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TULN

Tulane 27 at Tulsa 50

TLSA
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:25 · Dalton Parks punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+31.4Pregame prior+10.6Score differential+24.7Garbage-time factor+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Blowout margin+9.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:03: Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +4.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:05: Redford Jones 20 yd FG GOOD — TLSA win probability +3.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:42: James Flanders run for 6 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +5.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:54: Rowdy Simon run for 16 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK) — TLSA win probability +3.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:04: Dontrell Hilliard run for 30 yds for a TD, (Glen Cuiellette intercepted ) — TULN win probability +3.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:40TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10TLSA 4th & 5 at TLSA 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19TULN 4th & 20 at TULN 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49TLSA 4th & 3 at TLSA 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:23TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TLSA 4th & 6 at TULN 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:57TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 32, down 14
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:05TLSA 4th & 2 at TULN 2, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:05TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00TULN 4th & 17 at TLSA 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:53TULN 4th & 12 at TLSA 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−2.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:33TULN 4th & 15 at TLSA 37, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:25TLSA 4th & 11 at TLSA 17, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:32TULN 4th & 11 at TLSA 49, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:24TLSA 4th & 10 at TULN 10, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:07TULN 4th & 1 at TLSA 1, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:47TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:25TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:24TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:03TLSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:42TLSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:54TLSA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:10TULN Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:32TLSA Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:07TULN Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:1377% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 5 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
77.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
77.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 9 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
77.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
77.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
77.1%
Dane Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+42
77.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 42 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
77.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
77.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 11 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
77.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
77.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
77.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+2
77.2%
Zachary Block punt for 58 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for 2 yds to the Tulsa 39 TULSA Penalty, illegal block (4 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
77.2%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+7
77.2%
James Flanders run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 1
OWN 12
-4
77.1%
James Flanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
77.0%
Dalton Parks punt for 48 yds, downed at the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:0823% → 26%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
77.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 31 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
76.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
76.7%
Josh Rounds run for no gain to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+5
76.9%
CUIELLETTE, G. pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY TLS offside 5 yards to the TLS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+12
76.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
74.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0175% → 78%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
75.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 11 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
75.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
75.5%
Keenen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
75.3%
TULANE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
75.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
78.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 49 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
77.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-11
77.6%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Petera Wilson Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 20
OWN 12
0
77.8%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds, downed at the Tulsa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
77.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
78.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
77.6%
Dane Evans run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
77.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
77.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+3
77.0%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
77.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
77.6%
Zachary Block punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Keidrien Wadley at the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:5877% → 77%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
77.4%
FLANDERS, J. rush for 11 yards to the TLS27 (MARBLEY, R.J.), PENALTY TLS holding 8 yards to the TLS8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+8
77.3%
James Flanders run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+18
77.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 18 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
77.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+13
78.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
78.3%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
78.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
78.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh AtkinsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
77.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 38 yds , Darnell Mooney returns for no gain to the Tulan 6 Darnell Mooney fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Samuel GottschSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:1279% → 83%
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
78.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
81.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+3
81.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+3
81.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Zachary Block punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12FG
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:1083% → 87%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
83.4%
James Flanders run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+2
83.6%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+46
83.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 46 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
84.2%
James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+14
84.2%
James Flanders run for 14 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
84.2%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to HOBBS, J., PENALTY TLN pass interference (NICKERSON, P.) 5 yards to the TLN2, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
84.2%
Corey Taylor II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.2%
James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
83.8%
James Flanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 2Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
87.1%
Redford Jones 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.4%
Zachary Block punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:2488% → 94%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.3%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
88.2%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 12 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
88.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 10 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
88.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 13 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
88.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
88.3%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 3 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
88.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.8%
James Flanders run for 6 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15MISSED FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 3:428% → 6%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
92.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 19 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
92.0%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
91.8%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Shemarr Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+15
92.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Larry Dace for 15 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
91.9%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+3
91.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
91.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 17 yds to the Tulsa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
91.2%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Craig Suits for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 23 Glen Cuiellette fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 17
OPP 23
0
92.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 17
OPP 23
0
93.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 23
+41
93.9%
Andrew DiRocco 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Reggie Robinson IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.6%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
93.6%
Johnathan Brantley run for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
93.4%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
93.4%
Zachary Block punt for 48 yds , Keidrien Wadley returns for no gain to the Tulsa 17 Keidrien Wadley fumbled, recovered by Tulan Richard AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:267% → 5%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-9
92.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 16 TULANE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 19
OPP 26
-5
93.0%
HILLIARD, D. rush for 4 yards to the TLS22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TLN illegal formation 5 yards to the TLS31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 24
OPP 31
+5
93.0%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 19
OPP 26
+1
93.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+6
93.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
95.5%
Andrew DiRocco 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:5996% → 100%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+50
95.8%
James Flanders run for 50 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan LucasSimilar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
96.0%
James Flanders run for 9 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
96.0%
James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
96.1%
Raymond Taylor run for 4 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
96.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs, broken up by Richard AllenSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
Rowdy Simon run for 16 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:211% → 1%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+41
99.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 41 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.1%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
99.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 15
OPP 37
0
99.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Trey Scott, broken up by Jordan MitchellSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
99.3%
Zachary Block punt for 31 yds, downed at the Tulsa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
99.5%
Raymond Taylor run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+10
99.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 10 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh AtkinsonSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.5%
Chris Taylor run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-3
99.5%
Dane Evans sacked by Luke Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
99.4%
Dalton Parks punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:041% → 3%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.2%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
99.1%
Josh Rounds run for 9 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-7
99.2%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Kolton Shindelar for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 31 Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by Tulan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 23
OWN 31
+23
99.3%
Josh Rounds run for 23 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+37
99.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 28 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the Tulsa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 5Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4299% → 99%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.7%
James Flanders run for no gain to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
98.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 7 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-6
99.0%
Dane Evans run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulsa 38 Dane Evans fumbled, recovered by Tulan Robert KennedySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:162% → 3%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
98.1%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
97.6%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+30
94.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 30 yds for a TD, (Glen Cuiellette intercepted )Similar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
97.5%
McKinley Whitfield return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:2899% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
99.1%
James Flanders run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin HobbsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
99.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 10 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.1%
James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+10
99.1%
James Flanders run for 10 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
James Flanders run for 30 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Josh Rounds run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
99.8%
Josh Rounds run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.8%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
99.9%
Rowdy Simon run for 41 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
99.9%
Rowdy Simon run for 4 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Rowdy Simon run for 3 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.9%
Rowdy Simon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
TULSA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Redford Jones 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:120% → 1%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+84
99.9%
Josh Rounds run for 84 yds to the Tulsa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 4Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Josh Rounds run for no gain to the Tulsa 1Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 28END OF GAME
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.7%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to ATKINSON, J., PENALTY TLS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TLS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+1
99.7%
James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+7
99.7%
James Flanders run for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+15
99.7%
EVANS, D. pass incomplete to JOHNSON, K., PENALTY TLN pass interference 15 yards to the TLN32, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.7%
James Flanders run for 11 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.7%
Rowdy Simon run for 8 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Rowdy Simon run for no gain to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+3
99.7%
Rowdy Simon run for 3 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.7%
Rowdy Simon run for 5 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:42
James Flanders run for 6 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 12:03
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q3 8:54
Rowdy Simon run for 16 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com