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CONN

UConn 3 at East Carolina 41

ECU
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD+7ECU 95.9%James Summers run for 1 yd for a TD,(Davis Plowman KICK)AWAY 3 - HOME 24 · Q3 5:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:52 · James Summers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense+26.2Score differential+17.1Pregame prior+5.9Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:14: Bobby Puyol 34 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +4.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 0:45: Zay Jones pass complete to Philip Nelson for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +8.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 12:42: Davis Plowman 39 yd FG GOOD — ECU win probability +3.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:52: James Summers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +7.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:22: Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK) — ECU win probability +3.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:23CONN 4th & 1 at ECU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:38ECU 4th & 2 at CONN 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:08ECU 4th & 7 at CONN 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:02CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:00ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:22CONN 4th & 10 at ECU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:54ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:14CONN 4th & 7 at ECU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−5.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:42ECU 4th & 4 at CONN 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:01CONN 4th & 10 at ECU 37, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:42ECU 4th & 6 at CONN 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:27CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:52ECU 4th & 1 at CONN 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−9.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:26CONN 4th & 27 at ECU 35, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:36CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:29ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 48, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:30ECU 4th & 8 at CONN 8, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:35ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 47, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:29CONN 4th & 2 at ECU 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:19ECU 4th & 9 at ECU 44, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:38ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:45ECU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:52ECU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:22ECU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:52ECU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0333% → 33%
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
66.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+7
66.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+5
66.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 5 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-1
66.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:2267% → 69%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
66.8%
James Summers run for 8 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
66.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 1 yd to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
66.8%
James Summers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
66.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 4 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
67.0%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 10 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
67.0%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
67.0%
James Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+14
66.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 14 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
67.1%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 18 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
67.2%
Zay Jones run for no gain to the UConn 12Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
67.2%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+8
67.0%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 8 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+4
68.6%
Philip Nelson pass complete to James Summers for 4 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2132% → 31%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
68.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
68.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+2
68.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
69.0%
Justin Wain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:3969% → 70%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
68.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 13 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
69.0%
James Summers run for 13 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
69.7%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
69.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 5 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
69.7%
Philip Nelson run for 4 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
70.1%
Shawn Furlow run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-2
70.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
70.0%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
69.5%
Worth Gregory punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4831% → 30%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
69.3%
Noel Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 15Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
69.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 15Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+4
69.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
70.1%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3571% → 69%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
70.5%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Shawn Furlow for 1 yd to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
70.6%
Shawn Furlow run for 4 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
70.0%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
69.2%
Worth Gregory punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 5:2031% → 30%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
69.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
69.4%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-5
69.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 14:35
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+13
70.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 13 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
68.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
69.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+14
69.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 14 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
67.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
68.0%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+14
68.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 14 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
66.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+2
67.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
68.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
69.8%
Bobby Puyol 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1171% → 71%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
70.7%
James Summers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+11
71.3%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
72.2%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+2
72.6%
James Summers run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-8
72.8%
Philip Nelson sacked by E.J. Levenberry and Folorunso Fatukasi for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
70.7%
Worth Gregory punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brian Lemelle at the UConn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:2629% → 35%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
71.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+12
71.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 12 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
70.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+1
71.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+49
72.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 49 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
67.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for no gain to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
68.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 7 yds to the ECaro 13Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-4
69.0%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Dayon Pratt for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 17Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
65.0%
Bobby Puyol 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 2:1068% → 79%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.0%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 5 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
68.1%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 10 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
69.5%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+10
70.0%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 10 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
71.0%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
70.8%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 6 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
70.4%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+16
69.0%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 16 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
71.4%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+7
71.4%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 7 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
71.4%
James Summers run for 2 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.4%
James Summers run for no gain to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.5%
Zay Jones pass complete to Philip Nelson for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:3723% → 19%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
77.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 5 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+9
78.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
79.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 21 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
77.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
78.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
81.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
82.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:1279% → 84%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.4%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Philip Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
78.6%
Nelson, Philip pass incomplete to Jones, Zay, PENALTY UCONN pass interference 15 yards to the EASTCRLINA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN EASTCRLINA.Similar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
80.5%
James Summers run for 7 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+4
80.8%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
81.1%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 12 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
81.2%
James Summers run for 12 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
81.4%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
81.4%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
80.8%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
84.0%
Davis Plowman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4116% → 15%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
84.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for no gain to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-3
84.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+5
85.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+47
85.3%
Justin Wain punt for 47 yds , Quay Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:2386% → 96%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
85.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 12 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
87.0%
James Summers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
87.2%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay JonesSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+21
86.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 21 yds to the EASTCRLINA 33 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
87.3%
Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
87.4%
James Summers run for 9 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
87.4%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
87.9%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+19
88.0%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 19 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
89.1%
Philip Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 5Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
89.3%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.9%
James Summers run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 5:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.9%
James Summers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0896% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
96.4%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 6 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:461% → 0%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Ron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 17 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+25
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 25 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 5 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-7
99.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by DaShaun Amos for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 27
OPP 35
-2
99.6%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Shawn Furlow run for 6 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
99.7%
Shawn Furlow run for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
99.7%
Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 18 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.7%
Shawn Furlow run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+31
99.7%
James Summers pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 31 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Colby Gore and Dayon Pratt for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 15
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 15
OWN 14
+5
99.8%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Justin Wain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jeffrey Coprich for 8 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Worth Gregory punt for 48 yds, downed at the UConn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
99.9%
Ron Johnson run for 6 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+24
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Bobby Fulp return for 24 yds to the UConn 5 Bobby Fulp fumbled, forced by Ron Johnson, recovered by ECaro Cam WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22FG
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q4 10:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Anthony Scott for no gain to the UConn 3Similar
Q4 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 8Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Davis Plowman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 12 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+23
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 23 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Colby Gore return for 8 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+23
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 23 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Cam MarshmonSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Brandon BishopSimilar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Worth Gregory punt for 49 yds, downed at the UConn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+15
99.9%
Anderson, Garrett pass incomplete, PENALTY EASTCRLINA personal foul 15 yards to the UCONN19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
99.9%
Garrett Anderson run for 14 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Garrett Anderson run for 3 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+18
100.0%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Noel Thomas for 18 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Garrett Anderson pass incomplete to Tommy MyersSimilar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
Garrett Anderson pass complete to Brian Lemelle for 8 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Garrett Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
100.0%
Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 9
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Jason Thompson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:45
Zay Jones pass complete to Philip Nelson for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q3 5:52
James Summers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)
+7
FG · Q2 3:14
Bobby Puyol 34 yd FG GOOD
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com