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USF

South Florida 30 at Temple 46

TEM
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2016 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:00 · Alex Starzyk punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D'Ernest Johnson at the SFla 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior−1.4Home team on offense+19.2Garbage-time factor+11.3Score differential+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:01: Ryquell Armstead run for 76 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +11.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:21: Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +18.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:53: Ryquell Armstead run for 42 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +25.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:44: Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +13.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:42: Marlon Mack run for 30 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +18.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:10TEM 4th & 5 at USF 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:35USF 4th & 6 at USF 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:37TEM 4th & 22 at TEM 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:46USF 4th & 27 at USF 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:36USF 4th & 2 at TEM 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−3.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:52USF 4th & 10 at TEM 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−8.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:10TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:26USF 4th & 12 at USF 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−2.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:49USF 4th & 13 at USF 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:09TEM 4th & 7 at USF 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:00TEM 4th & 3 at USF 45, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−2.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00TEM 4th & 9 at USF 14, up 16
    Close callWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 0:19USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:07TEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:04USF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:01TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:21USF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:53TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:44TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:42USF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:17TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 7:3534% → 38%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.6%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
33.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
34.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
34.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 31 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
34.9%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the SFla 33Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
35.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 38Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 15
OPP 38
+14
35.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 14 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
35.6%
Nick Sharga run for 2 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
36.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
36.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
36.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
37.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SFla 7Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
37.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the SFla 5Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
37.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2563% → 62%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
37.1%
Quinton Flowers run for 6 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
37.1%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-15
37.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the SFla 30Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+13
38.7%
Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
38.4%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 3:5238% → 39%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
38.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Tripping (-10 Yards) to the Temp 11Similar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+7
38.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+3
38.5%
Phillip Walker run for 3 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+24
38.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 24 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
40.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 20
OWN 35
-2
39.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 22
OWN 33
+5
39.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 17
OWN 38
0
39.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ryquell ArmsteadSimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 17
OWN 38
-5
39.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 22
OWN 33
0
39.0%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 22
OWN 33
0
38.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 35 yds, downed at the SFla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 0:5860% → 66%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
39.7%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 19 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
38.6%
Quinton Flowers run for 9 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
38.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
38.7%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
38.9%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 10 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
34.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marquez Valdes-Scantling for 27 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:5337% → 49%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 10 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
36.8%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
36.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 11 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
38.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+8
37.0%
Phillip Walker sacked by Juwuan Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 29 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
38.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-1
39.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+19
38.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 19 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
40.4%
Isaiah Wright run for 7 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+1
40.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the SFla 22Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+8
39.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
40.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 19Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+3
40.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SFla 16Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
40.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+15
38.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 15 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the SFla 1Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5455% → 66%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
44.9%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 10 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
44.3%
Quinton Flowers run for 6 yds to the SFla 41Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
43.1%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 2 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+13
43.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 13 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
42.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 9 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
41.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
42.7%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
34.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 31 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:4338% → 49%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
37.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 5 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+76
48.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 76 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · -1 yds · 2:4754% → 46%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
46.4%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 29Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 15
OWN 29
-1
48.3%
Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 28Similar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+22
49.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Tyre McCants for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
50
-10
45.0%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 20
OWN 40
-7
48.4%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Averee Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 27
OWN 33
0
49.7%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 27
OWN 33
0
53.3%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 27
OWN 33
0
53.9%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 37 yds, downed at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 52 yds · 0:1752% → 61%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.0%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
51.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 16 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+36
54.6%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 36 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+35
60.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 11FG
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:5242% → 45%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.7%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
57.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 4 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
58.1%
Quinton Flowers run for 19 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
55.4%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
55.4%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+3
56.3%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+2
57.7%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
56.2%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 4 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-4
54.4%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Averee Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+14
58.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 14 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
54.9%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-2
55.1%
Rodney Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
58.3%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
55.1%
Emilio Nadelman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:2857% → 58%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
57.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
57.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Isaiah Wright for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+24
56.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 24 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
61.1%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 6
50
+3
62.2%
Isaiah Wright run for 3 yds to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-7
61.9%
Phillip Walker sacked by Deadrin Senat for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
58.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds, downed at the SFla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 13TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 0:3942% → 66%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+50
57.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 50 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
52.1%
Marlon Mack run for 16 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
51.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.6%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:0740% → 66%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
39.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 12 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
40.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 24 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
65.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 42 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1942% → 37%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
58.3%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 28Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-1
59.5%
Quinton Flowers sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 27Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
61.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+5
62.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Avery Ellis blocked by Avery Ellis Keith Kirkwood return for 5 yds to the SFla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:1668% → 82%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
68.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 11 yds to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
81.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3320% → 17%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.0%
Trevon Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 24Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
80.4%
Marlon Mack run for 2 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
81.8%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 22Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+4
83.0%
Jonathan Hernandez punt for 41 yds , Jahad Thomas returns for 4 yds to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:2184% → 93%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
83.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 18 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
84.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
85.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+5
85.0%
Nick Sharga run for 5 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-8
86.1%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+4
86.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+7
87.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 7 yds to the SFla 24Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+42
93.2%
Aaron Boumerhi 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1710% → 30%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
90.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 30 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
88.5%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 13 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
87.8%
Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
69.8%
Marlon Mack run for 30 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:1983% → 88%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
83.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
83.9%
Isaiah Wright run for 10 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
85.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
88.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
89.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
89.2%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
88.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D'Ernest Johnson at the SFla 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 21INT
6 plays · -13 yds · 1:3116% → 13%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
84.0%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-3
85.2%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 11Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 13
OWN 11
-4
86.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-4 Yards) to the SFla 7Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 17
OWN 7
-6
86.9%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-6 Yards) to the SFla 1Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 23
OWN 1
0
86.9%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the SFla 1Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 23
OWN 1
+18
87.1%
Brett Kean pass intercepted Delvon Randall return for 21 yds to the SFla 22 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (-3 Yards) to the SFla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 23SF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
96.7%
Brett Kean sacked by Romond Deloatch for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY Brett Kean fumbled, recovered by SFla Kofi Amichia , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 21 yds · 2:5198% → 99%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
97.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 10 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
97.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the SFla 17Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
98.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the SFla 17Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
98.8%
Nick Sharga run for 2 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
98.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SFla 12Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 13Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 14
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:53
Ryquell Armstead run for 42 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+25
TD · Q3 5:21
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q4 8:42
Marlon Mack run for 30 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
-18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com