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TEM

Temple 26 at UCF 25

UCF
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:03 · McKenzie Milton sacked by Jacob Martin for a loss of 20 yards to the UCF 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+11.7Pregame prior+2.6Garbage-time factor+5.1Score differential+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:45: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +5.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:34: McKenzie Milton run for 63 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +8.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:35: Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +4.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:02: Aaron Boumerhi 47 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +5.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:01: Keith Kirkwood 8 Yd pass from Phillip Walker (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — TEM win probability +77.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 9:49UCF 4th & 24 at UCF 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 42, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:52UCF 4th & 16 at TEM 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25TEM 4th & 2 at UCF 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:45TEM 4th & 25 at TEM 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:32UCF 4th & 13 at TEM 36, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.2%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:11TEM 4th & 3 at UCF 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−3.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:03UCF 4th & 15 at UCF 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03UCF 4th & 5 at TEM 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    74.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 1 at UCF 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−2.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:39TEM 4th & 11 at UCF 14, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:39UCF 4th & 13 at UCF 15, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:02TEM 4th & 15 at UCF 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−3.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−9.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:23UCF 4th & 13 at TEM 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−3.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−13.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 44, down 5
    Close callPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:21TEM 4th & 15 at UCF 31, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.6 ptsWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%−3.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−4.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:12UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−2.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:19TEM 4th & 18 at UCF 23, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.6 ptsWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%−5.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−10.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:41UCF 4th & 10 at UCF 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:49UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:49TEM Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:45UCF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:34UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:35TEM Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:01TEM Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    73.5%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    74.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:1155% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
55.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Cam Stewart for 10 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
55.2%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
55.2%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+55
55.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 55 yds for a TD, (Nick Patti pass to Aaron Cochran for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0044% → 45%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
55.6%
UCF Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.5%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the UCF 49Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
55.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+11
55.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
55.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+12
55.4%
Adonis Jennings run for 12 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
55.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+28
55.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 28 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
55.7%
Dontravious Wilson run for 7 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+5
55.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 5 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
55.8%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 16
OWN 21
0
55.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Cam StewartSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 16
OWN 21
-8
55.4%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 13Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 24
OWN 13
0
55.3%
Caleb Houston punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
55.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 36Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+6
56.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
55.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
56.1%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+10
56.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds , Chris Johnson returns for 10 yds to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0057% → 57%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
56.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+32
56.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 32 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
57.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 6 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+15
57.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 15 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
57.7%
MILTON, M. rush for 7 yards to the TEMPLE11, out-of-bounds (HAIRSTON,Nate;WILLIAMS,Avery), PENALTY UCF holding (FRANKS, Jordan) 10 yards to the TEMPLE28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 20
OPP 28
0
57.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 20
OPP 28
0
57.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 20
OPP 28
+4
56.8%
McKenzie Milton run for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
57.1%
Matthew Wright 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:2743% → 41%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
57.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the Temp 35 Jahad Thomas fumbled, forced by Drico Johnson,Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+11
57.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
56.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
56.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
56.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
56.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-1
58.6%
Marshall Ellick run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:3459% → 66%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
59.4%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+14
58.8%
MILTON, M. pass incomplete to KILLINS, Adrian (ALWAN,Jarred), QB hurry by MARTIN-OGUIKE,P, PENALTY TEMPLE roughing passer (MARTIN,Jacob) 14 yards to the TEMPLE48, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
60.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 6 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+11
60.2%
McKenzie Milton run for 11 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
60.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
66.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
65.5%
Phillip Walker sacked by Jamiyus Pittman for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 15 TEMPLE Penalty, intentional grounding (Phillip Walker) to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
65.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis Jennings, broken up by Drico JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
66.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
66.1%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
66.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 54 yds, downed at the UCF 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:3267% → 75%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
67.1%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 37Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+63
75.1%
McKenzie Milton run for 63 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
73.6%
Phillip Walker sacked by Jock Petree and Brendon Hayes for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+36
73.8%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted T.J. Mutcherson return for 26 yds to the 50 yard line UCF Penalty, illegal block (Shaquem Griffin) to the Temp 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · -18 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-8
76.7%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 18
OPP 41
+5
76.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jawon Hamilton for 5 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 13
OPP 36
-15
75.6%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Romond Deloatch for a loss of 15 yards to the UCF 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
74.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
74.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-1
74.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+1
74.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 1 yd to the UCF 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.0%
Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
