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TULN

Tulane 18 at Houston 30

HOU
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · TDECU Stadium
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Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:23 · Zachary Block punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+18.8Home team on offense+20.0Score differential+7.4Garbage-time factor+6.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:41: Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 21 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +2.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:17: Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 16 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +2.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:27: Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 6 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:27: Glen Cuiellette pass complete to D.J. Owens for 28 yds for a TD, (Glen Cuiellette pass to Josh Rounds for Two-Point Conversion) — TULN win probability +6.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:27: Zachary Block on-side kick recovered by HOUSTON at the Houst 49 — HOU win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 14
  1. Q1 13:43HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:43TULN 4th & 3 at HOU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:33HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:15TULN 4th & 1 at HOU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:39TULN 4th & 8 at HOU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:02HOU 4th & 20 at TULN 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:47TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 15, down 4
    Close callPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:17TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:50TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:21HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:31TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at HOU 41, down 18
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:41HOU 4th & 4 at TULN 47, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:48TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:03HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 29, up 18
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:23TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 29, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00HOU 4th & 19 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:08TULN 4th & 6 at HOU 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:13HOU 4th & 12 at HOU 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:55TULN 4th & 1 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−1.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:02HOU 4th & 10 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:15HOU 4th & 7 at TULN 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:02HOU 4th & 17 at HOU 47, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:10TULN 4th & 19 at TULN 25, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:27HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:41TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:17HOU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:27HOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:27TULN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1794% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
93.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for 3 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
93.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for 1 yd to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
93.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
93.6%
Dane Roy punt for 51 yds , Parry Nickerson returns for no gain for a TD Parry Nickerson fumbled, recovered by Houst Jeremy Winchester for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
93.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
93.6%
CUIELLETTE, Glen sideline left pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell (WILSON, Howard), PENALTY HOU offside (WARD Jr., Greg) 5 yards to the TLN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
93.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Josh Rounds for 15 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
93.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
93.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 4
50
+1
93.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the Houst 49Similar
Q1 13:43
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
93.6%
Zachary Block punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:4093% → 94%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
93.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 22 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
93.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Keith Corbin for 9 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
93.2%
Duke Catalon run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
93.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
93.2%
Dillon Birden run for 7 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+19
93.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 19 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
93.3%
Dillon Birden run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
93.3%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive offside (Tanzel Smart) to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+13
93.3%
Duke Catalon run for 13 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
93.3%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.8%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+40
93.5%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds HOUSTON Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
93.6%
Duke Catalon run for 2 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
93.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
93.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+23
93.5%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds , Sherman Badie returns for 23 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:347% → 10%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
93.2%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+19
93.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 19 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
92.9%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 36Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+3
93.1%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+8
93.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+4
93.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
90.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 21 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:599% → 11%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+24
90.8%
Josh Rounds run for 24 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
90.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Houst 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-2
90.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+3
90.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Tristan Cooper for 3 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
89.4%
Andrew DiRocco 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 1:3790% → 89%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
90.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+6
90.1%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 16 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding (Linell Bonner) to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
90.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
90.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-16
89.6%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Tanzel Smart for a loss of 16 yards to the Tulan 48 HOUSTON Penalty, intentional grounding (Greg Ward Jr.) to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 20
OPP 48
0
88.8%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulan 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
89.0%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+5
89.1%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+3
89.2%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+7
89.4%
Zachary Block punt for 45 yds , Collin Wilder returns for 7 yds to the Houst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:3089% → 92%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for no gain to the Houst 47Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
89.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+12
88.5%
WARD Jr., Greg sideline right pass incomplete to BONNER, Linell (ALLEN, Richard), PENALTY TLN pass interference (ALLEN, Richard) 12 yards to the TLN41, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
89.3%
WARD Jr., Greg rush after back to pass for 14 yards to the TLN27 (FRANKLIN, Jarrod;HARRIS, Zachery), PENALTY HOU holding (FONTANA, Alex) 10 yards to the HOU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+10
88.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 10 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
89.2%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+17
89.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 17 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
92.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 16 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Nick ThurmanSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Zachary Block punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:2692% → 95%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
91.9%
Duke Catalon run for 1 yd to the Houst 41Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
91.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+34
91.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 34 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
92.0%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+22
92.0%
Duke Catalon run for 22 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
