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ECU

East Carolina 10 at Temple 37

TEM
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:04 · Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, downed at the ECaro 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Pregame prior+30.7Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:52: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 13 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +2.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:07: Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +2.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:09: Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +3.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:21: Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi PAT BLOCKED) — TEM win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:46: Davis Plowman 41 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +2.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 7:31ECU 4th & 1 at TEM 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:02ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:04TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:00ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:29ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 4 at ECU 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:07ECU 4th & 3 at TEM 24, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:07TEM 4th & 1 at ECU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:46ECU 4th & 13 at TEM 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:19TEM 4th & 5 at ECU 18, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:09ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:25ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 23, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:52ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:38TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:07TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:09TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:21TEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:33TEM Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:0810% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
90.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 2 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
90.5%
James Summers run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
+4
90.5%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
90.5%
James Summers run for 2 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
90.5%
James Summers run for 7 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
90.5%
James Summers run for 5 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
90.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
90.5%
Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+13
90.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 13 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
90.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
88.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 13 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:0789% → 89%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
50
+4
88.5%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+44
88.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 44 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Colin ThompsonSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
88.2%
James Summers run for no gain to the ECaro 17Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
88.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+14
88.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 14 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
88.2%
James Summers run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 27Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+6
88.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 6 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+11
88.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Gardner Minshew run for no gain to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+9
88.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 9 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
88.1%
Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds, downed at the Temp 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:0787% → 86%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
86.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 3
OWN 10
+5
86.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 5 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
86.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Fred PresleySimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
86.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 14 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
86.8%
Keith Kirkwood run for 8 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
87.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.1%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
86.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-3
86.2%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
85.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds , Quay Johnson returns for no gain to the ECaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:3715% → 15%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
84.7%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
84.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+6
84.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
84.2%
James Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 21Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+3
84.3%
Gardner Minshew run for 3 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
84.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Jacob MartinSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
84.8%
Worth Gregory punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
83.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
83.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
83.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, downed at the ECaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
82.3%
Gardner Minshew run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 27 Gardner Minshew fumbled, recovered by ECaro Gardner MinshewSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+8
82.9%
James Summers run for 8 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-1
83.1%
James Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
83.4%
Worth Gregory punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 6:0383% → 87%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
82.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
83.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
83.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
83.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+22
83.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 22 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
84.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+6
84.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 6 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
84.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
84.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
84.0%
Nick Sharga run for 3 yds to the ECaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
84.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the ECaro 1Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
50
+7
83.7%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 34 Gardner Minshew fumbled, recovered by Temp Praise Martin-Oguike , return for 0 yards , return for 7 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:3987% → 91%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
87.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 28 yds to the ECaro 6 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Fred Presley) to the ECaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3310% → 9%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
90.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 2 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-8
90.0%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+6
91.0%
Devin Anderson run for 6 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
91.0%
Worth Gregory punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
91.5%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+14
91.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 14 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
91.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
91.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+10
91.6%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 10 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
92.1%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+2
92.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 2 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
91.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Devon SuttonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
91.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds, downed at the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14MISSED FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:409% → 10%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
91.5%
James Summers run for no gain to the ECaro 11Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
91.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+15
91.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 15 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
91.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 1 yd to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+8
91.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+9
90.9%
James Summers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
90.7%
Quay Johnson run for 4 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
90.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+11
90.7%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 11 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete, broken up by Praise Martin-OguikeSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
90.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 10 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay Jones, broken up by Nate HairstonSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
89.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+7
90.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 7 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
90.5%
Davis Plowman 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 5:4693% → 98%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
93.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 19 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+8
93.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+13
93.1%
Nick Sharga run for 13 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
93.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
93.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+5
93.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 5 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+4
92.9%
Nick Sharga run for 4 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
93.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+16
93.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 16 yds to the ECaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:292% → 4%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 4 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+12
98.2%
James Summers run for 12 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
98.2%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Quay Johnson) to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+4
98.3%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+37
98.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 37 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
98.1%
JOHNSON, Quay rush for loss of 2 yards to the TEM23 (ROBINSON,Averee;CHANDLER,Sean), PENALTY ECU illegal block (McGHIN, Garrett) 10 yards to the TEM31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+8
98.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 8 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 23
-1
98.2%
James Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
98.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
96.3%
Davis Plowman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 5:1697% → 99%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
97.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
97.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+9
97.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
97.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+13
97.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 13 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
97.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the ECaro 20Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
97.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 2 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
99.1%
Aaron Boumerhi 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to James Summers for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 22Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Devin Anderson for 5 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Worth Gregory punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:2899% → 100%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.2%
Keith Kirkwood run for 12 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
99.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Dayon Pratt) to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
99.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 16 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the ECaro 14Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Jager Gardner run for 14 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
James Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-6
100.0%
James Summers run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 17Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
100.0%
James Summers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Worth Gregory punt for 54 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 3 yds to the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Jager Gardner run for 6 yds to the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:21
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi PAT BLOCKED)
+4.8
TD · Q2 1:09
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q2 2:07
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com