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TULN

Tulane 38 at UConn 13

CONN
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+9.8CONN 18.6%Arkeel Newsome 62 Yd Run (Two-PointPass Conversion Failed)AWAY 24 - HOME 6 · Q3 6:55
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:55 · Arkeel Newsome 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense−21.5Score differential−13.2Garbage-time factor−6.4Pregame prior+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:02: Josh Rounds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +17.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:18: Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +13.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:55: Arkeel Newsome 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CONN win probability +9.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:55: Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +8.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:31: Donovan Williams pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 20 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:10TULN 4th & 6 at CONN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:10CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 27, down 3
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:33CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:35TULN 4th & 3 at CONN 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:19CONN 4th & 1 at TULN 12, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%−1.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:19TULN 4th & 2 at CONN 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:18CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:01TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 40, up 24
    Close callPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−2.0
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:27CONN 4th & 5 at midfield, down 24
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:57TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:55TULN 4th & 1 at CONN 1, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−2.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−7.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:33TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 7, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:21CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 39, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:22TULN 4th & 6 at CONN 35, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 0 of 2TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:33TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:02TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:18TULN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:55CONN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55TULN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:31CONN Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:21TULN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
60.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 17 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.6%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Noel Thomas for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
60.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
60.6%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
60.6%
Justin Wain punt blocked by Larry Bryant blocked by Larry BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0640% → 40%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
60.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
60.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+4
60.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
60.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
60.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 6Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
60.0%
Andrew DiRocco 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
60.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Donovan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
60.0%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 10:10
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
59.8%
Justin Wain punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3540% → 44%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
59.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+12
59.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 12 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+32
59.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 32 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
59.4%
Josh Rounds run for 8 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.4%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.4%
Noel Thomas run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
57.6%
Donovan Williams run for 1 yd to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
57.4%
Donovan Williams sacked by R. TEAMER for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
57.0%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds , Donnie Lewis Jr. returns for no gain to the Tulan 31 Donnie Lewis Jr. fumbled, recovered by Tulan Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
56.0%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+4
55.9%
Darnell Mooney run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+7
55.8%
Johnathan Brantley run for 7 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
55.5%
Josh Rounds run for 8 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
55.4%
Johnathan Brantley run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-2
55.6%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
56.0%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:5653% → 51%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+36
53.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 36 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.0%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
53.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+10
53.6%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Noel Thomas for 10 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
54.4%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Tommy Myers for 11 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
55.0%
Noel Thomas pass complete to Donovan Williams for 11 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
54.0%
Noel Thomas run for 6 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
54.0%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
53.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
51.2%
Bobby Puyol 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jarrod Franklin Jarrod Franklin return for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:1748% → 66%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
51.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+21
52.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 21 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
50.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+15
50.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 15 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
50.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
50.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 5 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+3
51.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+29
51.8%
Josh Rounds run for 29 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
33.9%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0039% → 41%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
38.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 15 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
39.9%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Noel Thomas for 5 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
40.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+7
40.0%
WILLIAMS, Don. pass incomplete to THOMAS, Noel (ALLEN, Richard), PENALTY TLN pass interference (ALLEN, Richard) 7 yards to the TLN49, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.6%
Donovan Williams pass intercepted R. TEAMER return for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 4:2166% → 79%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
34.2%
Sherman Badie run for 14 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
34.1%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+20
33.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 20 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
33.9%
Josh Rounds run for 9 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
33.9%
Josh Rounds run for no gain to the UConn 10Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
34.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
33.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
20.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
26.0%
Donovan Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
25.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
25.5%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
25.5%
Justin Wain punt for 35 yds , Donnie Lewis Jr. returns for no gain to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3078% → 82%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
21.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
21.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Sherman Badie for 3 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+1
21.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
17.9%
Zachary Block punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
20.3%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Noel Thomas for 6 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+38
20.9%
Donovan Williams pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for 38 yds to the UConn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0785% → 83%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
14.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
16.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Jamar SummersSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
16.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted, touchback. Jamar Summers return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
19.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 16 yds to the UConn 40 Arkeel Newsome fumbled, forced by R. TEAMER, recovered by Tulan Nico MarleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
16.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
17.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Josh Rounds for 9 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
16.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-14
16.7%
CUIELLETTE, G. rush for 1 yard to the TLN42 (MELIFONWU, Obi;SUMMERS, Jamar), PENALTY TLN crackback (TAYLOR, Chris) 14 yards to the TLN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+5
17.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 5 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+2
17.9%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
18.1%
Zachary Block punt for 21 yds, downed at the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
14.2%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
14.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
14.1%
Donovan Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 5
50
0
14.3%
Justin Wain punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
10.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
10.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
10.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 7 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
10.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
10.6%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
10.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
10.8%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, downed at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:509% → 19%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
8.8%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Tommy MyersSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
8.8%
Noel Thomas run for 8 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+62
18.6%
Arkeel Newsome 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:0085% → 99%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
14.8%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
15.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+26
15.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 26 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
14.0%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
9.8%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+37
10.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 37 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
9.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the UConn 4Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
9.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
9.6%
CUIELLETTE, G. pass incomplete to ARDOIN, Kendall, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (GREEN, John) 3 yards to the UCONN2, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
9.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
0.6%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 8 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.8%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+63
0.7%
Justin Wain punt for 56 yds, downed at the UCONN 14 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
0.7%
Josh Rounds run for 6 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-7
0.7%
CUIELLETTE, G. rush for no gain to the TLN13 (DIGGS, Vontae;BRITTON, Chris), PENALTY TLN holding (WASHINGTON, J.) 7 yards to the TLN6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+2
0.7%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-1
0.7%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 10
OWN 7
0
0.8%
Zachary Block punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:211% → 6%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
0.7%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Noel Thomas for 16 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
0.7%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 6 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
0.8%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
0.7%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 8 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.8%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Luke JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
0.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
6.1%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 20 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
0.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 45 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
0.5%
Donovan Williams sacked by Tanzel Smart for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+10
0.4%
Donovan Williams pass complete to Noel Thomas for 10 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
0.5%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
0.5%
Donovan Williams pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Taris ShenallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
0.2%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+2
0.3%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
0.3%
Glen Cuiellette punt for 30 yds, downed at the UConn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
0.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+12
0.3%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Noel Thomas for 12 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
0.3%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Noel Thomas for 12 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.3%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Tommy MyersSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
0.3%
Garrett Anderson sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-7
0.3%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Noel Thomas for a loss of 7 yards Noel Thomas fumbled, forced by Nico Marley, recovered by Tulan Nico MarleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
0.1%
N/A run for 1 yd to the UConn 16Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
0.1%
N/A run for 3 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+8
0.1%
N/A run for 8 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:02
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q2 3:18
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-13.3
TD · Q3 6:55
Arkeel Newsome 62 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+9.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com