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SMU

SMU 35 at Tulane 31

TULN
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:59 · Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 187Home team on offense−14.4Garbage-time factor−11.0Score differential−0.7Pregame prior−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:19: Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +17.3 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 0:08: Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +21.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:37: Sherman Badie run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +14.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:24: Braeden West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +24.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 1:16: Braeden West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +63.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 11 of 12SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:00TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30SMU 4th & 17 at SMU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:51TULN 4th & 1 at SMU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:41TULN 4th & 9 at SMU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50SMU 4th & 6 at TULN 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:50TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:29TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35SMU 4th & 20 at SMU 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−4.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:53TULN 4th & 6 at SMU 46, down 11
    Close callPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    34.2%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:45SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 4, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−2.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:36TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:50SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:19SMU 4th & 11 at SMU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−3.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SMU 4th & 23 at SMU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−6.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:17TULN 4th & 2 at SMU 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−3.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−19.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:59TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%−7.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:40TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.9%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:07SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:56SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:35SMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:19TULN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:08TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:37TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:24SMU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−1.0
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:16SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:5354% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
46.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+54
46.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 54 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
46.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-1
46.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
45.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 8 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
46.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
46.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
45.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
45.7%
Zachary Block punt for 45 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
45.6%
Braeden West run for 3 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-10
45.6%
Ben Hicks sacked by Roderic TEAMER for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 8Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 17
OWN 8
0
45.8%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 17
OWN 8
0
45.9%
Jamie Sackville punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:4646% → 49%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
46.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
45.9%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+9
45.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+1
45.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
46.0%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+8
46.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
46.2%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the SMU 27Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+19
46.2%
Glen Cuiellette run for 11 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the SMU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
49.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0952% → 57%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
47.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 22 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+41
46.9%
Braeden West run for 41 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
46.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
44.4%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+2
44.3%
Johnathan Brantley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-2
43.9%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
43.7%
Zachary Block punt for 32 yds, downed at the SMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3457% → 58%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
42.8%
[GUN], HICKS, Ben sideline pass incomplete to SUTTON, C. (TEAMER, R.), PENALTY TLN pass interference (HALL, P.J.) 15 yards to the TLN38, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
42.6%
Myron Gailliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
42.5%
Myron Gailliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+7
42.8%
Myron Gailliard run for 7 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
42.5%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
42.2%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Quinlan Carroll return for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2244% → 43%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
44.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
44.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-4
44.1%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Deon Green for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
43.1%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
43.5%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+23
43.5%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Taris Shenall return for 23 yds to the SMU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2746% → 48%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
46.3%
[GUN], CUIELLETTE, G. middle pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY TLN illegal shift 5 yards to the SMU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+3
45.8%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+3
45.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
45.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
47.9%
Andrew DiRocco 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:5153% → 55%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.6%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.9%
Myron Gailliard run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
46.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 11 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
44.7%
Braeden West run for 25 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
44.1%
Braeden West run for 17 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
43.9%
Myron Gailliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
43.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Kevin ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
44.3%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
45.2%
Josh Williams 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
46.0%
[GUN], CUIELLETTE, G. rush over right end for 18 yards to the TLN38 (WILLIAMS,Jordon), PENALTY TLN holding (JACQUET, Todd) 10 yards to the TLN10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 20
OWN 10
0
45.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+3
45.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+8
44.9%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
44.5%
Zachary Block punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:2456% → 66%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
43.9%
Braeden West run for 8 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
43.0%
Braeden West run for 5 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
42.9%
[GUN], HICKS, Ben deep pass incomplete to THOMAS, Kevin, PENALTY TLN pass interference (HALL, P.J.) 15 yards to the TLN40, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
42.5%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
42.9%
James Proche run for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+8
43.2%
Ben Hicks run for 8 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
42.3%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-6
42.6%
Ben Hicks sacked by Eric Thomas and Eric Bowie for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+35
34.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 35 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:0035% → 32%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
34.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Trey Scott for 7 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
35.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
35.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the Tulan 37 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 16
OWN 27
0
34.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Jordan WyattSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 16
OWN 27
0
34.7%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+10
34.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Sherman Badie for 10 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
32.3%
Zachary Block punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:4469% → 67%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
30.8%
Braeden West run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
