9%
Ethan Thomas run for 6 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
93.0%
PURDUE Penalty, illegal participation (5 Yards) to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+3
92.7%
Bennie Coney run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+10
92.7%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 10 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
92.8%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+3
92.4%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
92.7%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
92.4%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 7 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
92.4%
Kentayvus Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
92.8%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Clayton SchmerberSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
89.4%
Lucas Williams 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.4%
David Blough pass complete to Tario Fuller for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
91.4%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
91.6%
David Blough pass complete to Tario Fuller for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
91.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
91.3%
David Blough pass intercepted Nigel Bethel return for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:2310% → 17%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
89.6%
Bennie Coney pass complete to James Smith Jr. for 14 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
89.2%
Daryl Mcclesky run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
89.0%
Daryl Mcclesky run for 4 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
89.5%
Bennie Coney run for 3 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
89.0%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Dan Crimmins, broken up by Jimmy HermanSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
89.2%
Henry Enyenihi run for 8 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
89.5%
Bennie Coney run for 4 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
83.0%
Ethan Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:2086% → 85%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
85.5%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 3 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
85.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
84.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+8
85.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds , Kiante Northington returns for 8 yds to the EKent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.1%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-9
85.3%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, intentional grounding (Bennie Coney) to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 19
OWN 37
0
86.5%
Bennie Coney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 19
OWN 37
0
86.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malik Kimbrough at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 1:0887% → 87%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
86.8%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+7
87.1%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
87.3%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 22 yds to the EKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
86.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+13
86.3%
David Blough run for 13 yds to the EKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
86.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+44
87.3%
J.D. Dellinger 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
84.9%
Maty Mauk run for 12 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
84.4%
Henry Enyenihi run for 5 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
83.8%
Henry Enyenihi run for 2 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
83.9%
Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
84.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
86.2%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
86.2%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
85.8%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+8
85.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 41 yds , Kiante Northington returns for 8 yds to the EKent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
85.0%
Maty Mauk run for 6 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
84.6%
Maty Mauk run for 1 yd to the EKent 47Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-2
84.7%
Ethan Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
86.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 49 yds, downed at the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
86.0%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 11 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
86.3%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+8
86.3%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
86.4%
Cameron Posey run for 4 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 0
0
86.2%
Blough, David pass incomplete, PENALTY PUR holding off-setting, PENALTY EKU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+22
86.7%
Markell Jones run for 22 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
87.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
87.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips, broken up by Aaron PatrickSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+4
86.7%
David Blough pass complete to Jarrett Burgess for 4 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
86.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds, downed at the EKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
86.5%
Ethan Thomas run for no gain to the EKent 2Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
86.6%
Bennie Coney run for 2 yds to the EKent 4Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+7
87.3%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Cameron Fogle for 7 yds to the EKent 11Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 1
OWN 11
-3
87.5%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 44 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
87.9%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
88.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+9
87.2%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
88.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
88.0%
Tario Fuller run for 4 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
87.5%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Avery PittSimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
86.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 35 yds, downed at the EKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
87.0%
Ethan Thomas run for 2 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
87.1%
Ethan Thomas run for 5 yds to the EKent 12Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+2
87.6%
Bennie Coney run for 2 yds to the EKent 14Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 1
OWN 14
0
88.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Malik Kimbrough at the Prdue 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:4189% → 97%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
88.5%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
88.7%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+9
88.0%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
89.5%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
89.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+19
88.9%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 19 yds to the EKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
89.7%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 15 yds to the EKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
89.7%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the EKent 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the EKent 1Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.8%
David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.1%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to James Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
96.2%
Daryl Mcclesky run for no gain to the EKent 23Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+5
96.2%
Maty Mauk run for 5 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 28
-3
96.2%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 48 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 6:2497% → 99%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
96.7%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+11
96.8%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
97.0%
Tario Fuller run for 6 yds to the EKent 47 Tario Fuller fumbled, forced by Sheldon Fleming, recovered by Prdue Jason King for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
97.0%
Richie Worship run for 5 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
97.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+3
96.9%
David Blough pass complete to Richie Worship for 3 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+9
96.7%
Richie Worship run for 9 yds to the EKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
97.0%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+9
97.0%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the EKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
97.0%
Richie Worship run for 2 yds to the EKent 15Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
97.0%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the EKent 13Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
98.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
99.2%
J.D. Dellinger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 27INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Josh Hayes return for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:1799% → 100%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 6 yds to the EKent 48Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+48
99.9%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 48 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 29TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 2:490% → 1%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Henry Enyenihi run for 4 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Henry Enyenihi run for 8 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Ryan Markush for 8 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Ryan Markush, broken up by Kamal HardySimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Ryan MarkushSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Tyler Swafford pass complete to Devin Borders for 5 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Tyler Swafford pass complete to Devin Borders for 8 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+26
99.9%
Tyler Swafford pass complete to Ryan Markush for 26 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Tyler Swafford pass complete to Neiko Creamer for 5 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+12
99.9%
SWAFFORD, Tyler pass incomplete to BORDERS, Devin, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Cason, Tim) 12 yards to the PUR2, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Tyler Swafford pass incomplete to Cameron FogleSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Tyler Swafford pass complete to Cameron Fogle for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 5 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the EKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:48
David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 2:04
Ethan Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Lucas Williams KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 10:04
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 35 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com