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TEM

Temple 27 at Memphis 34

MEM
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2016 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:38 · Jake Elliott 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense−2.5Pregame prior+9.1Garbage-time factor−1.5Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:08: Doroland Dorceus run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +22.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:17: Phillip Walker pass intercepted for a TD Genard Avery return for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +21.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:47: Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 61 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +9.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:35: Austin Jones kickoff for 60 yds , Tony Pollard return for 95 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK) — MEM win probability +9.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:49: Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +14.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:43TEM 4th & 6 at MEM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:47TEM 4th & 7 at MEM 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:08TEM 4th & 6 at MEM 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:33MEM 4th & 11 at MEM 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:59TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:07MEM 4th & 3 at midfield, down 6
    Close callPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:48TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 16, up 6
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:52MEM 4th & 9 at TEM 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:38MEM 4th & 4 at TEM 17, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:30TEM 4th & 3 at MEM 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    46.9%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:15MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:32TEM 4th & 10 at MEM 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−6.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:59MEM 4th & 8 at TEM 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:31TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−1.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:15MEM 4th & 6 at TEM 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−9.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:37TEM 4th & 9 at MEM 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:42TEM 4th & 9 at MEM 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−13.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:50MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q2 2:15TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:08MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:17MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:14MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:47TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:35MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:49TEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:0736% → 36%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
63.8%
Phillip Walker run for 11 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
63.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 7 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
63.7%
Phillip Walker run for 4 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
63.6%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
63.5%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
63.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4864% → 64%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
63.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 8 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 2
OWN 24
-1
63.7%
Sam Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
63.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:3537% → 38%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
63.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 8 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+19
63.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 19 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
62.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
62.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+12
63.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 12 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
62.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 4 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-5
62.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 18Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+4
62.5%
Phillip Walker run for 4 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
62.5%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
62.5%
Austin Jones 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2438% → 39%
Q1 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
61.6%
Phillip Walker run for no gain to the Memph 6Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
61.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
61.8%
Phillip Walker run for no gain to the Memph 6Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
61.1%
Austin Jones 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:2261% → 59%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
60.6%
Sam Craft run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+1
60.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+1
59.7%
Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
59.3%
Spencer Smith punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2640% → 40%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
59.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
59.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
59.3%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
60.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds, downed at the Memph 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4361% → 59%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
60.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 3
50
0
60.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 3
50
0
59.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Doroland DorceusSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 3
50
0
59.2%
Nick Jacobs punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1241% → 41%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
59.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+6
58.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
58.8%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+3
59.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5060% → 57%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
50
0
59.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 10
50
+1
59.4%
Sam Craft run for 1 yd to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
58.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for no gain to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
57.3%
Nick Jacobs punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:1242% → 44%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
58.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for no gain to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+14
57.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 14 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
56.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Vaughn Fulton) to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
56.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+7
56.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 7 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+7
56.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 7 yds Brodrick Yancy fumbled, recovered by Memph Darian PorterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:4858% → 56%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
58.0%
Riley Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
58.5%
Sam Craft run for 4 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+8
57.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 8 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
58.4%
Sam Craft run for 5 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+2
58.2%
Sam Craft run for 2 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-1
57.2%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 17 Riley Ferguson fumbled, recovered by Memph Riley Ferguson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
55.6%
Jake Elliott 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:1546% → 60%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
54.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 2 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+22
54.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 22 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
51.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
50.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 9 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
49.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Genard Avery) to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
48.9%
Phillip Walker run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
48.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+3
49.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+10
46.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 10 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
47.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 11 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
46.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Memph 13Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+11
45.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13END OF HALF
15 plays · 73 yds · 2:1142% → 44%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Darrell HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
39.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 11 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
41.2%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
40.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Hurd for 7 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+21
41.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 21 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 15
OPP 39
0
42.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+14
42.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sam Craft for 14 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
42.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sam Craft for 2 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
44.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+21
43.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sam Craft for 21 yds to the Temp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
44.0%
Jake Elliott 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3541% → 37%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
41.0%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 27
-2
40.2%
Anthony Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 13
OWN 25
-2
38.1%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
37.0%
Nick Jacobs punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:3361% → 62%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
39.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+20
38.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 20 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
37.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
36.8%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+20
37.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 20 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
35.8%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
35.6%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
36.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
37.7%
Austin Jones 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2637% → 34%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
36.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 12 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
37.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+7
38.0%
Riley Ferguson run for 7 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
38.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
38.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-4
37.8%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Jacob Martin for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
34.4%
Nick Jacobs punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jahad Thomas at the Temp 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1964% → 64%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
36.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jovahn Fair) to the Temp 6Similar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 16
OWN 6
0
35.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+10
35.6%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 10 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
35.5%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
36.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds, downed at the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1035% → 42%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
35.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 16 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
36.4%
Riley Ferguson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 31 Riley Ferguson fumbled, recovered by Memph Riley FergusonSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
35.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+6
33.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sam Craft for 6 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 5:15
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
42.1%
Jake Elliott 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2863% → 67%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
36.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 7 yds to the Temp 32 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 13
OWN 22
+14
36.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 14 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
34.2%
Phillip Walker run for 4 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+12
32.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 12 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
31.4%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
31.4%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+1
31.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 1 yd to the Memph 47Similar
Q3 2:37
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
33.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:2237% → 60%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
37.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for 14 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
59.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21INT TD
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:4345% → 23%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
55.5%
Phillip Walker sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+23
77.2%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted for a TD Genard Avery return for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:2823% → 20%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
77.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 15 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
75.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+10
75.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 10 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
76.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 7 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+30
75.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 30 yds to the Memph 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
74.2%
Phillip Walker sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Temp , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-15
76.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Ventell Bryant) to the Memph 29Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 29
+20
77.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 20 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
79.7%
Austin Jones 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:2185% → 96%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
85.4%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+13
85.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 13 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+17
85.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Daniel Montiel for 17 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
87.5%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+15
87.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 15 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
88.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 13 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
95.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 28 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:187% → 17%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
92.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Brodrick Yancy for 3 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
92.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+61
83.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 61 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 2:316% → 21%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
93.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 13 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Brodrick YancySimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+18
94.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 18 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
93.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 9 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
92.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
93.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 13 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+15
94.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chauncey Lanier) to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
94.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 4 yds to the Memph 9Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
79.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27PUNT
13 plays · 14 yds · 2:4693% → 96%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
92.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 7 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-2
94.2%
Anthony Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+5
94.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
95.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for 2 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
95.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-1
95.8%
Doroland Dorceus run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
96.2%
Spencer Smith punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28INT
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:237% → 10%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
93.0%
Phillip Walker run for 19 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
92.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 15 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
90.5%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted Chauncey Lanier return for 3 yds to the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:08
Doroland Dorceus run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+22.4
TD · Q3 1:17
Phillip Walker pass intercepted for a TD Genard Avery return for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Elliott KICK)
+21.7
TD · Q4 3:49
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com