94.6%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 6 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:376% → 6%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
94.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
93.8%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-4
93.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
94.3%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds , Collin Wilder returns for no gain to the Houst 30 Collin Wilder fumbled, recovered by Houst Collin WilderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2095% → 95%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
95.0%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Eldrick Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+3
95.1%
Duke Catalon run for 3 yds to the Houst 26Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+8
94.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 8 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
95.1%
Dane Roy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Sherman Badie at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:436% → 6%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
94.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
94.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+7
94.8%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
94.4%
Zachary Block punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17INT
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
94.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 24 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
95.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
95.1%
Kyle Postma pass intercepted Donnie Lewis Jr. return for 2 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
94.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+21
94.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 21 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
93.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
94.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 9 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-4
93.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
94.3%
Zachary Block punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.2%
Duke Catalon run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
96.2%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 10 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.3%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Chance Allen, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Kyle Postma pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+15
96.1%
Kyle Postma run for 15 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.4%
Duke Catalon run for no gain to the Houst 47Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
96.4%
Duke Catalon run for 9 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-3
96.3%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
96.1%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.6%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
95.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 15 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
95.4%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Tyus Bowser for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+8
95.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
95.5%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
96.6%
Dillon Birden run for 1 yd to the Houst 23Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+8
96.6%
Kyle Postma run for 8 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-2
96.6%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Dane Roy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Sherman Badie at the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
96.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 1 yd to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+8
96.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-2
96.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Zachary Block punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3797% → 97%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
97.1%
Kyle Postma sacked by Tanzel Smart and Donnie Lewis Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+8
97.0%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Keith Corbin for 8 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+14
97.1%
Kyle Postma pass complete to Linell Bonner for 14 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
97.1%
Kyle Postma run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 14
OPP 45
-5
97.1%
Kyle Postma sacked by Jarrod Franklin for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
50
0
97.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
50
0
97.2%
Dane Roy punt for 39 yds, downed at the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
97.1%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+11
97.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+24
96.9%
Josh Rounds run for 24 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. OwensSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.1%
Duke Catalon run for 6 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-10
98.1%
WARD Jr., Greg fade route pass incomplete to ALLEN, Chance, PENALTY HOU holding (FONTANA, Alex) 10 yards to the HOU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+2
98.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 2 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Dane Roy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sherman Badie at the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
97.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
97.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
97.5%
CUIELLETTE, Glen deep pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, QB hurry by DAVIS, Garrett, PENALTY HOU pass interference (WILSON, Howard) 15 yards to the TLN41, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. OwensSimilar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
97.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 6 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
97.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 1
50
0
97.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.2%
Duke Catalon run for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
98.2%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 10
50
0
98.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven DunbarSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 10
50
0
98.0%
Dane Roy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sherman Badie at the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 2:172% → 8%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
97.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 16 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+21
97.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 21 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.5%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
97.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Howard WilsonSimilar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+10
97.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 10 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
97.4%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Tyus Bowser for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 43Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+15
98.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 15 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
91.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to D.J. Owens for 28 yds for a TD, (Glen Cuiellette pass to Josh Rounds for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:1294% → 94%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
94.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
94.3%
Duke Catalon run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
94.6%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar, broken up by Thakarius KeyesSimilar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
94.1%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulan 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 31SF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:094% → 2%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
95.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. OwensSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
97.9%
CUIELLETTE, Glen screen pass incomplete to BADIE, Sherman, PENALTY TLN personal foul (JOHNSON, Tyler) 6 yards to the TLN0, NO PLAY, Team safety, clock 03:51. for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 32PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:4997% → 98%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
97.3%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-1
97.2%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+1
97.6%
Duke Catalon run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 12
OPP 48
-5
97.5%
HOUSTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Houst 47Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
97.5%
Dane Roy punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 33DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
98.4%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
98.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. Owens, broken up by Jeremy WinchesterSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+19
98.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 19 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-9
98.3%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Tyus Bowser for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 19
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry Dace, broken up by Steven TaylorSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:27
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to D.J. Owens for 28 yds for a TD, (Glen Cuiellette pass to Josh Rounds for Two-Point Conversion)
-6.5
TD · Q2 7:17
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 16 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q2 4:27
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 6 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com