31.1%
Braeden West run for 5 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
31.4%
[GUN], HICKS, Ben slant pass incomplete to PROCHE, James, PENALTY SMU holding (NATOUR, Nick) 10 yards to the SMU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-3
32.1%
Braeden West run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
33.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Parry Nickerson at the SMU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
33.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-10
33.7%
[GUN], CUIELLETTE, G. rush quarterback draw for 12 yards to the SMU35, out-of-bounds (COX, RC), PENALTY TLN holding (BROWN, Leeward) 10 yards to the TLN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+1
32.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
31.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+19
31.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
50
-7
33.4%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by RC Cox for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+4
31.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+7
31.2%
Glen Cuiellette run for 7 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
31.4%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds, downed at the SMU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
29.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-3
30.0%
Braeden West run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 1 Braeden West fumbled, forced by Quinlan Carroll, recovered by SMU Ben HicksSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 1
0
30.6%
SMU Penalty, false start (Courtland Sutton) to the SMU 1Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+3
30.6%
Ben Hicks run for 3 yds to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 9
OWN 4
0
31.1%
Jamie Sackville punt for 34 yds , Parry Nickerson returns for no gain to the Tulan 4 TULANE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Terren Encalade) to the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
29.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
29.7%
Devin Glenn run for 3 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-1
29.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 4
OPP 47
-5
27.6%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Luke Jackson) to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
26.9%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds, fair catch by James Proche at the SMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5174% → 72%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
26.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 7Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 15
OWN 7
0
26.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Horace RichardsonSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+6
27.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SMU 13 SMU Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
27.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:5330% → 49%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
29.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Trey Scott for 7 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
31.7%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the SMU 30Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+16
30.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (Kevin Johnson) to the SMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
31.7%
[GUN], HILLIARD, D. rush over left guard for no gain to the SMU14 (HORTON, Nick), PENALTY TLN holding (BROWN, Leeward) 10 yards to the SMU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 20
OPP 24
+24
49.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
38.2%
Ben Hicks sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 22Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
39.4%
Braeden West run for 7 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
38.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 7 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
37.0%
Braeden West run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 34Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
38.7%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the SMU 35Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
39.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Xavier CastilleSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
40.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:4844% → 70%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
43.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
42.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+33
40.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 33 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
48.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
69.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0236% → 33%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
63.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 16 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
62.4%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
64.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Ke'Mon FreemanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-9
65.7%
Ben Hicks sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 9 yards to the SMU 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 23
0
66.7%
SMU Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 23
0
66.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 69 yds, downed at the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 3:0268% → 88%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
67.7%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
67.9%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+6
66.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+67
68.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 67 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
73.8%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
88.3%
Sherman Badie run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:0813% → 40%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
87.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 9 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
85.9%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
86.3%
TULANE Penalty, delay of game (Quinlan Carroll) to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
86.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 8 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
85.4%
Braeden West run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
84.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
85.1%
[GUN], HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to PROCHE, James (NICKERSON, P.), PENALTY SMU holding (BRIGGS, C.) 10 yards to the SMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+3
87.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 3 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 10:32
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+50
87.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 50 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.6%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.6%
Braeden West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 52 yds · 0:0074% → 76%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+44
74.4%
Josh Rounds run for 44 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
79.3%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+7
79.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 7 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
77.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the SMU 22Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 2
OPP 22
0
75.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the SMU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 2:2630% → 92%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
70.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Shelby Walker for 27 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
63.3%
[GUN], HICKS, Ben deep pass incomplete to SUTTON, C. (NICKERSON, P.), PENALTY SMU tripping (BRIGGS, C.) 15 yards to the SMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 25
OWN 34
0
70.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 25
OWN 34
0
70.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Mitchell KaufmanSimilar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 25
OWN 34
+27
72.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 27 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
62.7%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+22
62.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Castille for 22 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
60.4%
Braeden West run for 6 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
60.4%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+8
71.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 8 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.2%
Braeden West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29INT
16 plays · 40 yds · 1:0824% → 21%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Rodney ClemonsSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
24.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
21.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
23.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 7 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
21.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
19.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 6 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
20.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Josh RoundsSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
20.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Josh Rounds, broken up by Kyran MitchellSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
18.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+16
16.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 16 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted Darrion Millines return for no gain to the SMU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:16
Braeden West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)
-63.6
TD · Q4 6:24
Braeden West run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)
-24
TD · Q3 0:08
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 24 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+21.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com