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MEM

Memphis 24 at Tulane 14

TULN
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2016 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:52 · Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior−0.9Home team on offense−39.6Score differential−19.8Garbage-time factor−16.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:13: Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 20 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +3.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:01: Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 46 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +11.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:52: Darrell Henderson run for 45 yds for a TD, (S. Craft Run For Two-point Conversion) — MEM win probability +13.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:47: Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +4.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:47: Timeout MEMPHIS, clock 00:47 — MEM win probability +3.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 10 of 11MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 8:39MEM 4th & 17 at TULN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:53TULN 4th & 16 at MEM 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:53MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:56MEM 4th & 3 at TULN 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    69.3%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:38MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:53MEM 4th & 4 at TULN 4, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09TULN 4th & 21 at MEM 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17MEM 4th & 22 at MEM 20, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:54TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:46TULN 4th & 1 at MEM 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    28.1%−4.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52TULN 4th & 3 at MEM 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−1.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:03TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 29, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−2.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:42MEM 4th & 16 at TULN 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:45TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−3.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:07MEM 4th & 4 at TULN 33, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−1.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:36TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−3.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:35TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:17MEM 4th & 11 at MEM 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:28TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:21MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:52TULN 4th & 1 at MEM 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:13TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:01MEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:52MEM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    91.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.2%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:47TULN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 6:1176% → 73%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
23.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 22 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
24.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+4
24.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
24.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
24.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+7
24.7%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
24.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
24.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-10
25.0%
Dorceus, Doroland rush for no gain to the TULANE31, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Kyser, Drew) 10 yards to the TULANE41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+3
25.4%
Riley Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+25
25.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 12 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (Roderic Teamer) to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-7
25.5%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 17
OPP 20
0
25.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 17
OPP 20
0
26.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+37
26.7%
Jake Elliott 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
26.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 7 yds John Williams fumbled, forced by Parry Nickerson, recovered by Tulan Chris MorleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:2927% → 27%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
27.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
27.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+5
27.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 5 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
28.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-6
28.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 49Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
27.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
27.0%
Zachary Block punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:4772% → 71%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
27.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 9 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
27.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
27.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
28.1%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Sam CraftSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
28.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for no gain to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+3
28.9%
Spencer Smith punt for 29 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for 3 yds to the Tulan 41 Dontrell Hilliard fumbled, recovered by Memph Austin HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5072% → 71%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
27.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Daniel HurdSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
27.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+7
27.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
28.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2729% → 36%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
29.1%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
30.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
30.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+13
30.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
31.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+1
32.1%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+13
31.6%
Cuiellette, Glen pass incomplete to Encalade, Terren, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Lanier, Chauncey) 13 yards to the MEMPHIS21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
32.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 21Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-2
32.8%
Darnell Mooney run for 8 yds to the Memph 13 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Larry Dace) to the Memph 23Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+3
33.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+20
36.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 20 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1765% → 64%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
34.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
35.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+4
35.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Jae'Lon Oglesby for 4 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
36.2%
Spencer Smith punt for 46 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for no gain to the Tulan 7 Dontrell Hilliard fumbled, recovered by MemphSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3966% → 65%
Q2 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
34.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
35.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
34.6%
Jake Elliott 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:2836% → 39%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+36
36.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 36 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
38.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
39.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
40.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 23 yds to the Memph 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
40.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
40.8%
TULANE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Memph 16Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 15
OPP 16
-6
41.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Lazedrick Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 21
OPP 22
0
40.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 21
OPP 22
+39
38.9%
Andrew DiRocco 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:4362% → 59%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
38.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+3
37.4%
Riley Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
38.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
38.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-10
39.9%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Sean Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 22
OWN 20
+72
41.3%
Spencer Smith punt for 63 yds, downed at the TULANE 17 TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (9 Yards) to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1641% → 42%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
40.8%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+10