78.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-5
78.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 36 Dontravious Wilson fumbled, forced by Romond Deloatch, recovered by UCF Dontravious WilsonSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
77.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:1023% → 29%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
77.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
77.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
77.7%
UCF Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
76.7%
Brodrick Yancy sacked by Pat Jasinski for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+19
77.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 19 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
76.0%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+15
75.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 15 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
75.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
75.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the UCF 11Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+4
75.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the UCF 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
71.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · -1 yds · 2:3276% → 77%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
75.6%
Adrian Killins run for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
75.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+6
74.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 6 yds Taylor Oldham fumbled, forced by Jared Folks, recovered by UCFSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
75.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside (Averee Robinson) to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
77.3%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Averee Robinson and Avery Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 18
OWN 44
0
76.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 18
OWN 44
+13
75.8%
Dontravious Wilson run for 13 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 5
OPP 43
-20
77.0%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Jacob Martin for a loss of 20 yards to the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FG
17 plays · 61 yds · 7:2126% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
74.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
74.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 7 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
73.4%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (Tony Guerad) to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+10
72.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
72.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-3
71.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
72.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
73.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
72.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+7
70.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
70.9%
WALKER,Phillip pass complete to KIRKWOOD,Keith for 9 yards to the UCF14 (KILLINGS, D.J.), PENALTY UCF holding (KILLINGS, D.J.) 10 yards to the UCF13, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
70.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
71.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
72.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
73.9%
Aaron Boumerhi 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
76.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
75.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-5
75.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (Aaron Evans) to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-4
74.6%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Romond Deloatch for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 15Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+26
73.7%
Caleb Houston punt for 41 yds, downed at the TEMPLE 44 UCF Penalty, kick catching interference (Tre Neal) to the UCF 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 3:1627% → 33%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
72.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 9 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+9
70.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
70.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the UCF 15Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-4
70.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-9
72.4%
Phillip Walker sacked by Shaquem Griffin for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 28Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+47
67.2%
Aaron Boumerhi 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:3969% → 68%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.6%
Adrian Killins run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+32
68.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Akins for 32 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
72.0%
Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+17
71.9%
Dontravious Wilson run for 17 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
72.9%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-1
72.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
69.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Taylor OldhamSimilar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
67.8%
Matthew Wright 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2334% → 34%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
66.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 13 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
64.6%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
64.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+4
65.6%
Phillip Walker run for 4 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 44
-3
66.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 36 yds , Chris Johnson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0073% → 75%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
73.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-2
73.1%
Adrian Killins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+42
71.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 42 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
76.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
76.3%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+21
74.9%
McKenzie Milton pass intercepted Nate Hairston return for 21 yds to the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:0937% → 19%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
63.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 8
50
+2
62.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
62.6%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 4 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+5
64.6%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (Tony Guerad) to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
61.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 13 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
59.5%
ARMSTEAD,R. rush for no gain to the UCF26 (GUERAD, Tony;BRIM, Demeitre), PENALTY TEMPLE holding (SHARGA,Nick) 10 yards to the UCF36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 20
OPP 36
+5
64.2%
Phillip Walker run for 5 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
63.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Shaquill GriffinSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
66.1%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick Yancy, broken up by Errol ClarkeSimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 15
OPP 31
0
80.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Shaquem GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
84.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Akins for 7 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
86.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-4
85.5%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 35Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
83.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 39 yds, downed at the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+45
81.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 45 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
74.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 14 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
74.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 20Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 15
OPP 20
-3
75.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 23Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 18
OPP 23
0
79.1%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 18
OPP 23
-8
82.2%
Phillip Walker sacked by Trysten Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 29 Phillip Walker fumbled, recovered by UCF Jamiyus Pittman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 1:0093% → 95%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
92.8%
Dontravious Wilson run for 2 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-3
92.8%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+1
93.5%
Dontravious Wilson run for 1 yd to the UCF 29Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Caleb Houston punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:3111% → 95%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
89.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
50
+16
87.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 16 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
82.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 26 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.3%
Keith Kirkwood 8 Yd pass from Phillip Walker (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
5.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:01
Keith Kirkwood 8 Yd pass from Phillip Walker (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-77.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-8.1
TD · Q2 12:34
McKenzie Milton run for 63 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com