41.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Josh Rounds for 10 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
43.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
42.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
41.6%
Zachary Block punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4460% → 74%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
40.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
40.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 5 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+19
39.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 19 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
38.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 8 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-15
37.1%
Ferguson, Riley pass complete to Mayhue, Phil for 26 yards to the TULANE5, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Mayhue, Phil) 15 yards to the TULANE46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 17
OPP 46
+46
26.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 46 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:1530% → 29%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
30.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+3
29.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 18
-3
28.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 6:0330% → 32%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
29.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
29.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 6 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
30.4%
Josh Rounds run for 11 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
32.2%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
33.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
32.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+4
31.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
33.6%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
35.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
33.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
31.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15INT
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:4374% → 76%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
26.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 4 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+28
25.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 28 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
24.1%
Riley Ferguson pass intercepted Richard Allen return for 5 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5230% → 29%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
30.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
30.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
29.3%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
28.8%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1374% → 72%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
26.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 23 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
24.6%
Ferguson, Riley pass complete to Mayhue, Phil for 32 yards to the TULANE10, PENALTY MEMPHIS ineligible downfield on pass (Kyser, Drew) 5 yards to the TULANE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+2
24.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 2 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+1
24.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to John Williams for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-4
25.0%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Sean Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
27.8%
Nick Jacobs punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5030% → 28%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
29.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 21Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
29.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
28.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+9
27.5%
Zachary Block punt for 38 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2376% → 80%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
50
+11
23.6%
Tony Pollard run for 11 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
23.6%
Sam Craft run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
22.2%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Daniel MontielSimilar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 32
-1
22.9%
Sam Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
19.9%
Jake Elliott 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:1921% → 20%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+27
21.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 27 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
24.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
24.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-10
23.1%
Cuiellette, Glen pass complete to Mooney, Darnell for 21 yards to the MEMPHIS22, PENALTY TULANE holding 10 yards to the TULANE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 18
OWN 47
0
20.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
19.6%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:3379% → 95%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
20.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 18 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
18.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+13
18.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 13 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
5.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 45 yds for a TD, (S. Craft Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:586% → 5%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
6.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
5.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
5.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
5.1%
Zachary Block punt for 59 yds, downed at the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1295% → 95%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.2%
Anthony Miller run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
5.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 24Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
5.2%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Daniel HurdSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
5.1%
Spencer Smith punt for 46 yds, downed at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:275% → 5%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
5.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
4.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
4.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
4.7%
Zachary Block punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5995% → 96%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.7%
Jae'Lon Oglesby run for no gain to the Memph 20Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
4.6%
Ferguson, Riley rush for 2 yards to the MEMPHIS22, PENALTY TULANE offside (Smart, Tanzel) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
4.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
4.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
4.1%
Spencer Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darnell Mooney at the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:155% → 5%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
4.7%
Darnell Mooney run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
4.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+11
4.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
50
0
4.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
50
+5
4.6%
Cuiellette, Glen pass complete to Mooney, Darnell for 9 yards to the MEMPHIS41, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Lanier, Chauncey) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
4.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted Jonathan Cook return for no gain to the Memph 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 79 yds · 2:0497% → 98%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+61
3.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 61 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
2.8%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+13
2.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 13 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
2.3%
Doroland Dorceus run for 6 yds to the Tulan 20 Doroland Dorceus fumbled, forced by Nico Marley, recovered by Tulan Ade ArunaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 2:433% → 7%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
2.7%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
2.7%
Cuiellette, Glen pass incomplete, PENALTY MEMPHIS roughing passer (Hall, Austin) 15 yards to the TULANE39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
2.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for 10 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
2.7%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-5
3.0%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Ernest Suttles for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+7
2.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 7 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+1
2.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
2.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 28 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
2.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Arthur Maulet) to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
2.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:2896% → 96%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
50
+1
3.7%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+1
3.7%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:52
Darrell Henderson run for 45 yds for a TD, (S. Craft Run For Two-point Conversion)
-13.1
TD · Q2 1:01
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 46 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
-11
TD · Q4 0:47
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com